默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

TSV Hannover-Burgdorf v Frisch Auf Göppingen

开赛时间: 2026-03-01 15:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (主队)

预测 71.52%1.40公平赔率
EV -3.45%
优势 -2.56%
Kelly -9.86%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.35

博彩公司预测分布
67.24%71.39%71.49%74.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.221.291.281.3581.97%77.33%78.13%74.07%最小值均值中位数最大值

Frisch Auf Göppingen (客队)

预测 19.68%5.08公平赔率
EV +3.34%
优势 +0.637%
Kelly +0.786%
增长率 +0.026%

假设最高赔率为 5.25

博彩公司预测分布
17.30%19.86%19.67%23.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.754.494.505.2526.67%22.26%22.22%19.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 8.80%11.37公平赔率
EV +5.57%
优势 +0.464%
Kelly +0.506%
增长率 +0.028%

假设最高赔率为 12.00

博彩公司预测分布
7.80%8.75%8.84%9.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.5010.5010.5012.0010.53%9.52%9.52%8.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (主队):71.52%;Frisch Auf Göppingen (客队):19.68%;平局:8.80%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为11.37。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为12.00,对应+5.57%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.51%EV -7.74%E -6.00%K -26.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -6.50%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.80%EV +5.57%E +0.464%K +0.506%G +0.028%6.9%2026-03-01 14:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.87%EV -3.45%E -2.56%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -19.30%E -4.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -3.23%E -0.293%K -0.323%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 09:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.70%EV -8.46%E -6.61%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -9.45%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.34%EV -3.23%E -0.293%K -0.323%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 14:04
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.55%EV -9.17%E -7.22%K -33.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -11.42%E -2.54%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV -3.23%E -0.293%K -0.323%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 14:04
Betsson🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.55%EV -9.17%E -7.22%K -33.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -11.42%E -2.54%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV -3.23%E -0.293%K -0.323%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 14:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.44%EV -12.75%E -10.45%K -57.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV +3.34%E +0.637%K +0.786%G +0.026%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV -3.23%E -0.293%K -0.323%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-26 18:35
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.44%EV -12.75%E -10.45%K -57.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV +3.34%E +0.637%K +0.786%G +0.026%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV -3.23%E -0.293%K -0.323%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-26 18:35
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.87%EV -10.60%E -8.48%K -42.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -11.42%E -2.54%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -3.23%E -0.293%K -0.323%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 14:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.72%EV -8.46%E -6.61%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.74%EV -8.47%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.54%EV -5.43%E -0.505%K -0.556%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 15:25
LeoVegas🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -4.17%E -3.11%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -15.36%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -7.62%E -0.726%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 06:00
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -4.17%E -3.11%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -15.36%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -7.62%E -0.726%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 06:00
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -4.17%E -3.11%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -15.36%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -7.62%E -0.726%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 06:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -4.17%E -3.11%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -15.36%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -7.62%E -0.726%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 06:00
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -4.17%E -3.11%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -15.36%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -7.62%E -0.726%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 06:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -4.17%E -3.11%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -15.36%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -7.62%E -0.726%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 06:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -4.17%E -3.11%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -15.36%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -7.62%E -0.726%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 06:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -4.17%E -3.11%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -15.36%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -7.62%E -0.726%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 06:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -4.17%E -3.11%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -15.36%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -7.62%E -0.726%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 06:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 70.00%EV -11.32%E -9.13%K -47.16%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 21.54%EV -20.67%E -5.13%K -6.82%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 8.47%EV -9.82%E -0.958%K -1.06%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-01 15:19
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.05%EV -9.17%E -7.22%K -33.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV +3.34%E +0.637%K +0.786%G +0.026%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.28%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 14:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -9.17%E -7.22%K -33.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -1.58%E -0.316%K -0.395%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 14:04
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.95%EV -10.60%E -8.48%K -42.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -11.42%E -2.54%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -16.42%E -1.73%K -1.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-01 06:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.95%EV -10.60%E -8.48%K -42.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -11.42%E -2.54%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -16.42%E -1.73%K -1.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-01 06:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.95%EV -10.60%E -8.48%K -42.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -11.42%E -2.54%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -16.42%E -1.73%K -1.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-01 06:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 67.24%EV -6.31%E -4.82%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.49%EV -26.18%E -6.98%K -9.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.27%EV -16.42%E -1.73%K -1.93%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-01 04:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 69.98%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.16%9.80I 10.20%NM 8.85%15.2%2026-03-01 14:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 40.02%5.20I 19.23%NM 10.24%1.07I 93.46%NM 49.74%87.9%2026-03-01 15:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 40.02%5.20I 19.23%NM 10.24%1.07I 93.46%NM 49.74%87.9%2026-03-01 15:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 28.69%1.07I 93.46%NM 35.66%1.07I 93.46%NM 35.66%162.1%2026-03-01 15:04

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.90%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.10%7.0%2026-03-01 14:00