The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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SG Flensburg-Handewitt v ThSV Eisenach

2026-08-28 18:00 UTC — Handball-Bundesliga

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SG Flensburg-Handewitt (Local)

Prediction 83.59%1.20fair odd
EV -8.05%
Edge -7.32%
Kelly -80.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.32%83.62%83.52%85.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.081.081.1094.34%92.27%92.17%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

ThSV Eisenach (Visit)

Prediction 10.12%9.88fair odd
EV +1.24%
Edge +0.124%
Kelly +0.137%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 10.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.19%10.12%10.14%11.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.949.0010.0013.33%11.18%11.11%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 6.29%15.90fair odd
EV +0.603%
Edge +0.038%
Kelly +0.040%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 16.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.74%6.26%6.33%7.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.0014.4714.7516.008.33%6.91%6.78%6.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: SG Flensburg-Handewitt (Local): 83.59%; ThSV Eisenach (Visit): 10.12%; Draw: 6.29%. For ThSV Eisenach (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.88. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 10.00, producing a positive expected value of +1.24%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.95%EV -8.89%E -8.15%K -98.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +1.24%E +0.124%K +0.137%G +0.002%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV +0.603%E +0.038%K +0.040%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 18:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.07%EV -9.72%E -9.00%K -121.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV +1.24%E +0.124%K +0.137%G +0.002%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV +0.603%E +0.038%K +0.040%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 20:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.47%EV -8.05%E -7.32%K -80.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -8.89%E -0.988%K -1.11%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.33%EV -8.83%E -0.609%K -0.654%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 18:49
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.77%EV -8.89%E -8.15%K -98.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -8.89%E -0.988%K -1.11%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -5.69%E -0.379%K -0.406%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-21 18:49
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.77%EV -8.89%E -8.15%K -98.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -8.89%E -0.988%K -1.11%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -5.69%E -0.379%K -0.406%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-21 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.53%EV -9.72%E -9.00%K -121.55%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -8.89%E -0.988%K -1.11%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.44%EV -11.97%E -0.855%K -0.921%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-21 18:48
Betclic (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 82.26%EV -9.72%E -9.00%K -121.55%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.04%EV -18.51%E -2.30%K -2.62%G +0.000%13.25I 7.55%NM 6.70%EV -16.69%E -1.26%K -1.36%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-21 18:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 81.32%EV -11.40%E -10.75%K -189.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.49%EV -24.07%E -3.21%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.18%EV -24.55%E -2.05%K -2.23%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-21 18:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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