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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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SC DHfK Leipzig v TVB Stuttgart

开赛时间： 2026-03-15 15:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

24 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

SC DHfK Leipzig (主队)

预测 54.95%1.82公平赔率
EV -2.74%
优势 -1.55%
Kelly -3.56%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.77

博彩公司预测分布
52.21%54.76%55.04%56.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.571.691.671.7763.69%59.13%59.88%56.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

TVB Stuttgart (客队)

预测 33.93%2.95公平赔率
EV -6.68%
优势 -2.43%
Kelly -3.82%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.75

博彩公司预测分布
32.52%34.16%33.84%36.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.552.632.622.7539.22%38.00%38.17%36.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 11.12%8.99公平赔率
EV +0.057%
优势 +0.006%
Kelly +0.007%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 9.00

博彩公司预测分布
10.22%11.08%11.12%11.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.508.108.009.0013.33%12.35%12.50%11.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：SC DHfK Leipzig (主队)：54.95%；TVB Stuttgart (客队)：33.93%；平局：11.12%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.99。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为9.00，对应+0.057%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.07%EV -8.24%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.71%EV -10.07%E -3.80%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV +0.057%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 21:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.92%EV -6.59%E -3.88%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 35.67%EV -12.79%E -4.98%K -8.15%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.42%EV -2.17%E -0.246%K -0.278%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.44%EV -8.24%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -6.68%E -2.43%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -5.50%E -0.647%K -0.734%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 03:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.59%EV -8.79%E -5.29%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -6.68%E -2.43%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -5.50%E -0.647%K -0.734%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 21:19
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.96%EV -13.73%E -8.75%K -24.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -6.68%E -2.43%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -5.50%E -0.647%K -0.734%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-15 07:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.96%EV -13.73%E -8.75%K -24.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -6.68%E -2.43%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -5.50%E -0.647%K -0.734%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-15 07:15
Betsson🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -9.89%E -6.03%K -15.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.61%EV -8.38%E -3.10%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.07%EV -8.84%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 21:20
NordicBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -9.89%E -6.03%K -15.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.61%EV -8.38%E -3.10%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.07%EV -8.84%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 21:19
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.62%EV -6.59%E -3.88%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.77%EV -6.68%E -2.43%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -11.06%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 15:25
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -13.47%E -5.28%K -8.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.06%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 08:20
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -13.47%E -5.28%K -8.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.06%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 08:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -13.47%E -5.28%K -8.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.06%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 08:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -13.47%E -5.28%K -8.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.06%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 08:25
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -13.47%E -5.28%K -8.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.06%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 08:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -13.47%E -5.28%K -8.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.06%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 08:20
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -13.47%E -5.28%K -8.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.06%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 08:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -13.47%E -5.28%K -8.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.06%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 08:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -13.47%E -5.28%K -8.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.06%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 08:20
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.82%EV -10.98%E -6.78%K -17.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -6.68%E -2.43%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -11.06%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 21:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.04%EV -11.53%E -7.16%K -18.91%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.82%EV -11.09%E -4.23%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.95I 12.58%NM 11.15%EV -11.62%E -1.46%K -1.67%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-15 15:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.89%EV -12.08%E -7.55%K -20.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.78%EV -11.77%E -4.53%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.33%EV -13.84%E -1.79%K -2.05%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 07:14
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.76%EV -8.24%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.27%EV -11.09%E -4.23%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -16.62%E -2.22%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-14 21:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.76%EV -8.24%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.27%EV -11.09%E -4.23%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -16.62%E -2.22%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-14 21:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.76%EV -8.24%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.27%EV -11.09%E -4.23%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -16.62%E -2.22%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-14 21:20
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 54.79%2.56I 39.06%NM 33.82%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.39%15.5%2026-03-14 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 30.85%2.98I 33.56%NM 18.02%1.05I 95.24%NM 51.13%86.3%2026-03-15 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 30.85%2.98I 33.56%NM 18.02%1.05I 95.24%NM 51.13%86.3%2026-03-15 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 30.85%2.98I 33.56%NM 18.02%1.05I 95.24%NM 51.13%86.3%2026-03-15 15:20

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%5.5%2026-03-15 15:05