默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

MT Melsungen v TSV Hannover-Burgdorf

2026-10-03 18:00 UTC — Handball-Bundesliga

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

MT Melsungen (主队)

预测 57.63%1.74公平赔率
EV -7.22%
优势 -4.48%
Kelly -11.83%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.61

博彩公司预测分布
56.33%57.63%57.63%58.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.591.601.6166.67%62.99%62.50%62.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (客队)

预测 31.10%3.21公平赔率
EV -5.13%
优势 -1.68%
Kelly -2.50%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.05

博彩公司预测分布
30.40%31.16%31.08%32.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.752.892.883.0536.36%34.61%34.72%32.79%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 11.27%8.88公平赔率
EV +1.40%
优势 +0.156%
Kelly +0.175%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 9.00

博彩公司预测分布
10.29%11.21%11.29%11.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.508.518.509.0013.33%11.76%11.76%11.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:MT Melsungen (主队):57.63%;TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (客队):31.10%;平局:11.27%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.88。 有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为9.00,由此产生+1.40%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -7.22%E -4.48%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -10.42%E -3.62%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.29%EV +1.40%E +0.156%K +0.175%G +0.002%7.9%2026-09-29 07:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -7.22%E -4.48%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -10.42%E -3.62%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.29%EV +1.40%E +0.156%K +0.175%G +0.002%7.9%2026-09-29 07:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -7.22%E -4.48%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -10.42%E -3.62%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.29%EV +1.40%E +0.156%K +0.175%G +0.002%7.9%2026-09-29 07:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -7.22%E -4.48%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -10.42%E -3.62%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.29%EV +1.40%E +0.156%K +0.175%G +0.002%7.9%2026-09-29 07:44
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -7.22%E -4.48%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -10.42%E -3.62%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.29%EV +1.40%E +0.156%K +0.175%G +0.002%7.9%2026-09-29 07:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -7.22%E -4.48%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -10.42%E -3.62%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.29%EV +1.40%E +0.156%K +0.175%G +0.002%7.9%2026-09-29 07:44
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -7.22%E -4.48%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -10.42%E -3.62%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.29%EV +1.40%E +0.156%K +0.175%G +0.002%7.9%2026-09-29 07:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -7.22%E -4.48%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -10.42%E -3.62%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.29%EV +1.40%E +0.156%K +0.175%G +0.002%7.9%2026-09-29 07:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.69%EV -8.95%E -5.66%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -5.13%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -4.23%E -0.498%K -0.564%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-29 12:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.55%EV -9.52%E -6.07%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -4.23%E -0.498%K -0.564%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-29 10:54
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.78%EV -8.95%E -5.66%K -15.43%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.16%EV -8.86%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.07%EV -7.05%E -0.854%K -0.972%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-29 14:04
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.78%EV -8.95%E -5.66%K -15.43%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.16%EV -8.86%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.07%EV -7.05%E -0.854%K -0.972%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-29 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.02%EV -8.95%E -5.66%K -15.43%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 30.66%EV -7.00%E -2.34%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.32%EV -8.74%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-29 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.09%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -9.87%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-29 12:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.74%EV -10.10%E -6.47%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.84%EV -13.53%E -4.87%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.42%EV -12.68%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-29 12:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.50%EV -13.56%E -9.04%K -27.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.37%EV -14.46%E -5.26%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.13%EV -12.68%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-29 11:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.33%EV -10.10%E -6.47%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.95%EV -14.46%E -5.26%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.72%EV -15.50%E -2.07%K -2.38%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-29 07:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。