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SG Flensburg-Handewitt v HC Erlangen
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
SG Flensburg-Handewitt (主队)
预测 85.71%1.17公平赔率
EV -7.43%
优势 -6.88%
Kelly -92.91%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.08
博彩公司预测分布
82.29%85.83%85.60%88.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.041.071.071.0896.15%93.80%93.46%92.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
HC Erlangen (客队)
预测 8.77%11.40公平赔率
EV +14.06%
优势 +1.08%
Kelly +1.17%
增长率 +0.165%
假设最高赔率为 13.00
博彩公司预测分布
7.07%8.65%8.78%10.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.0010.3010.0013.0012.50%9.71%10.00%7.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 5.52%18.13公平赔率
EV +10.32%
优势 +0.516%
Kelly +0.543%
增长率 +0.056%
假设最高赔率为 20.00
博彩公司预测分布
4.59%5.51%5.61%6.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
12.5015.5215.0020.008.00%6.44%6.67%5.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：SG Flensburg-Handewitt (主队)：85.71%；HC Erlangen (客队)：8.77%；平局：5.52%。 对于“HC Erlangen (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为11.40。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为13.00，对应+14.06%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.34%EV -10.86%E -10.44%K -271.54%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV +14.06%E +1.08%K +1.17%G +0.165% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.59%EV +10.32%E +0.516%K +0.543%G +0.056% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 19:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.50%EV -8.29%E -7.75%K -118.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV +5.29%E +0.441%K +0.481%G +0.025% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV -11.75%E -0.734%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 12:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.28%EV -9.15%E -8.63%K -152.46%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV +5.29%E +0.441%K +0.481%G +0.025% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -17.26%E -1.15%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.45%EV -8.29%E -7.75%K -118.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -3.48%E -0.317%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV -0.715%E -0.040%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.45%EV -8.29%E -7.75%K -118.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -3.48%E -0.317%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV -0.715%E -0.040%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.82%EV -7.43%E -6.88%K -92.91%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.62%EV -5.68%E -0.528%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 16.69I 5.99%NM 5.55%EV -7.94%E -0.476%K -0.506%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.82%EV -7.43%E -6.88%K -92.91%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.62%EV -5.68%E -0.528%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 16.69I 5.99%NM 5.55%EV -7.94%E -0.476%K -0.506%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.15%EV -7.43%E -6.88%K -92.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -12.26%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 16.25I 6.15%NM 5.66%EV -10.37%E -0.638%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.19%EV -8.29%E -7.75%K -118.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -12.26%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -11.75%E -0.734%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -8.29%E -7.75%K -118.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.26%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -17.26%E -1.15%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -8.29%E -7.75%K -118.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.26%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -17.26%E -1.15%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -8.29%E -7.75%K -118.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.26%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -17.26%E -1.15%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-04 09:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -8.29%E -7.75%K -118.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.26%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -17.26%E -1.15%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -8.29%E -7.75%K -118.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.26%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -17.26%E -1.15%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -8.29%E -7.75%K -118.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.26%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -17.26%E -1.15%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -8.29%E -7.75%K -118.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.26%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -17.26%E -1.15%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -8.29%E -7.75%K -118.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.26%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -17.26%E -1.15%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-04 09:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 84.21%EV -9.15%E -8.63%K -152.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -12.26%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -28.29%E -2.18%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 84.21%EV -9.15%E -8.63%K -152.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -12.26%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -28.29%E -2.18%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 84.21%EV -9.15%E -8.63%K -152.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -12.26%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -28.29%E -2.18%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 84.35%EV -10.00%E -9.53%K -200.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.32%EV -16.65%E -1.75%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.33%EV -22.78%E -1.63%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.01%EV -9.15%E -8.63%K -152.46%G +0.000% | 8.85I 11.30%NM 10.18%EV -22.35%E -2.53%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 18.75I 5.33%NM 4.81%EV +3.42%E +0.183%K +0.193%G +0.007% | 11.0% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 82.29%EV -10.00%E -9.53%K -200.09%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.80%EV -29.81%E -3.73%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 6.91%EV -31.05%E -2.48%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 82.50% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 10.56% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 6.93% | 15.4% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |