預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

THW Kiel v SC DHfK Leipzig

開賽時間: 2026-04-25 17:00 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

25 家博彩公司 (7 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

THW Kiel (主隊)

預測 85.33%1.17公平賠率
EV -6.13%
優勢 -5.57%
Kelly -61.32%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.10

博彩公司預測分布
82.29%85.39%85.42%88.03%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.051.071.071.1095.24%93.84%93.46%90.91%最小值平均值中位數最大值

SC DHfK Leipzig (客隊)

預測 9.07%11.03公平賠率
EV +17.87%
優勢 +1.37%
Kelly +1.49%
成長率 +0.266%

假設最高賠率為 13.00

博彩公司預測分布
7.07%8.96%9.14%10.80%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
8.0010.5110.5013.0012.50%9.51%9.52%7.69%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 5.60%17.86公平賠率
EV +6.38%
優勢 +0.336%
Kelly +0.354%
成長率 +0.023%

假設最高賠率為 19.00

博彩公司預測分布
4.75%5.65%5.44%6.91%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
12.5016.6718.0019.008.00%6.00%5.56%5.26%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:THW Kiel (主隊):85.33%;SC DHfK Leipzig (客隊):9.07%;和局:5.60%。 對於「SC DHfK Leipzig (客隊)」,該估計相當於11.03的公平十進位賠率。 當時有5家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為13.00,對應+17.87%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (25 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
Paddy Power🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.42%EV -9.55%E -9.01%K -159.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +17.87%E +1.37%K +1.49%G +0.266%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV -4.82%E -0.284%K -0.301%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 12:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.03%EV -10.40%E -9.90%K -207.98%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV +17.87%E +1.37%K +1.49%G +0.266%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.86%EV +6.38%E +0.336%K +0.354%G +0.023%8.2%2026-04-23 12:29
Coral🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.03%EV -10.40%E -9.90%K -207.98%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV +17.87%E +1.37%K +1.49%G +0.266%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.86%EV +6.38%E +0.336%K +0.354%G +0.023%8.2%2026-04-23 12:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 87.52%EV -10.40%E -9.90%K -207.98%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV +17.87%E +1.37%K +1.49%G +0.266%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV -4.82%E -0.284%K -0.301%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 12:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.77%EV -8.69%E -8.12%K -124.17%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV +4.27%E +0.371%K +0.407%G +0.017%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV +0.776%E +0.043%K +0.046%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 12:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.19%EV -8.69%E -8.12%K -124.17%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -0.264%E -0.024%K -0.026%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -4.82%E -0.284%K -0.301%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 17:04
Coolbet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.19%EV -8.69%E -8.12%K -124.17%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -0.264%E -0.024%K -0.026%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -4.82%E -0.284%K -0.301%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 03:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.11%EV -8.69%E -8.12%K -124.17%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -4.80%E -0.457%K -0.505%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.12%EV +0.776%E +0.043%K +0.046%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 17:35
Casumo🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.11%EV -8.69%E -8.12%K -124.17%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -4.80%E -0.457%K -0.505%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.12%EV +0.776%E +0.043%K +0.046%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 17:34
Grosvenor🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.11%EV -8.69%E -8.12%K -124.17%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -4.80%E -0.457%K -0.505%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.12%EV +0.776%E +0.043%K +0.046%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 17:35
LeoVegas🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.11%EV -8.69%E -8.12%K -124.17%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -4.80%E -0.457%K -0.505%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.12%EV +0.776%E +0.043%K +0.046%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.11%EV -8.69%E -8.12%K -124.17%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -4.80%E -0.457%K -0.505%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.12%EV +0.776%E +0.043%K +0.046%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.11%EV -8.69%E -8.12%K -124.17%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -4.80%E -0.457%K -0.505%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.12%EV +0.776%E +0.043%K +0.046%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 18:05
Unibet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.11%EV -8.69%E -8.12%K -124.17%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -4.80%E -0.457%K -0.505%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.12%EV +0.776%E +0.043%K +0.046%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.11%EV -8.69%E -8.12%K -124.17%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -4.80%E -0.457%K -0.505%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.12%EV +0.776%E +0.043%K +0.046%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 18:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.11%EV -8.69%E -8.12%K -124.17%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -4.80%E -0.457%K -0.505%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.12%EV +0.776%E +0.043%K +0.046%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 00:05
Betsson🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.19%EV -8.69%E -8.12%K -124.17%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -9.33%E -0.933%K -1.04%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -10.42%E -0.651%K -0.695%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 12:29
NordicBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.19%EV -8.69%E -8.12%K -124.17%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -9.33%E -0.933%K -1.04%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -10.42%E -0.651%K -0.695%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 12:29
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 83.81%EV -9.55%E -9.01%K -159.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.35%EV -13.86%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.83%EV -27.22%E -2.09%K -2.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-23 17:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 83.81%EV -9.55%E -9.01%K -159.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.35%EV -13.86%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.83%EV -27.22%E -2.09%K -2.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-23 17:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 83.81%EV -9.55%E -9.01%K -159.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.35%EV -13.86%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.83%EV -27.22%E -2.09%K -2.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-23 17:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.16%EV -9.55%E -9.01%K -159.09%G +0.000%8.95I 11.17%NM 10.09%EV -18.85%E -2.11%K -2.37%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.75%EV +6.38%E +0.336%K +0.354%G +0.023%10.8%2026-04-23 12:28
Marathon Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.63%EV -6.13%E -5.57%K -61.32%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.34%EV -19.30%E -2.17%K -2.44%G +0.000%15.25I 6.56%NM 6.03%EV -14.62%E -0.959%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 12:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 82.90%EV -9.55%E -9.01%K -159.09%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.34%EV -22.93%E -2.70%K -3.06%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.76%EV -27.22%E -2.09%K -2.27%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-20 18:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 82.29%EV -10.40%E -9.90%K -207.98%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.80%EV -27.46%E -3.43%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 6.91%EV -30.02%E -2.40%K -2.61%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-23 12:30
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Smarkets1.05I 95.24%NM 82.50%8.20I 12.20%NM 10.56%12.50I 8.00%NM 6.93%15.4%2026-04-23 17:05