默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

TBV Lemgo v Füchse Berlin

开赛时间: 2026-04-12 16:00 UTC

最终结果: TBV Lemgo 33–34 Füchse Berlin

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

TBV Lemgo (主队)

预测 24.58%4.07公平赔率
EV +0.786%
优势 +0.192%
Kelly +0.254%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 4.10

博彩公司预测分布
22.49%24.43%24.49%25.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.893.854.1028.57%25.73%25.97%24.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

Füchse Berlin (客队)

预测 66.18%1.51公平赔率
EV -4.05%
优势 -2.79%
Kelly -8.99%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.45

博彩公司预测分布
65.58%66.21%66.22%68.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.291.361.351.4577.52%73.68%74.07%68.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 9.24%10.82公平赔率
EV -2.95%
优势 -0.281%
Kelly -0.311%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 10.50

博彩公司预测分布
8.75%9.36%9.29%10.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.509.7610.0010.5011.76%10.25%10.00%9.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:TBV Lemgo (主队):24.58%;Füchse Berlin (客队):66.18%;平局:9.24%。 对于“TBV Lemgo (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.07。 当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.10,对应+0.786%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +0.786%E +0.192%K +0.254%G +0.002%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.29%EV -10.66%E -7.90%K -30.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -7.58%E -0.758%K -0.842%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 07:34
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +0.786%E +0.192%K +0.254%G +0.002%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.29%EV -10.66%E -7.90%K -30.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -7.58%E -0.758%K -0.842%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 07:35
Virgin Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +0.786%E +0.192%K +0.254%G +0.002%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.29%EV -10.66%E -7.90%K -30.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -7.58%E -0.758%K -0.842%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 07:34
LiveScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +0.786%E +0.192%K +0.254%G +0.002%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.29%EV -10.66%E -7.90%K -30.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -7.58%E -0.758%K -0.842%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 07:34
Grosvenor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +0.786%E +0.192%K +0.254%G +0.002%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.29%EV -10.66%E -7.90%K -30.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -7.58%E -0.758%K -0.842%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 07:34
LeoVegas🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +0.786%E +0.192%K +0.254%G +0.002%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.29%EV -10.66%E -7.90%K -30.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -7.58%E -0.758%K -0.842%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 07:34
Casumo🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +0.786%E +0.192%K +0.254%G +0.002%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.29%EV -10.66%E -7.90%K -30.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -7.58%E -0.758%K -0.842%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 07:35
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +0.786%E +0.192%K +0.254%G +0.002%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.29%EV -10.66%E -7.90%K -30.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -7.58%E -0.758%K -0.842%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 07:35
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +0.786%E +0.192%K +0.254%G +0.002%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.29%EV -10.66%E -7.90%K -30.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -7.58%E -0.758%K -0.842%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 07:34
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -1.67%E -0.418%K -0.557%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.26%EV -9.34%E -6.82%K -25.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -12.20%E -1.28%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 10:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -4.13%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.52%EV -11.99%E -9.01%K -36.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -12.20%E -1.28%K -1.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 03:30
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -4.13%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.52%EV -11.99%E -9.01%K -36.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -12.20%E -1.28%K -1.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 03:30
Winamax (DE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -5.36%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.96%EV -8.02%E -5.77%K -20.55%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV -2.95%E -0.281%K -0.311%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 10:04
PMU (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 22.78%EV -5.36%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 67.99%EV -14.63%E -11.34%K -50.46%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.23%EV -12.20%E -1.28%K -1.43%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-12 07:35
Unibet (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.59%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.07%EV -9.34%E -6.82%K -25.24%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -2.95%E -0.281%K -0.311%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 04:09
Marathon Bet🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 24.27%EV -7.08%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -8.68%E -6.29%K -22.84%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.27%EV -8.50%E -0.859%K -0.955%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 23:40
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -7.82%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.58%EV -4.05%E -2.79%K -8.99%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.06%EV -2.95%E -0.281%K -0.311%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 10:00
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -7.82%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -10.00%E -7.35%K -27.78%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -7.58%E -0.758%K -0.842%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 10:04
888sport🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -7.82%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.67%EV -10.00%E -7.35%K -27.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -21.44%E -2.52%K -2.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-12 10:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -7.82%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.67%EV -10.00%E -7.35%K -27.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -21.44%E -2.52%K -2.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-12 09:59
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -7.82%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.67%EV -10.00%E -7.35%K -27.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -21.44%E -2.52%K -2.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-12 09:59
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -9.05%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.35%EV -9.34%E -6.82%K -25.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.58%E -0.758%K -0.842%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 10:04
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -9.05%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.35%EV -9.34%E -6.82%K -25.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.58%E -0.758%K -0.842%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 10:05
Betclic (FR)🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 25.10%EV -13.23%E -3.75%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.63%EV -10.66%E -7.90%K -30.47%G +0.000%9.55I 10.47%NM 9.28%EV -11.73%E -1.23%K -1.37%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-12 15:48
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -13.96%E -3.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 65.62%EV -11.32%E -8.45%K -33.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.26%EV -12.20%E -1.28%K -1.43%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 10:04
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 25.47%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.12%9.20I 10.87%NM 9.41%15.5%2026-04-12 10:05

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯4.14I 24.15%NM 22.62%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.38%6.8%2026-04-12 15:55