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MT Melsungen v TSV Hannover-Burgdorf

2026-10-03 18:00 UTC — Handball-Bundesliga

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

MT Melsungen (Local)

Prediction 57.23%1.75fair odd
EV -7.86%
Edge -4.88%
Kelly -12.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.33%57.38%57.09%58.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.591.611.6166.67%62.92%62.11%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Visit)

Prediction 31.47%3.18fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -1.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.40%31.37%31.50%32.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.882.883.0536.36%34.70%34.72%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 11.30%8.85fair odd
EV +1.70%
Edge +0.188%
Kelly +0.212%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.29%11.26%11.42%11.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.498.509.0013.33%11.77%11.76%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: MT Melsungen (Local): 57.23%; TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Visit): 31.47%; Draw: 11.30%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.85. 8 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 9.00, producing a positive expected value of +1.70%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -7.86%E -4.88%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -9.36%E -3.25%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.29%EV +1.70%E +0.188%K +0.212%G +0.004%7.9%2026-09-29 07:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -7.86%E -4.88%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -9.36%E -3.25%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.29%EV +1.70%E +0.188%K +0.212%G +0.004%7.9%2026-09-29 07:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -7.86%E -4.88%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -9.36%E -3.25%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.29%EV +1.70%E +0.188%K +0.212%G +0.004%7.9%2026-09-29 07:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -7.86%E -4.88%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -9.36%E -3.25%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.29%EV +1.70%E +0.188%K +0.212%G +0.004%7.9%2026-09-29 07:44
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -7.86%E -4.88%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -9.36%E -3.25%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.29%EV +1.70%E +0.188%K +0.212%G +0.004%7.9%2026-09-29 07:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -7.86%E -4.88%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -9.36%E -3.25%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.29%EV +1.70%E +0.188%K +0.212%G +0.004%7.9%2026-09-29 07:44
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -7.86%E -4.88%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -9.36%E -3.25%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.29%EV +1.70%E +0.188%K +0.212%G +0.004%7.9%2026-09-29 07:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -7.86%E -4.88%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -9.36%E -3.25%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.29%EV +1.70%E +0.188%K +0.212%G +0.004%7.9%2026-09-29 07:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.69%EV -9.58%E -6.06%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -4.01%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -3.95%E -0.465%K -0.527%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-29 12:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.55%EV -10.15%E -6.47%K -17.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -5.59%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -3.95%E -0.465%K -0.527%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-29 10:54
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.65%EV -9.58%E -6.06%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.30%EV -8.42%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.04%EV -6.78%E -0.822%K -0.935%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-29 07:49
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.65%EV -9.58%E -6.06%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.30%EV -8.42%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.04%EV -6.78%E -0.822%K -0.935%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-29 07:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.09%EV -8.43%E -5.27%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.73%E -3.01%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -9.60%E -1.20%K -1.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-29 12:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -7.86%E -4.88%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.56%EV -8.73%E -3.01%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.59%EV -10.73%E -1.36%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-29 09:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.74%EV -10.72%E -6.87%K -19.15%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.84%EV -12.51%E -4.50%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.42%EV -12.43%E -1.60%K -1.84%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-29 12:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.50%EV -14.16%E -9.44%K -28.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.37%EV -13.45%E -4.89%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.13%EV -12.43%E -1.60%K -1.84%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-29 11:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.33%EV -10.72%E -6.87%K -19.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.95%EV -13.45%E -4.89%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.72%EV -15.25%E -2.03%K -2.35%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-29 07:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.