默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

SC Magdeburg v Füchse Berlin

开赛时间: 2026-03-28 15:05 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

SC Magdeburg (主队)

预测 55.73%1.79公平赔率
EV -4.70%
优势 -2.75%
Kelly -6.62%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.71

博彩公司预测分布
53.76%55.52%55.90%56.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.571.661.671.7163.69%60.20%59.88%58.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Füchse Berlin (客队)

预测 33.52%2.98公平赔率
EV -6.15%
优势 -2.20%
Kelly -3.41%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.80

博彩公司预测分布
32.48%33.83%33.35%35.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.552.682.652.8039.22%37.27%37.74%35.71%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 10.75%9.30公平赔率
EV +12.89%
优势 +1.23%
Kelly +1.36%
增长率 +0.175%

假设最高赔率为 10.50

博彩公司预测分布
8.74%10.65%10.75%11.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.508.628.6010.5013.33%11.60%11.63%9.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:SC Magdeburg (主队):55.73%;Füchse Berlin (客队):33.52%;平局:10.75%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.30。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为10.50,对应+12.89%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.64%EV -9.72%E -6.00%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -11.17%E -4.22%K -6.77%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV +12.89%E +1.23%K +1.36%G +0.175%9.0%2026-03-27 22:14
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -11.17%E -4.22%K -6.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -3.24%E -0.360%K -0.405%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 15:29
LeoVegas🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -11.17%E -4.22%K -6.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -3.24%E -0.360%K -0.405%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -11.17%E -4.22%K -6.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -3.24%E -0.360%K -0.405%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 15:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -11.17%E -4.22%K -6.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -3.24%E -0.360%K -0.405%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 15:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -11.17%E -4.22%K -6.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -3.24%E -0.360%K -0.405%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 15:29
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -11.17%E -4.22%K -6.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -3.24%E -0.360%K -0.405%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 15:30
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -11.17%E -4.22%K -6.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -3.24%E -0.360%K -0.405%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 15:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -11.17%E -4.22%K -6.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -3.24%E -0.360%K -0.405%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -11.17%E -4.22%K -6.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -3.24%E -0.360%K -0.405%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 15:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.93%EV -7.49%E -4.51%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.76%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -3.24%E -0.360%K -0.405%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 12:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.26%EV -5.82%E -3.44%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.55%EV -13.52%E -5.24%K -8.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -3.24%E -0.360%K -0.405%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-28 02:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.11%EV -9.16%E -5.62%K -14.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.26%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.63%EV -7.54%E -0.876%K -0.992%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 15:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.07%EV -8.05%E -4.88%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.04%EV -6.15%E -2.20%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV -8.61%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-28 03:05
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.96%EV -12.50%E -7.96%K -21.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -8.61%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-27 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.96%EV -12.50%E -7.96%K -21.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -8.61%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-27 13:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.09%EV -9.72%E -6.00%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.16%EV -8.16%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.45I 11.83%NM 10.75%EV -9.15%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-27 15:15
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.12%EV -9.72%E -6.00%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.82%EV -9.69%E -1.15%K -1.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-27 15:15
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.12%EV -9.72%E -6.00%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.82%EV -9.69%E -1.15%K -1.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-27 15:14
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.11%EV -6.37%E -3.79%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.22%EV -11.30%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 15:30
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -9.72%E -6.00%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -6.15%E -2.20%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -13.99%E -1.75%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-27 15:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.03%EV -11.95%E -7.56%K -20.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.10%EV -14.53%E -5.70%K -9.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.87%EV -13.99%E -1.75%K -2.00%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-27 15:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.76%EV -6.93%E -4.15%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.27%EV -12.18%E -4.65%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -19.36%E -2.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-27 15:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.76%EV -6.93%E -4.15%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.27%EV -12.18%E -4.65%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -19.36%E -2.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-27 15:14
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.76%EV -6.93%E -4.15%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.27%EV -12.18%E -4.65%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -19.36%E -2.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-27 15:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 55.40%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.45%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.15%15.0%2026-03-27 15:15

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%5.5%2026-03-27 15:15