Language:English
SC Magdeburg v VfL Gummersbach
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SC Magdeburg (Local)
Prediction 69.27%1.44fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -2.16%
Kelly -7.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.51%69.09%69.23%71.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.301.301.4080.00%76.76%76.92%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
VfL Gummersbach (Visit)
Prediction 21.88%4.57fair odd
EV +2.83%
Edge +0.602%
Kelly +0.764%
Growth +0.022%
assuming max odds 4.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.46%22.06%21.76%25.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.334.374.7027.40%23.08%22.91%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 8.85%11.30fair odd
EV +1.79%
Edge +0.155%
Kelly +0.170%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 11.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.27%8.85%9.01%9.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.5010.1010.0011.5010.53%9.90%10.00%8.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Magdeburg (Local): 69.27%; VfL Gummersbach (Visit): 21.88%; Draw: 8.85%. For VfL Gummersbach (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.57. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.83%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.50%EV -7.87%E -5.92%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV +2.83%E +0.602%K +0.764%G +0.022% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.27%EV +1.79%E +0.155%K +0.170%G +0.003% | 5.2% | 2026-06-03 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.60%EV -13.41%E -10.73%K -53.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.46%EV +0.640%E +0.139%K +0.178%G +0.001% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.95%EV -11.49%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-03 10:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.60%EV -13.41%E -10.73%K -53.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.46%EV +0.640%E +0.139%K +0.178%G +0.001% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.95%EV -11.49%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-03 10:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -9.95%E -7.65%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -1.55%E -0.344%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -11.49%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-03 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -9.95%E -7.65%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -1.55%E -0.344%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -11.49%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-03 15:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -9.95%E -7.65%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -1.55%E -0.344%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -11.49%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-03 15:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -9.95%E -7.65%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -1.55%E -0.344%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -11.49%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-03 15:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -9.95%E -7.65%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -1.55%E -0.344%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -11.49%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-03 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -9.95%E -7.65%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -1.55%E -0.344%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -11.49%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-03 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -9.95%E -7.65%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -1.55%E -0.344%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -11.49%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-03 15:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -9.95%E -7.65%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -1.55%E -0.344%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -11.49%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-03 15:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -9.95%E -7.65%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -1.55%E -0.344%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -11.49%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-03 15:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.74%EV -9.95%E -7.65%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -3.74%E -0.849%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -2.64%E -0.240%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-03 17:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.92%EV -9.95%E -7.65%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -5.27%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -11.49%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-03 17:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.75%EV -10.64%E -8.25%K -36.69%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -5.27%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -15.92%E -1.68%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-03 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.75%EV -10.64%E -8.25%K -36.69%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -5.27%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -15.92%E -1.68%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-03 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.75%EV -10.64%E -8.25%K -36.69%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -5.27%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -15.92%E -1.68%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-03 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.92%EV -7.87%E -5.92%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -5.92%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -2.64%E -0.240%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-03 17:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.31%EV -13.41%E -10.73%K -53.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.44%EV -5.92%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.25%EV -15.92%E -1.68%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-06-03 15:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.74%EV -7.87%E -5.92%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -7.02%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -2.64%E -0.240%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-03 17:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -8.56%E -6.49%K -26.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.11%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -2.64%E -0.240%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-03 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.78%EV -8.56%E -6.49%K -26.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -10.30%E -2.51%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -11.49%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-03 17:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.24%EV -7.87%E -5.92%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -11.49%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-03 17:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.19%EV -10.64%E -8.25%K -36.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -14.68%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.26%EV -15.92%E -1.68%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-06-03 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.87%EV -9.95%E -7.65%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.04%EV -16.21%E -4.23%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.10%EV -14.15%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-06-03 17:48 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -3.02%E -2.16%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -20.14%E -5.52%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.36%EV -13.26%E -1.35%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-03 17:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 67.89% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.87% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.24% | 15.1% | 2026-06-03 17:50 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.54% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.46% | 6.8% | 2026-06-03 17:50 |