預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

SC Magdeburg v VfL Gummersbach

開賽時間: 2026-06-03 18:00 UTC

最終賽果: SC Magdeburg 38–35 VfL Gummersbach

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

26 家博彩公司 (9 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

SC Magdeburg (主隊)

預測 69.27%1.44公平賠率
EV -3.02%
優勢 -2.16%
Kelly -7.55%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.40

博彩公司預測分布
65.51%69.09%69.23%71.60%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.251.301.301.4080.00%76.76%76.92%71.43%最小值平均值中位數最大值

VfL Gummersbach (客隊)

預測 21.88%4.57公平賠率
EV +2.83%
優勢 +0.602%
Kelly +0.764%
成長率 +0.022%

假設最高賠率為 4.70

博彩公司預測分布
19.46%22.06%21.76%25.13%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.654.334.374.7027.40%23.08%22.91%21.28%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 8.85%11.30公平賠率
EV +1.79%
優勢 +0.155%
Kelly +0.170%
成長率 +0.003%

假設最高賠率為 11.50

博彩公司預測分布
8.27%8.85%9.01%9.47%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
9.5010.1010.0011.5010.53%9.90%10.00%8.70%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:SC Magdeburg (主隊):69.27%;VfL Gummersbach (客隊):21.88%;和局:8.85%。 對於「VfL Gummersbach (客隊)」,該估計相當於4.57的公平十進位賠率。 當時有3家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為4.70,對應+2.83%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(2 個賽果,而分析採用 3 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (26 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.50%EV -7.87%E -5.92%K -23.85%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV +2.83%E +0.602%K +0.764%G +0.022%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.27%EV +1.79%E +0.155%K +0.170%G +0.003%5.2%2026-06-03 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.60%EV -13.41%E -10.73%K -53.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.46%EV +0.640%E +0.139%K +0.178%G +0.001%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.95%EV -11.49%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-03 10:10
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.60%EV -13.41%E -10.73%K -53.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.46%EV +0.640%E +0.139%K +0.178%G +0.001%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.95%EV -11.49%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-03 10:09
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -9.95%E -7.65%K -33.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -1.55%E -0.344%K -0.442%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -11.49%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-03 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -9.95%E -7.65%K -33.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -1.55%E -0.344%K -0.442%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -11.49%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-03 15:49
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -9.95%E -7.65%K -33.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -1.55%E -0.344%K -0.442%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -11.49%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-03 15:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -9.95%E -7.65%K -33.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -1.55%E -0.344%K -0.442%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -11.49%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-03 15:49
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -9.95%E -7.65%K -33.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -1.55%E -0.344%K -0.442%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -11.49%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-03 15:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -9.95%E -7.65%K -33.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -1.55%E -0.344%K -0.442%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -11.49%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-03 15:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -9.95%E -7.65%K -33.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -1.55%E -0.344%K -0.442%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -11.49%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-03 15:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -9.95%E -7.65%K -33.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -1.55%E -0.344%K -0.442%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -11.49%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-03 15:50
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -9.95%E -7.65%K -33.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -1.55%E -0.344%K -0.442%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -11.49%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-03 15:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.74%EV -9.95%E -7.65%K -33.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -3.74%E -0.849%K -1.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -2.64%E -0.240%K -0.264%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-03 17:50
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.92%EV -9.95%E -7.65%K -33.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -5.27%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -11.49%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-03 17:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.75%EV -10.64%E -8.25%K -36.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -5.27%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -15.92%E -1.68%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-03 17:00
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.75%EV -10.64%E -8.25%K -36.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -5.27%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -15.92%E -1.68%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-03 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.75%EV -10.64%E -8.25%K -36.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -5.27%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -15.92%E -1.68%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-03 16:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.92%EV -7.87%E -5.92%K -23.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -5.92%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -2.64%E -0.240%K -0.264%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-03 17:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.31%EV -13.41%E -10.73%K -53.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.44%EV -5.92%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.25%EV -15.92%E -1.68%K -1.87%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-03 15:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.74%EV -7.87%E -5.92%K -23.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -7.02%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -2.64%E -0.240%K -0.264%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-03 17:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -8.56%E -6.49%K -26.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.11%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -2.64%E -0.240%K -0.264%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-03 17:50
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.78%EV -8.56%E -6.49%K -26.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -10.30%E -2.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -11.49%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-03 17:50
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.24%EV -7.87%E -5.92%K -23.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -11.49%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-03 17:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.19%EV -10.64%E -8.25%K -36.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -14.68%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.26%EV -15.92%E -1.68%K -1.87%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-03 17:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.87%EV -9.95%E -7.65%K -33.16%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.04%EV -16.21%E -4.23%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.10%EV -14.15%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-03 17:48
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -3.02%E -2.16%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -20.14%E -5.52%K -7.60%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.36%EV -13.26%E -1.35%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-03 17:49
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 67.89%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.87%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.24%15.1%2026-06-03 17:50

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (1)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2利潤率 ▲更新時間
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.54%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.46%6.8%2026-06-03 17:50