預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

TBV Lemgo v Frisch Auf Göppingen

開賽時間: 2026-03-15 14:00 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

24 家博彩公司 (8 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

TBV Lemgo (主隊)

預測 80.64%1.24公平賠率
EV -5.66%
優勢 -4.83%
Kelly -33.27%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.17

博彩公司預測分布
78.37%80.50%80.66%84.75%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.081.141.131.1792.59%87.94%88.50%85.47%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Frisch Auf Göppingen (客隊)

預測 12.38%8.08公平賠率
EV +23.75%
優勢 +2.38%
Kelly +2.64%
成長率 +0.627%

假設最高賠率為 10.00

博彩公司預測分布
9.15%12.45%12.30%14.44%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
6.357.396.9710.0015.75%13.52%14.34%10.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 6.99%14.31公平賠率
EV +4.83%
優勢 +0.322%
Kelly +0.345%
成長率 +0.017%

假設最高賠率為 15.00

博彩公司預測分布
6.10%7.04%7.04%8.07%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
11.0012.8412.5015.009.09%7.79%8.00%6.67%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:TBV Lemgo (主隊):80.64%;Frisch Auf Göppingen (客隊):12.38%;和局:6.99%。 對於「Frisch Auf Göppingen (客隊)」,該估計相當於8.08的公平十進位賠率。 當時有4家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為10.00,對應+23.75%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(2 個賽果,而分析採用 3 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (24 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
Coral🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -12.91%E -11.96%K -161.42%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV +23.75%E +2.38%K +2.64%G +0.627%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV +4.83%E +0.322%K +0.345%G +0.017%9.3%2026-03-15 06:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -12.91%E -11.96%K -161.42%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV +23.75%E +2.38%K +2.64%G +0.627%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV +4.83%E +0.322%K +0.345%G +0.017%9.3%2026-03-15 06:15
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 82.37%EV -11.30%E -10.27%K -113.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV +5.19%E +0.611%K +0.692%G +0.036%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -9.14%E -0.703%K -0.762%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-15 05:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.69%EV -10.49%E -9.45%K -95.40%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.19%EV +1.48%E +0.180%K +0.205%G +0.003%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV +4.83%E +0.322%K +0.345%G +0.017%9.0%2026-03-15 13:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -8.88%E -7.86%K -68.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -0.997%E -0.125%K -0.142%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -2.15%E -0.154%K -0.166%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 05:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -8.88%E -7.86%K -68.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -0.997%E -0.125%K -0.142%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -2.15%E -0.154%K -0.166%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 05:25
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.99%EV -8.08%E -7.08%K -57.68%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.91%EV -4.09%E -0.528%K -0.606%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.10%EV -9.14%E -0.703%K -0.762%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 12:24
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.07%EV -9.69%E -8.65%K -80.73%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.95%EV -5.95%E -0.782%K -0.901%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -9.14%E -0.703%K -0.762%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 05:24
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.07%EV -9.69%E -8.65%K -80.73%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.95%EV -5.95%E -0.782%K -0.901%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -9.14%E -0.703%K -0.762%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 05:24
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.25%EV -9.69%E -8.65%K -80.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -13.37%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.07%EV -23.12%E -2.10%K -2.31%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-15 06:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.25%EV -9.69%E -8.65%K -80.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -13.37%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.07%EV -23.12%E -2.10%K -2.31%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-15 06:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.25%EV -9.69%E -8.65%K -80.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -13.37%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.07%EV -23.12%E -2.10%K -2.31%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-15 06:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.52%EV -10.49%E -9.45%K -95.40%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 12.86%EV -13.99%E -2.01%K -2.35%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.62%EV -5.65%E -0.418%K -0.452%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 13:48
Grosvenor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.93%EV -5.66%E -4.83%K -33.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -16.47%E -2.44%K -2.86%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV -12.64%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 08:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.93%EV -5.66%E -4.83%K -33.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -16.47%E -2.44%K -2.86%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV -12.64%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 08:00
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.93%EV -5.66%E -4.83%K -33.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -16.47%E -2.44%K -2.86%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV -12.64%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 07:59
Casumo🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.93%EV -5.66%E -4.83%K -33.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -16.47%E -2.44%K -2.86%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV -12.64%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 08:00
LeoVegas🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.93%EV -5.66%E -4.83%K -33.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -16.47%E -2.44%K -2.86%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV -12.64%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 08:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.93%EV -5.66%E -4.83%K -33.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -16.47%E -2.44%K -2.86%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV -12.64%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 08:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.93%EV -5.66%E -4.83%K -33.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -16.47%E -2.44%K -2.86%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV -12.64%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 08:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.93%EV -5.66%E -4.83%K -33.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -16.47%E -2.44%K -2.86%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV -12.64%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 07:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.93%EV -5.66%E -4.83%K -33.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -16.47%E -2.44%K -2.86%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV -12.64%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 08:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 79.30%EV -10.49%E -9.45%K -95.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.04%EV -16.47%E -2.44%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.65%EV -19.63%E -1.71%K -1.87%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-15 05:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.37%EV -5.66%E -4.83%K -33.27%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.44%EV -21.42%E -3.37%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.19%EV -10.89%E -0.854%K -0.927%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 12:14
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 78.95%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.16%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.89%15.2%2026-03-15 05:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 31.96%1.09I 91.74%NM 34.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 34.02%169.7%2026-03-15 08:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 31.96%1.09I 91.74%NM 34.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 34.02%169.7%2026-03-15 08:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 31.96%1.09I 91.74%NM 34.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 34.02%169.7%2026-03-15 08:00

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (1)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2利潤率 ▲更新時間
Pinnacle🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%7.1%2026-03-15 13:50