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TBV Lemgo v Füchse Berlin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
TBV Lemgo (Local)
Prediction 24.58%4.07fair odd
EV +0.786%
Edge +0.192%
Kelly +0.254%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.49%24.43%24.49%25.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.893.854.1028.57%25.73%25.97%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Füchse Berlin (Visit)
Prediction 66.18%1.51fair odd
EV -4.05%
Edge -2.79%
Kelly -8.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.58%66.21%66.22%68.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.361.351.4577.52%73.68%74.07%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 9.24%10.82fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -0.281%
Kelly -0.311%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 10.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.75%9.36%9.29%10.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.509.7610.0010.5011.76%10.25%10.00%9.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TBV Lemgo (Local): 24.58%; Füchse Berlin (Visit): 66.18%; Draw: 9.24%. For TBV Lemgo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.07. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.786%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +0.786%E +0.192%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.29%EV -10.66%E -7.90%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -7.58%E -0.758%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 07:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +0.786%E +0.192%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.29%EV -10.66%E -7.90%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -7.58%E -0.758%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 07:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +0.786%E +0.192%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.29%EV -10.66%E -7.90%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -7.58%E -0.758%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 07:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +0.786%E +0.192%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.29%EV -10.66%E -7.90%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -7.58%E -0.758%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 07:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +0.786%E +0.192%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.29%EV -10.66%E -7.90%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -7.58%E -0.758%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 07:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +0.786%E +0.192%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.29%EV -10.66%E -7.90%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -7.58%E -0.758%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 07:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +0.786%E +0.192%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.29%EV -10.66%E -7.90%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -7.58%E -0.758%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 07:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +0.786%E +0.192%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.29%EV -10.66%E -7.90%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -7.58%E -0.758%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 07:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +0.786%E +0.192%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.29%EV -10.66%E -7.90%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -7.58%E -0.758%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 07:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -1.67%E -0.418%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.26%EV -9.34%E -6.82%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -12.20%E -1.28%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 10:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -4.13%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.52%EV -11.99%E -9.01%K -36.32%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -12.20%E -1.28%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 03:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -4.13%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.52%EV -11.99%E -9.01%K -36.32%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -12.20%E -1.28%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 03:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -5.36%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.96%EV -8.02%E -5.77%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV -2.95%E -0.281%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 10:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.78%EV -5.36%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.99%EV -14.63%E -11.34%K -50.46%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.23%EV -12.20%E -1.28%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-12 07:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.59%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.07%EV -9.34%E -6.82%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -2.95%E -0.281%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 04:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.27%EV -7.08%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -8.68%E -6.29%K -22.84%G +0.000% | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.27%EV -8.50%E -0.859%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 23:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -7.82%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.58%EV -4.05%E -2.79%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.06%EV -2.95%E -0.281%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 10:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -7.82%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -10.00%E -7.35%K -27.78%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -7.58%E -0.758%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-12 10:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -7.82%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.67%EV -10.00%E -7.35%K -27.78%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -21.44%E -2.52%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-12 10:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -7.82%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.67%EV -10.00%E -7.35%K -27.78%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -21.44%E -2.52%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-12 09:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -7.82%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.67%EV -10.00%E -7.35%K -27.78%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -21.44%E -2.52%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-12 09:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -9.05%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.35%EV -9.34%E -6.82%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.58%E -0.758%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 10:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -9.05%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.35%EV -9.34%E -6.82%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.58%E -0.758%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 10:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.10%EV -13.23%E -3.75%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.63%EV -10.66%E -7.90%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 9.55I 10.47%NM 9.28%EV -11.73%E -1.23%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-12 15:48 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -13.96%E -3.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.62%EV -11.32%E -8.45%K -33.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.26%EV -12.20%E -1.28%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-12 10:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.47% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.12% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 9.41% | 15.5% | 2026-04-12 10:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.62% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.38% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 15:55 |