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SC Magdeburg v Füchse Berlin

Kickoff: 2026-03-28 15:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Magdeburg (Local)

Prediction 55.73%1.79fair odd
EV -4.70%
Edge -2.75%
Kelly -6.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.76%55.52%55.90%56.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.661.671.7163.69%60.20%59.88%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Füchse Berlin (Visit)

Prediction 33.52%2.98fair odd
EV -6.15%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -3.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.48%33.83%33.35%35.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.682.652.8039.22%37.27%37.74%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 10.75%9.30fair odd
EV +12.89%
Edge +1.23%
Kelly +1.36%
Growth +0.175%

assuming max odds 10.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.74%10.65%10.75%11.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.628.6010.5013.33%11.60%11.63%9.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Magdeburg (Local): 55.73%; Füchse Berlin (Visit): 33.52%; Draw: 10.75%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.30. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.89%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.64%EV -9.72%E -6.00%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -11.17%E -4.22%K -6.77%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV +12.89%E +1.23%K +1.36%G +0.175%9.0%2026-03-27 22:14
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -11.17%E -4.22%K -6.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -3.24%E -0.360%K -0.405%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 15:29
LeoVegas🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -11.17%E -4.22%K -6.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -3.24%E -0.360%K -0.405%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -11.17%E -4.22%K -6.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -3.24%E -0.360%K -0.405%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 15:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -11.17%E -4.22%K -6.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -3.24%E -0.360%K -0.405%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 15:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -11.17%E -4.22%K -6.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -3.24%E -0.360%K -0.405%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 15:29
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -11.17%E -4.22%K -6.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -3.24%E -0.360%K -0.405%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 15:30
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -11.17%E -4.22%K -6.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -3.24%E -0.360%K -0.405%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 15:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -11.17%E -4.22%K -6.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -3.24%E -0.360%K -0.405%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -11.17%E -4.22%K -6.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -3.24%E -0.360%K -0.405%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 15:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.93%EV -7.49%E -4.51%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.76%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -3.24%E -0.360%K -0.405%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 12:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.26%EV -5.82%E -3.44%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.55%EV -13.52%E -5.24%K -8.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -3.24%E -0.360%K -0.405%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-28 02:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.11%EV -9.16%E -5.62%K -14.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.26%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.63%EV -7.54%E -0.876%K -0.992%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 15:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.07%EV -8.05%E -4.88%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.04%EV -6.15%E -2.20%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV -8.61%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-28 03:05
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.96%EV -12.50%E -7.96%K -21.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -8.61%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-27 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.96%EV -12.50%E -7.96%K -21.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -8.61%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-27 13:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.09%EV -9.72%E -6.00%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.16%EV -8.16%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.45I 11.83%NM 10.75%EV -9.15%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-27 15:15
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.12%EV -9.72%E -6.00%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.82%EV -9.69%E -1.15%K -1.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-27 15:15
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.12%EV -9.72%E -6.00%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.82%EV -9.69%E -1.15%K -1.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-27 15:14
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.11%EV -6.37%E -3.79%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.22%EV -11.30%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 15:30
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -9.72%E -6.00%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -6.15%E -2.20%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -13.99%E -1.75%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-27 15:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.03%EV -11.95%E -7.56%K -20.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.10%EV -14.53%E -5.70%K -9.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.87%EV -13.99%E -1.75%K -2.00%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-27 15:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.76%EV -6.93%E -4.15%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.27%EV -12.18%E -4.65%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -19.36%E -2.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-27 15:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.76%EV -6.93%E -4.15%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.27%EV -12.18%E -4.65%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -19.36%E -2.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-27 15:14
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.76%EV -6.93%E -4.15%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.27%EV -12.18%E -4.65%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -19.36%E -2.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-27 15:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 55.40%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.45%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.15%15.0%2026-03-27 15:15

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%5.5%2026-03-27 15:15