Language:English
TSV Hannover-Burgdorf v Frisch Auf Göppingen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Local)
Prediction 71.52%1.40fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -2.56%
Kelly -9.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.24%71.39%71.49%74.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.291.281.3581.97%77.33%78.13%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Frisch Auf Göppingen (Visit)
Prediction 19.68%5.08fair odd
EV +3.34%
Edge +0.637%
Kelly +0.786%
Growth +0.026%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.30%19.86%19.67%23.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.494.505.2526.67%22.26%22.22%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 8.80%11.37fair odd
EV +5.57%
Edge +0.464%
Kelly +0.506%
Growth +0.028%
assuming max odds 12.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.80%8.75%8.84%9.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.5010.5010.5012.0010.53%9.52%9.52%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Local): 71.52%; Frisch Auf Göppingen (Visit): 19.68%; Draw: 8.80%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.37. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.57%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.51%EV -7.74%E -6.00%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -6.50%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.80%EV +5.57%E +0.464%K +0.506%G +0.028% | 6.9% | 2026-03-01 14:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.87%EV -3.45%E -2.56%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -19.30%E -4.71%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -3.23%E -0.293%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 09:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.70%EV -8.46%E -6.61%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -9.45%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.34%EV -3.23%E -0.293%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 14:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.55%EV -9.17%E -7.22%K -33.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -11.42%E -2.54%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV -3.23%E -0.293%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-01 14:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.55%EV -9.17%E -7.22%K -33.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -11.42%E -2.54%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV -3.23%E -0.293%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-01 14:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.44%EV -12.75%E -10.45%K -57.94%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV +3.34%E +0.637%K +0.786%G +0.026% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV -3.23%E -0.293%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-26 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.44%EV -12.75%E -10.45%K -57.94%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV +3.34%E +0.637%K +0.786%G +0.026% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV -3.23%E -0.293%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-26 18:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.87%EV -10.60%E -8.48%K -42.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -11.42%E -2.54%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -3.23%E -0.293%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-01 14:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.72%EV -8.46%E -6.61%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.74%EV -8.47%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.54%EV -5.43%E -0.505%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-01 15:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -4.17%E -3.11%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -15.36%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -7.62%E -0.726%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-01 06:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -4.17%E -3.11%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -15.36%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -7.62%E -0.726%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-01 06:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -4.17%E -3.11%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -15.36%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -7.62%E -0.726%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-01 06:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -4.17%E -3.11%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -15.36%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -7.62%E -0.726%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-01 06:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -4.17%E -3.11%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -15.36%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -7.62%E -0.726%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-01 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -4.17%E -3.11%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -15.36%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -7.62%E -0.726%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-01 06:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -4.17%E -3.11%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -15.36%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -7.62%E -0.726%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-01 06:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -4.17%E -3.11%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -15.36%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -7.62%E -0.726%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-01 06:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -4.17%E -3.11%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -15.36%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -7.62%E -0.726%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-01 06:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 70.00%EV -11.32%E -9.13%K -47.16%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 21.54%EV -20.67%E -5.13%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 8.47%EV -9.82%E -0.958%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-01 15:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.05%EV -9.17%E -7.22%K -33.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV +3.34%E +0.637%K +0.786%G +0.026% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.28%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 14:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -9.17%E -7.22%K -33.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -1.58%E -0.316%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 14:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.95%EV -10.60%E -8.48%K -42.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -11.42%E -2.54%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -16.42%E -1.73%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-01 06:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.95%EV -10.60%E -8.48%K -42.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -11.42%E -2.54%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -16.42%E -1.73%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-01 06:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.95%EV -10.60%E -8.48%K -42.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -11.42%E -2.54%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -16.42%E -1.73%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-01 06:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.24%EV -6.31%E -4.82%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.49%EV -26.18%E -6.98%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.27%EV -16.42%E -1.73%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-01 04:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 69.98% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.16% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 8.85% | 15.2% | 2026-03-01 14:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 40.02% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 10.24% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 49.74% | 87.9% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 40.02% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 10.24% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 49.74% | 87.9% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 28.69% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 35.66% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 35.66% | 162.1% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.90% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.10% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |