The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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SG Flensburg-Handewitt v GWD Minden

Kickoff: 2026-03-27 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SG Flensburg-Handewitt (Local)

Prediction 89.42%1.12fair odd
EV -7.89%
Edge -7.66%
Kelly -263.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.27%89.42%89.55%93.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.021.021.0399.01%97.96%98.04%97.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

GWD Minden (Visit)

Prediction 6.10%16.38fair odd
EV +40.39%
Edge +1.76%
Kelly +1.84%
Growth +0.741%

assuming max odds 23.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.09%6.20%5.99%7.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.0016.9817.0023.009.09%5.89%5.88%4.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 4.47%22.36fair odd
EV +69.98%
Edge +1.84%
Kelly +1.89%
Growth +1.32%

assuming max odds 38.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.40%4.38%4.46%5.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
15.0023.6523.0038.006.67%4.23%4.35%2.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SG Flensburg-Handewitt (Local): 89.42%; GWD Minden (Visit): 6.10%; Draw: 4.47%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 22.36. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 38.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +69.98%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Betclic (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 90.17%EV -9.68%E -9.59%K -968.26%G +0.000%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.43%EV -25.23%E -2.06%K -2.24%G +0.000%38.00I 2.63%NM 2.40%EV +69.98%E +1.84%K +1.89%G +1.32%9.8%2026-03-27 18:50
Paddy Power🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.08%EV -8.79%E -8.62%K -439.42%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV +40.39%E +1.76%K +1.84%G +0.741%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.79%EV +52.09%E +1.53%K +1.58%G +0.822%5.3%2026-03-27 00:54
Coral🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.14%EV -9.68%E -9.59%K -968.26%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV +40.39%E +1.76%K +1.84%G +0.741%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.77%EV +52.09%E +1.53%K +1.58%G +0.822%6.3%2026-03-25 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.14%EV -9.68%E -9.59%K -968.26%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV +40.39%E +1.76%K +1.84%G +0.741%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.77%EV +52.09%E +1.53%K +1.58%G +0.822%6.3%2026-03-25 18:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.12%EV -8.79%E -8.62%K -439.42%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV +9.87%E +0.548%K +0.580%G +0.057%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.72%EV +11.83%E +0.473%K +0.493%G +0.058%7.6%2026-03-26 07:35
Unibet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.47%EV -7.89%E -7.66%K -263.14%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +3.76%E +0.221%K +0.235%G +0.009%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.05%EV +2.88%E +0.125%K +0.131%G +0.004%7.3%2026-03-27 15:34
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.47%EV -7.89%E -7.66%K -263.14%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +3.76%E +0.221%K +0.235%G +0.009%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.05%EV +2.88%E +0.125%K +0.131%G +0.004%7.3%2026-03-27 15:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.47%EV -7.89%E -7.66%K -263.14%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +3.76%E +0.221%K +0.235%G +0.009%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.05%EV +2.88%E +0.125%K +0.131%G +0.004%7.3%2026-03-27 15:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.47%EV -7.89%E -7.66%K -263.14%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +3.76%E +0.221%K +0.235%G +0.009%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.05%EV +2.88%E +0.125%K +0.131%G +0.004%7.3%2026-03-27 15:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.47%EV -7.89%E -7.66%K -263.14%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +3.76%E +0.221%K +0.235%G +0.009%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.05%EV +2.88%E +0.125%K +0.131%G +0.004%7.3%2026-03-27 15:35
Grosvenor🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.47%EV -7.89%E -7.66%K -263.14%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +3.76%E +0.221%K +0.235%G +0.009%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.05%EV +2.88%E +0.125%K +0.131%G +0.004%7.3%2026-03-27 15:34
Casumo🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.47%EV -7.89%E -7.66%K -263.14%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +3.76%E +0.221%K +0.235%G +0.009%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.05%EV +2.88%E +0.125%K +0.131%G +0.004%7.3%2026-03-27 15:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.47%EV -7.89%E -7.66%K -263.14%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +3.76%E +0.221%K +0.235%G +0.009%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.05%EV +2.88%E +0.125%K +0.131%G +0.004%7.3%2026-03-27 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.47%EV -7.89%E -7.66%K -263.14%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +3.76%E +0.221%K +0.235%G +0.009%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.05%EV +2.88%E +0.125%K +0.131%G +0.004%7.3%2026-03-27 15:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.07%EV -8.79%E -8.62%K -439.42%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.89%EV +15.97%E +0.841%K +0.887%G +0.142%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.04%EV +2.88%E +0.125%K +0.131%G +0.004%7.7%2026-03-27 07:09
Coolbet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -8.79%E -8.62%K -439.42%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV +9.87%E +0.548%K +0.580%G +0.057%22.50I 4.44%NM 4.11%EV +0.645%E +0.029%K +0.030%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 15:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 89.55%EV -8.79%E -8.62%K -439.42%G +0.000%15.25I 6.56%NM 5.99%EV -6.92%E -0.454%K -0.485%G +0.000%20.50I 4.88%NM 4.46%EV -8.30%E -0.405%K -0.426%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-27 16:29
NordicBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 89.37%EV -8.79%E -8.62%K -439.42%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.08%EV -8.44%E -0.563%K -0.603%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.56%EV -10.54%E -0.527%K -0.555%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-25 18:15
Betsson🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 89.37%EV -8.79%E -8.62%K -439.42%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.08%EV -8.44%E -0.563%K -0.603%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.56%EV -10.54%E -0.527%K -0.555%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-25 18:15
888sport🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 88.75%EV -9.68%E -9.59%K -968.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.98%EV -8.44%E -0.563%K -0.603%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.27%EV -23.96%E -1.41%K -1.50%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-27 14:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 88.75%EV -9.68%E -9.59%K -968.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.98%EV -8.44%E -0.563%K -0.603%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.27%EV -23.96%E -1.41%K -1.50%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-27 14:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 88.75%EV -9.68%E -9.59%K -968.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.98%EV -8.44%E -0.563%K -0.603%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.27%EV -23.96%E -1.41%K -1.50%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-27 14:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 86.27%EV -9.68%E -9.59%K -968.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.92%EV -32.86%E -2.99%K -3.29%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.81%EV -32.90%E -2.19%K -2.35%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-27 00:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.01I 99.01%NM 85.77%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.25%14.49I 6.90%NM 5.98%15.4%2026-03-27 00:55

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.30%12.23I 8.18%NM 7.70%6.2%2026-03-27 16:00