默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

ThSV Eisenach v TSV Hannover-Burgdorf

开赛时间: 2026-04-10 17:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

26 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

ThSV Eisenach (主队)

预测 37.02%2.70公平赔率
EV -1.91%
优势 -0.720%
Kelly -1.16%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.65

博彩公司预测分布
35.90%36.90%37.13%38.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.452.452.6543.48%40.83%40.82%37.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (客队)

预测 51.53%1.94公平赔率
EV -5.69%
优势 -3.11%
Kelly -6.86%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.83

博彩公司预测分布
48.61%51.75%51.32%53.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.731.791.801.8357.80%55.95%55.56%54.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 11.45%8.73公平赔率
EV +5.35%
优势 +0.581%
Kelly +0.652%
增长率 +0.035%

假设最高赔率为 9.20

博彩公司预测分布
10.31%11.35%11.55%12.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.007.868.009.2014.29%12.72%12.50%10.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:ThSV Eisenach (主队):37.02%;TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (客队):51.53%;平局:11.45%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.73。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为9.20,对应+5.35%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.90%EV -1.91%E -0.720%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.75%EV -8.79%E -4.96%K -11.41%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.34%EV +5.35%E +0.581%K +0.652%G +0.035%5.1%2026-04-10 09:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.28%EV -8.94%E -3.63%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.41%EV -9.82%E -5.61%K -13.09%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.31%EV +1.91%E +0.215%K +0.242%G +0.005%9.0%2026-04-10 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.73%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.47%EV -9.82%E -5.61%K -13.09%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -2.67%E -0.314%K -0.356%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -7.24%E -4.02%K -9.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -8.39%E -1.05%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 13:13
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -7.24%E -4.02%K -9.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -8.39%E -1.05%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 13:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -6.21%E -3.41%K -7.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.39%E -1.05%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 08:20
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -6.21%E -3.41%K -7.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.39%E -1.05%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 08:19
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -6.21%E -3.41%K -7.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.39%E -1.05%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 08:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -6.21%E -3.41%K -7.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.39%E -1.05%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 08:19
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -6.21%E -3.41%K -7.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.39%E -1.05%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 08:19
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -6.21%E -3.41%K -7.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.39%E -1.05%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 08:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -6.21%E -3.41%K -7.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.39%E -1.05%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 08:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -6.21%E -3.41%K -7.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.39%E -1.05%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 08:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -6.21%E -3.41%K -7.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.39%E -1.05%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 08:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.19%EV -8.57%E -3.47%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.32%EV -7.75%E -4.33%K -9.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -8.39%E -1.05%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 13:20
Betsson🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 37.26%EV -9.68%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -8.27%E -4.65%K -10.60%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.66%EV -10.68%E -1.37%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 13:14
NordicBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 37.26%EV -9.68%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -8.27%E -4.65%K -10.60%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.66%EV -10.68%E -1.37%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 13:15
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.73%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.24%E -4.02%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -14.12%E -1.88%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 13:15
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.99%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -10.85%E -6.27%K -14.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -14.12%E -1.88%K -2.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-10 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.99%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -10.85%E -6.27%K -14.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -14.12%E -1.88%K -2.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-10 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.99%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -10.85%E -6.27%K -14.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -14.12%E -1.88%K -2.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-10 13:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.54%EV -13.01%E -5.54%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.70%EV -10.33%E -5.94%K -13.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -14.12%E -1.88%K -2.17%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-10 08:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.31%EV -12.27%E -5.18%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.82%EV -10.33%E -5.94%K -13.96%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 11.87%EV -14.69%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-10 16:48
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -13.01%E -5.54%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.49%EV -10.33%E -5.94%K -13.96%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.12%EV -16.98%E -2.34%K -2.72%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-10 13:14
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -14.86%E -6.46%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.61%EV -5.69%E -3.11%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -19.85%E -2.84%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-09 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -14.86%E -6.46%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.61%EV -5.69%E -3.11%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -19.85%E -2.84%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-09 14:10
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 37.33%1.71I 58.48%NM 50.64%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.03%15.5%2026-04-10 13:15

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%5.6%2026-04-10 16:30