默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

SG Flensburg-Handewitt v GWD Minden

开赛时间: 2026-03-27 19:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

SG Flensburg-Handewitt (主队)

预测 89.42%1.12公平赔率
EV -7.89%
优势 -7.66%
Kelly -263.14%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.03

博彩公司预测分布
86.27%89.42%89.55%93.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.011.021.021.0399.01%97.96%98.04%97.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

GWD Minden (客队)

预测 6.10%16.38公平赔率
EV +40.39%
优势 +1.76%
Kelly +1.84%
增长率 +0.741%

假设最高赔率为 23.00

博彩公司预测分布
4.09%6.20%5.99%7.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
11.0016.9817.0023.009.09%5.89%5.88%4.35%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 4.47%22.36公平赔率
EV +69.98%
优势 +1.84%
Kelly +1.89%
增长率 +1.32%

假设最高赔率为 38.00

博彩公司预测分布
2.40%4.38%4.46%5.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
15.0023.6523.0038.006.67%4.23%4.35%2.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:SG Flensburg-Handewitt (主队):89.42%;GWD Minden (客队):6.10%;平局:4.47%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为22.36。 当时有16家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为38.00,对应+69.98%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Betclic (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 90.17%EV -9.68%E -9.59%K -968.26%G +0.000%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.43%EV -25.23%E -2.06%K -2.24%G +0.000%38.00I 2.63%NM 2.40%EV +69.98%E +1.84%K +1.89%G +1.32%9.8%2026-03-27 18:50
Paddy Power🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.08%EV -8.79%E -8.62%K -439.42%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV +40.39%E +1.76%K +1.84%G +0.741%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.79%EV +52.09%E +1.53%K +1.58%G +0.822%5.3%2026-03-27 00:54
Coral🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.14%EV -9.68%E -9.59%K -968.26%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV +40.39%E +1.76%K +1.84%G +0.741%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.77%EV +52.09%E +1.53%K +1.58%G +0.822%6.3%2026-03-25 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.14%EV -9.68%E -9.59%K -968.26%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV +40.39%E +1.76%K +1.84%G +0.741%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.77%EV +52.09%E +1.53%K +1.58%G +0.822%6.3%2026-03-25 18:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.12%EV -8.79%E -8.62%K -439.42%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV +9.87%E +0.548%K +0.580%G +0.057%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.72%EV +11.83%E +0.473%K +0.493%G +0.058%7.6%2026-03-26 07:35
Unibet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.47%EV -7.89%E -7.66%K -263.14%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +3.76%E +0.221%K +0.235%G +0.009%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.05%EV +2.88%E +0.125%K +0.131%G +0.004%7.3%2026-03-27 15:34
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.47%EV -7.89%E -7.66%K -263.14%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +3.76%E +0.221%K +0.235%G +0.009%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.05%EV +2.88%E +0.125%K +0.131%G +0.004%7.3%2026-03-27 15:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.47%EV -7.89%E -7.66%K -263.14%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +3.76%E +0.221%K +0.235%G +0.009%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.05%EV +2.88%E +0.125%K +0.131%G +0.004%7.3%2026-03-27 15:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.47%EV -7.89%E -7.66%K -263.14%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +3.76%E +0.221%K +0.235%G +0.009%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.05%EV +2.88%E +0.125%K +0.131%G +0.004%7.3%2026-03-27 15:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.47%EV -7.89%E -7.66%K -263.14%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +3.76%E +0.221%K +0.235%G +0.009%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.05%EV +2.88%E +0.125%K +0.131%G +0.004%7.3%2026-03-27 15:35
Grosvenor🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.47%EV -7.89%E -7.66%K -263.14%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +3.76%E +0.221%K +0.235%G +0.009%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.05%EV +2.88%E +0.125%K +0.131%G +0.004%7.3%2026-03-27 15:34
Casumo🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.47%EV -7.89%E -7.66%K -263.14%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +3.76%E +0.221%K +0.235%G +0.009%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.05%EV +2.88%E +0.125%K +0.131%G +0.004%7.3%2026-03-27 15:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.47%EV -7.89%E -7.66%K -263.14%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +3.76%E +0.221%K +0.235%G +0.009%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.05%EV +2.88%E +0.125%K +0.131%G +0.004%7.3%2026-03-27 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.47%EV -7.89%E -7.66%K -263.14%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +3.76%E +0.221%K +0.235%G +0.009%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.05%EV +2.88%E +0.125%K +0.131%G +0.004%7.3%2026-03-27 15:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.07%EV -8.79%E -8.62%K -439.42%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.89%EV +15.97%E +0.841%K +0.887%G +0.142%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.04%EV +2.88%E +0.125%K +0.131%G +0.004%7.7%2026-03-27 07:09
Coolbet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -8.79%E -8.62%K -439.42%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV +9.87%E +0.548%K +0.580%G +0.057%22.50I 4.44%NM 4.11%EV +0.645%E +0.029%K +0.030%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 15:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 89.55%EV -8.79%E -8.62%K -439.42%G +0.000%15.25I 6.56%NM 5.99%EV -6.92%E -0.454%K -0.485%G +0.000%20.50I 4.88%NM 4.46%EV -8.30%E -0.405%K -0.426%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-27 16:29
NordicBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 89.37%EV -8.79%E -8.62%K -439.42%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.08%EV -8.44%E -0.563%K -0.603%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.56%EV -10.54%E -0.527%K -0.555%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-25 18:15
Betsson🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 89.37%EV -8.79%E -8.62%K -439.42%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.08%EV -8.44%E -0.563%K -0.603%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.56%EV -10.54%E -0.527%K -0.555%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-25 18:15
888sport🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 88.75%EV -9.68%E -9.59%K -968.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.98%EV -8.44%E -0.563%K -0.603%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.27%EV -23.96%E -1.41%K -1.50%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-27 14:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 88.75%EV -9.68%E -9.59%K -968.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.98%EV -8.44%E -0.563%K -0.603%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.27%EV -23.96%E -1.41%K -1.50%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-27 14:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 88.75%EV -9.68%E -9.59%K -968.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.98%EV -8.44%E -0.563%K -0.603%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.27%EV -23.96%E -1.41%K -1.50%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-27 14:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 86.27%EV -9.68%E -9.59%K -968.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.92%EV -32.86%E -2.99%K -3.29%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.81%EV -32.90%E -2.19%K -2.35%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-27 00:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets1.01I 99.01%NM 85.77%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.25%14.49I 6.90%NM 5.98%15.4%2026-03-27 00:55

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.30%12.23I 8.18%NM 7.70%6.2%2026-03-27 16:00