语言:简体中文
SG Flensburg-Handewitt v ThSV Eisenach
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
SG Flensburg-Handewitt (主队)
预测 86.38%1.16公平赔率
EV -6.71%
优势 -6.22%
Kelly -83.91%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.08
博彩公司预测分布
83.51%86.74%86.65%90.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.041.061.051.0896.15%94.61%95.24%92.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
ThSV Eisenach (客队)
预测 8.52%11.74公平赔率
EV +32.05%
优势 +2.07%
Kelly +2.21%
增长率 +0.708%
假设最高赔率为 15.50
博彩公司预测分布
6.13%8.29%8.29%9.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.0011.3111.5015.5011.11%8.84%8.70%6.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 5.10%19.59公平赔率
EV +42.91%
优势 +1.53%
Kelly +1.59%
增长率 +0.682%
假设最高赔率为 28.00
博彩公司预测分布
3.39%4.96%5.05%6.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
13.0017.7417.0028.007.69%5.64%5.88%3.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：SG Flensburg-Handewitt (主队)：86.38%；ThSV Eisenach (客队)：8.52%；平局：5.10%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为19.59。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为28.00，对应+42.91%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.48%EV -9.30%E -8.86%K -186.08%G +0.000% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.13%EV +32.05%E +2.07%K +2.21%G +0.708% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.39%EV +42.91%E +1.53%K +1.59%G +0.682% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 12:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.79%EV -10.17%E -9.78%K -254.20%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +19.27%E +1.38%K +1.48%G +0.286% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.62%EV +2.08%E +0.104%K +0.109%G +0.002% | 8.3% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.33%EV -10.17%E -9.78%K -254.20%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV +19.27%E +1.38%K +1.48%G +0.286% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV -8.13%E -0.452%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.99%EV -9.30%E -8.86%K -186.08%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV +6.49%E +0.519%K +0.564%G +0.037% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.62%EV +2.08%E +0.104%K +0.109%G +0.002% | 8.2% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.40%EV -8.44%E -7.96%K -140.67%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%EV +2.23%E +0.186%K +0.203%G +0.005% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -3.03%E -0.159%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.51%EV -7.58%E -7.08%K -108.24%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.05%EV -2.03%E -0.177%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.44%EV -13.23%E -0.778%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-27 08:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.51%EV -7.58%E -7.08%K -108.24%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.05%EV -2.03%E -0.177%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.44%EV -13.23%E -0.778%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-27 08:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.51%EV -7.58%E -7.08%K -108.24%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.05%EV -2.03%E -0.177%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.44%EV -13.23%E -0.778%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-27 08:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.51%EV -7.58%E -7.08%K -108.24%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.05%EV -2.03%E -0.177%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.44%EV -13.23%E -0.778%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-27 08:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.51%EV -7.58%E -7.08%K -108.24%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.05%EV -2.03%E -0.177%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.44%EV -13.23%E -0.778%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-27 08:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.51%EV -7.58%E -7.08%K -108.24%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.05%EV -2.03%E -0.177%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.44%EV -13.23%E -0.778%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-27 08:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.51%EV -7.58%E -7.08%K -108.24%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.05%EV -2.03%E -0.177%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.44%EV -13.23%E -0.778%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-27 08:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.51%EV -7.58%E -7.08%K -108.24%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.05%EV -2.03%E -0.177%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.44%EV -13.23%E -0.778%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-27 08:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.90%EV -9.30%E -8.86%K -186.08%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.30%EV -6.29%E -0.572%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.80%EV -3.03%E -0.159%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.67%EV -9.30%E -8.86%K -186.08%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -6.29%E -0.572%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.06%EV -8.13%E -0.452%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.67%EV -9.30%E -8.86%K -186.08%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -6.29%E -0.572%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.06%EV -8.13%E -0.452%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 85.11%EV -9.30%E -8.86%K -186.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.94%EV -14.81%E -1.48%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -23.44%E -1.56%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 85.11%EV -9.30%E -8.86%K -186.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.94%EV -14.81%E -1.48%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -23.44%E -1.56%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 85.11%EV -9.30%E -8.86%K -186.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.94%EV -14.81%E -1.48%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -23.44%E -1.56%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.83%EV -6.71%E -6.22%K -83.91%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.44%EV -17.37%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.73%EV -18.34%E -1.15%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 86.56%EV -10.17%E -9.78%K -254.20%G +0.000% | 9.45I 10.58%NM 9.53%EV -19.49%E -2.06%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.91%EV +17.39%E +0.756%K +0.790%G +0.137% | 11.1% | 2026-08-28 17:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 84.40%EV -10.17%E -9.78%K -254.20%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.75%EV -23.33%E -2.59%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.85%EV -23.44%E -1.56%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 83.51%EV -9.30%E -8.86%K -186.08%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.74%EV -23.33%E -2.59%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.75%EV -33.65%E -2.59%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-27 08:45 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 83.67% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.12% | 14.01I 7.14%NM 6.21% | 14.9% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.47% | 8.13I 12.30%NM 11.53% | 6.6% | 2026-08-28 17:44 |