Language:English
SC DHfK Leipzig v TVB Stuttgart
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SC DHfK Leipzig (Local)
Prediction 54.95%1.82fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -3.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.21%54.76%55.04%56.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.691.671.7763.69%59.13%59.88%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
TVB Stuttgart (Visit)
Prediction 33.93%2.95fair odd
EV -6.68%
Edge -2.43%
Kelly -3.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.52%34.16%33.84%36.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.632.622.7539.22%38.00%38.17%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 11.12%8.99fair odd
EV +0.057%
Edge +0.006%
Kelly +0.007%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 9.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.22%11.08%11.12%11.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.108.009.0013.33%12.35%12.50%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC DHfK Leipzig (Local): 54.95%; TVB Stuttgart (Visit): 33.93%; Draw: 11.12%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.99. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.057%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.07%EV -8.24%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.71%EV -10.07%E -3.80%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV +0.057%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 21:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.92%EV -6.59%E -3.88%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.67%EV -12.79%E -4.98%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.42%EV -2.17%E -0.246%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.44%EV -8.24%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -6.68%E -2.43%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -5.50%E -0.647%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 03:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.59%EV -8.79%E -5.29%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -6.68%E -2.43%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -5.50%E -0.647%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 21:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.96%EV -13.73%E -8.75%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -6.68%E -2.43%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -5.50%E -0.647%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-15 07:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.96%EV -13.73%E -8.75%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -6.68%E -2.43%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -5.50%E -0.647%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-15 07:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -9.89%E -6.03%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.61%EV -8.38%E -3.10%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.07%EV -8.84%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 21:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -9.89%E -6.03%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.61%EV -8.38%E -3.10%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.07%EV -8.84%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 21:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.62%EV -6.59%E -3.88%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.77%EV -6.68%E -2.43%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -11.06%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-15 15:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -13.47%E -5.28%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.06%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 08:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -13.47%E -5.28%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.06%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 08:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -13.47%E -5.28%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.06%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 08:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -13.47%E -5.28%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.06%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 08:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -13.47%E -5.28%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.06%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 08:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -13.47%E -5.28%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.06%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 08:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -13.47%E -5.28%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.06%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 08:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -13.47%E -5.28%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.06%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 08:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -13.47%E -5.28%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.06%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 08:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.82%EV -10.98%E -6.78%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -6.68%E -2.43%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -11.06%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-14 21:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.04%EV -11.53%E -7.16%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.82%EV -11.09%E -4.23%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 7.95I 12.58%NM 11.15%EV -11.62%E -1.46%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-15 15:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.89%EV -12.08%E -7.55%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.78%EV -11.77%E -4.53%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.33%EV -13.84%E -1.79%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-15 07:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.76%EV -8.24%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.27%EV -11.09%E -4.23%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -16.62%E -2.22%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-14 21:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.76%EV -8.24%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.27%EV -11.09%E -4.23%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -16.62%E -2.22%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-14 21:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.76%EV -8.24%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.27%EV -11.09%E -4.23%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -16.62%E -2.22%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-14 21:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 54.79% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 33.82% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 11.39% | 15.5% | 2026-03-14 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 30.85% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 18.02% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 51.13% | 86.3% | 2026-03-15 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 30.85% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 18.02% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 51.13% | 86.3% | 2026-03-15 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 30.85% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 18.02% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 51.13% | 86.3% | 2026-03-15 15:20 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 15:05 |