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TSV Hannover-Burgdorf v HSV Hamburg
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (主队)
预测 70.99%1.41公平赔率
EV -7.71%
优势 -5.93%
Kelly -25.69%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.30
博彩公司预测分布
69.06%70.94%70.98%72.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.251.291.301.3080.00%77.55%76.92%76.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
HSV Hamburg (客队)
预测 20.47%4.89公平赔率
EV -4.62%
优势 -0.991%
Kelly -1.26%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.66
博彩公司预测分布
19.80%20.52%20.50%21.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.954.444.504.6625.32%22.52%22.22%21.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 8.54%11.71公平赔率
EV +2.45%
优势 +0.204%
Kelly +0.222%
增长率 +0.005%
假设最高赔率为 12.00
博彩公司预测分布
7.66%8.54%8.52%9.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.0010.5911.0012.0011.11%9.44%9.09%8.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (主队)：70.99%；HSV Hamburg (客队)：20.47%；平局：8.54%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为11.71。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为12.00，对应+2.45%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (22 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.36%EV -9.84%E -7.75%K -36.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -5.85%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV +2.45%E +0.204%K +0.222%G +0.005% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 16:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.33%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV -1.82%E -0.159%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.07%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV -6.09%E -0.554%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.07%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV -6.09%E -0.554%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.07%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV -6.09%E -0.554%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.07%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV -6.09%E -0.554%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.07%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV -6.09%E -0.554%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.07%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV -6.09%E -0.554%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.07%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV -6.09%E -0.554%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.07%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV -6.09%E -0.554%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.07%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV -6.09%E -0.554%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.07%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV -6.09%E -0.554%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.09%EV -8.42%E -6.52%K -29.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.53%EV -8.23%E -0.765%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 09:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 19.93%EV -4.62%E -0.991%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 10.74I 9.31%NM 8.65%EV -8.31%E -0.774%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 08:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 19.93%EV -4.62%E -0.991%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 10.74I 9.31%NM 8.65%EV -8.31%E -0.774%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 08:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.82%EV -9.84%E -7.75%K -36.43%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 21.52%EV -15.67%E -3.80%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 8.65%EV -12.49%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-03 18:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.29%EV -11.26%E -9.01%K -45.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.91%EV -14.63%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-03 06:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.75%EV -8.42%E -6.52%K -29.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -11.37%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -18.90%E -1.99%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.75%EV -8.42%E -6.52%K -29.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -11.37%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -18.90%E -1.99%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.75%EV -8.42%E -6.52%K -29.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -11.37%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -18.90%E -1.99%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.06%EV -11.26%E -9.01%K -45.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.85%EV -19.15%E -4.85%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.09%EV -18.90%E -1.99%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.28%EV -9.84%E -7.75%K -36.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.95%EV -14.03%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.78%EV -23.17%E -2.57%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.25% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.92% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 8.83% | 15.5% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |