Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.17
ipotizzando la quota massima 10.00
ipotizzando la quota massima 15.00
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: TBV Lemgo (Casa): 80.64%; Frisch Auf Göppingen (Trasferta): 12.38%; Pareggio: 6.99%. Per Frisch Auf Göppingen (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 8.08. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 10.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +23.75%.
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (2 esiti rispetto al formato 3 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -12.91%E -11.96%K -161.42%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV +23.75%E +2.38%K +2.64%G +0.627% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV +4.83%E +0.322%K +0.345%G +0.017% | 9.3% | 2026-03-15 06:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -12.91%E -11.96%K -161.42%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV +23.75%E +2.38%K +2.64%G +0.627% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV +4.83%E +0.322%K +0.345%G +0.017% | 9.3% | 2026-03-15 06:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.37%EV -11.30%E -10.27%K -113.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV +5.19%E +0.611%K +0.692%G +0.036% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -9.14%E -0.703%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-15 05:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.69%EV -10.49%E -9.45%K -95.40%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.19%EV +1.48%E +0.180%K +0.205%G +0.003% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV +4.83%E +0.322%K +0.345%G +0.017% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 13:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -8.88%E -7.86%K -68.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -0.997%E -0.125%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -2.15%E -0.154%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 05:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -8.88%E -7.86%K -68.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -0.997%E -0.125%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -2.15%E -0.154%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 05:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.99%EV -8.08%E -7.08%K -57.68%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.91%EV -4.09%E -0.528%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.10%EV -9.14%E -0.703%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 12:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.07%EV -9.69%E -8.65%K -80.73%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 11.95%EV -5.95%E -0.782%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -9.14%E -0.703%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 05:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.07%EV -9.69%E -8.65%K -80.73%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 11.95%EV -5.95%E -0.782%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -9.14%E -0.703%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 05:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.25%EV -9.69%E -8.65%K -80.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -13.37%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.07%EV -23.12%E -2.10%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-15 06:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.25%EV -9.69%E -8.65%K -80.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -13.37%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.07%EV -23.12%E -2.10%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-15 06:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.25%EV -9.69%E -8.65%K -80.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -13.37%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.07%EV -23.12%E -2.10%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-15 06:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.52%EV -10.49%E -9.45%K -95.40%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 12.86%EV -13.99%E -2.01%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.62%EV -5.65%E -0.418%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-15 13:48 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.93%EV -5.66%E -4.83%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -16.47%E -2.44%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV -12.64%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 08:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.93%EV -5.66%E -4.83%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -16.47%E -2.44%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV -12.64%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 08:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.93%EV -5.66%E -4.83%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -16.47%E -2.44%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV -12.64%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 07:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.93%EV -5.66%E -4.83%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -16.47%E -2.44%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV -12.64%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 08:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.93%EV -5.66%E -4.83%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -16.47%E -2.44%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV -12.64%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 08:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.93%EV -5.66%E -4.83%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -16.47%E -2.44%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV -12.64%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 08:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.93%EV -5.66%E -4.83%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -16.47%E -2.44%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV -12.64%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 08:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.93%EV -5.66%E -4.83%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -16.47%E -2.44%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV -12.64%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 07:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.93%EV -5.66%E -4.83%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -16.47%E -2.44%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV -12.64%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 08:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 79.30%EV -10.49%E -9.45%K -95.40%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.04%EV -16.47%E -2.44%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.65%EV -19.63%E -1.71%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-15 05:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.37%EV -5.66%E -4.83%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.44%EV -21.42%E -3.37%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.75I 7.84%NM 7.19%EV -10.89%E -0.854%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 12:14 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 78.95% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.16% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.89% | 15.2% | 2026-03-15 05:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 31.96% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 34.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 34.02% | 169.7% | 2026-03-15 08:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 31.96% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 34.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 34.02% | 169.7% | 2026-03-15 08:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 31.96% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 34.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 34.02% | 169.7% | 2026-03-15 08:00 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67% | 7.1% | 2026-03-15 13:50 |