The School of Odds
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ThSV Eisenach v TSV Hannover-Burgdorf

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

ThSV Eisenach (Local)

Prediction 37.02%2.70fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -0.720%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.90%36.90%37.13%38.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.452.452.6543.48%40.83%40.82%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Visit)

Prediction 51.53%1.94fair odd
EV -5.69%
Edge -3.11%
Kelly -6.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.61%51.75%51.32%53.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.791.801.8357.80%55.95%55.56%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 11.45%8.73fair odd
EV +5.35%
Edge +0.581%
Kelly +0.652%
Growth +0.035%

assuming max odds 9.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.31%11.35%11.55%12.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.007.868.009.2014.29%12.72%12.50%10.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: ThSV Eisenach (Local): 37.02%; TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Visit): 51.53%; Draw: 11.45%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.73. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.35%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.90%EV -1.91%E -0.720%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.75%EV -8.79%E -4.96%K -11.41%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.34%EV +5.35%E +0.581%K +0.652%G +0.035%5.1%2026-04-10 09:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.28%EV -8.94%E -3.63%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.41%EV -9.82%E -5.61%K -13.09%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.31%EV +1.91%E +0.215%K +0.242%G +0.005%9.0%2026-04-10 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.73%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.47%EV -9.82%E -5.61%K -13.09%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -2.67%E -0.314%K -0.356%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -7.24%E -4.02%K -9.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -8.39%E -1.05%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 13:13
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -7.24%E -4.02%K -9.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -8.39%E -1.05%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 13:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -6.21%E -3.41%K -7.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.39%E -1.05%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 08:20
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -6.21%E -3.41%K -7.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.39%E -1.05%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 08:19
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -6.21%E -3.41%K -7.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.39%E -1.05%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 08:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -6.21%E -3.41%K -7.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.39%E -1.05%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 08:19
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -6.21%E -3.41%K -7.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.39%E -1.05%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 08:19
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -6.21%E -3.41%K -7.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.39%E -1.05%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 08:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -6.21%E -3.41%K -7.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.39%E -1.05%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 08:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -6.21%E -3.41%K -7.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.39%E -1.05%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 08:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -6.21%E -3.41%K -7.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.39%E -1.05%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 08:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.19%EV -8.57%E -3.47%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.32%EV -7.75%E -4.33%K -9.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -8.39%E -1.05%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 13:20
Betsson🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 37.26%EV -9.68%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -8.27%E -4.65%K -10.60%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.66%EV -10.68%E -1.37%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 13:14
NordicBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 37.26%EV -9.68%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -8.27%E -4.65%K -10.60%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.66%EV -10.68%E -1.37%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 13:15
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.73%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.24%E -4.02%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -14.12%E -1.88%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 13:15
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.99%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -10.85%E -6.27%K -14.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -14.12%E -1.88%K -2.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-10 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.99%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -10.85%E -6.27%K -14.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -14.12%E -1.88%K -2.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-10 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.99%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -10.85%E -6.27%K -14.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -14.12%E -1.88%K -2.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-10 13:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.54%EV -13.01%E -5.54%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.70%EV -10.33%E -5.94%K -13.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -14.12%E -1.88%K -2.17%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-10 08:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.31%EV -12.27%E -5.18%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.82%EV -10.33%E -5.94%K -13.96%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 11.87%EV -14.69%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-10 16:48
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -13.01%E -5.54%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.49%EV -10.33%E -5.94%K -13.96%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.12%EV -16.98%E -2.34%K -2.72%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-10 13:14
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -14.86%E -6.46%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.61%EV -5.69%E -3.11%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -19.85%E -2.84%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-09 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -14.86%E -6.46%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.61%EV -5.69%E -3.11%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -19.85%E -2.84%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-09 14:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 37.33%1.71I 58.48%NM 50.64%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.03%15.5%2026-04-10 13:15

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%5.6%2026-04-10 16:30