语言:简体中文
THW Kiel v SC DHfK Leipzig
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
THW Kiel (主队)
预测 85.33%1.17公平赔率
EV -6.13%
优势 -5.57%
Kelly -61.32%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.10
博彩公司预测分布
82.29%85.39%85.42%88.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.051.071.071.1095.24%93.84%93.46%90.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
SC DHfK Leipzig (客队)
预测 9.07%11.03公平赔率
EV +17.87%
优势 +1.37%
Kelly +1.49%
增长率 +0.266%
假设最高赔率为 13.00
博彩公司预测分布
7.07%8.96%9.14%10.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.0010.5110.5013.0012.50%9.51%9.52%7.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 5.60%17.86公平赔率
EV +6.38%
优势 +0.336%
Kelly +0.354%
增长率 +0.023%
假设最高赔率为 19.00
博彩公司预测分布
4.75%5.65%5.44%6.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
12.5016.6718.0019.008.00%6.00%5.56%5.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：THW Kiel (主队)：85.33%；SC DHfK Leipzig (客队)：9.07%；平局：5.60%。 对于“SC DHfK Leipzig (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为11.03。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为13.00，对应+17.87%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.42%EV -9.55%E -9.01%K -159.09%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +17.87%E +1.37%K +1.49%G +0.266% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV -4.82%E -0.284%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.03%EV -10.40%E -9.90%K -207.98%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV +17.87%E +1.37%K +1.49%G +0.266% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.86%EV +6.38%E +0.336%K +0.354%G +0.023% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.03%EV -10.40%E -9.90%K -207.98%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV +17.87%E +1.37%K +1.49%G +0.266% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.86%EV +6.38%E +0.336%K +0.354%G +0.023% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.52%EV -10.40%E -9.90%K -207.98%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV +17.87%E +1.37%K +1.49%G +0.266% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV -4.82%E -0.284%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.77%EV -8.69%E -8.12%K -124.17%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV +4.27%E +0.371%K +0.407%G +0.017% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV +0.776%E +0.043%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.19%EV -8.69%E -8.12%K -124.17%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -0.264%E -0.024%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -4.82%E -0.284%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 17:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.19%EV -8.69%E -8.12%K -124.17%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -0.264%E -0.024%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -4.82%E -0.284%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 03:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.11%EV -8.69%E -8.12%K -124.17%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -4.80%E -0.457%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.12%EV +0.776%E +0.043%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-20 17:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.11%EV -8.69%E -8.12%K -124.17%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -4.80%E -0.457%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.12%EV +0.776%E +0.043%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-20 17:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.11%EV -8.69%E -8.12%K -124.17%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -4.80%E -0.457%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.12%EV +0.776%E +0.043%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-20 17:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.11%EV -8.69%E -8.12%K -124.17%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -4.80%E -0.457%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.12%EV +0.776%E +0.043%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-20 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.11%EV -8.69%E -8.12%K -124.17%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -4.80%E -0.457%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.12%EV +0.776%E +0.043%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.11%EV -8.69%E -8.12%K -124.17%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -4.80%E -0.457%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.12%EV +0.776%E +0.043%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.11%EV -8.69%E -8.12%K -124.17%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -4.80%E -0.457%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.12%EV +0.776%E +0.043%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.11%EV -8.69%E -8.12%K -124.17%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -4.80%E -0.457%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.12%EV +0.776%E +0.043%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-20 18:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.11%EV -8.69%E -8.12%K -124.17%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -4.80%E -0.457%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.12%EV +0.776%E +0.043%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 00:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.19%EV -8.69%E -8.12%K -124.17%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -9.33%E -0.933%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -10.42%E -0.651%K -0.695%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.19%EV -8.69%E -8.12%K -124.17%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -9.33%E -0.933%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -10.42%E -0.651%K -0.695%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.81%EV -9.55%E -9.01%K -159.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.35%EV -13.86%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.83%EV -27.22%E -2.09%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-23 17:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.81%EV -9.55%E -9.01%K -159.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.35%EV -13.86%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.83%EV -27.22%E -2.09%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-23 17:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.81%EV -9.55%E -9.01%K -159.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.35%EV -13.86%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.83%EV -27.22%E -2.09%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-23 17:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.16%EV -9.55%E -9.01%K -159.09%G +0.000% | 8.95I 11.17%NM 10.09%EV -18.85%E -2.11%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.75%EV +6.38%E +0.336%K +0.354%G +0.023% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 12:28 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.63%EV -6.13%E -5.57%K -61.32%G +0.000% | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.34%EV -19.30%E -2.17%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 15.25I 6.56%NM 6.03%EV -14.62%E -0.959%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 82.90%EV -9.55%E -9.01%K -159.09%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.34%EV -22.93%E -2.70%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.76%EV -27.22%E -2.09%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 82.29%EV -10.40%E -9.90%K -207.98%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.80%EV -27.46%E -3.43%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 6.91%EV -30.02%E -2.40%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 82.50% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 10.56% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 6.93% | 15.4% | 2026-04-23 17:05 |