Language:English
SG Flensburg-Handewitt v HC Erlangen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SG Flensburg-Handewitt (Local)
Prediction 85.71%1.17fair odd
EV -7.43%
Edge -6.88%
Kelly -92.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.29%85.83%85.60%88.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.071.071.0896.15%93.80%93.46%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
HC Erlangen (Visit)
Prediction 8.77%11.40fair odd
EV +14.06%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.165%
assuming max odds 13.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.07%8.65%8.78%10.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.0010.3010.0013.0012.50%9.71%10.00%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 5.52%18.13fair odd
EV +10.32%
Edge +0.516%
Kelly +0.543%
Growth +0.056%
assuming max odds 20.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.59%5.51%5.61%6.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.5015.5215.0020.008.00%6.44%6.67%5.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SG Flensburg-Handewitt (Local): 85.71%; HC Erlangen (Visit): 8.77%; Draw: 5.52%. For HC Erlangen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.40. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.06%.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.34%EV -10.86%E -10.44%K -271.54%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV +14.06%E +1.08%K +1.17%G +0.165% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.59%EV +10.32%E +0.516%K +0.543%G +0.056% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 19:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.50%EV -8.29%E -7.75%K -118.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV +5.29%E +0.441%K +0.481%G +0.025% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV -11.75%E -0.734%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 12:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.28%EV -9.15%E -8.63%K -152.46%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV +5.29%E +0.441%K +0.481%G +0.025% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -17.26%E -1.15%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.45%EV -8.29%E -7.75%K -118.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -3.48%E -0.317%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV -0.715%E -0.040%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.45%EV -8.29%E -7.75%K -118.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -3.48%E -0.317%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV -0.715%E -0.040%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.82%EV -7.43%E -6.88%K -92.91%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.62%EV -5.68%E -0.528%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 16.69I 5.99%NM 5.55%EV -7.94%E -0.476%K -0.506%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.82%EV -7.43%E -6.88%K -92.91%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.62%EV -5.68%E -0.528%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 16.69I 5.99%NM 5.55%EV -7.94%E -0.476%K -0.506%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.15%EV -7.43%E -6.88%K -92.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -12.26%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 16.25I 6.15%NM 5.66%EV -10.37%E -0.638%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.19%EV -8.29%E -7.75%K -118.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -12.26%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -11.75%E -0.734%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -8.29%E -7.75%K -118.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.26%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -17.26%E -1.15%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -8.29%E -7.75%K -118.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.26%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -17.26%E -1.15%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -8.29%E -7.75%K -118.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.26%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -17.26%E -1.15%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-04 09:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -8.29%E -7.75%K -118.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.26%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -17.26%E -1.15%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -8.29%E -7.75%K -118.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.26%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -17.26%E -1.15%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -8.29%E -7.75%K -118.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.26%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -17.26%E -1.15%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -8.29%E -7.75%K -118.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.26%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -17.26%E -1.15%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -8.29%E -7.75%K -118.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.26%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -17.26%E -1.15%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-04 09:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 84.21%EV -9.15%E -8.63%K -152.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -12.26%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -28.29%E -2.18%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 84.21%EV -9.15%E -8.63%K -152.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -12.26%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -28.29%E -2.18%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 84.21%EV -9.15%E -8.63%K -152.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -12.26%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -28.29%E -2.18%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 84.35%EV -10.00%E -9.53%K -200.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.32%EV -16.65%E -1.75%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.33%EV -22.78%E -1.63%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.01%EV -9.15%E -8.63%K -152.46%G +0.000% | 8.85I 11.30%NM 10.18%EV -22.35%E -2.53%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 18.75I 5.33%NM 4.81%EV +3.42%E +0.183%K +0.193%G +0.007% | 11.0% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 82.29%EV -10.00%E -9.53%K -200.09%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.80%EV -29.81%E -3.73%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 6.91%EV -31.05%E -2.48%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 82.50% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 10.56% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 6.93% | 15.4% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |