預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

MT Melsungen v ThSV Eisenach

開賽時間: 2026-05-09 18:00 UTC

最終賽果: MT Melsungen 37–34 ThSV Eisenach

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

26 家博彩公司 (8 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

MT Melsungen (主隊)

預測 70.18%1.42公平賠率
EV -7.37%
優勢 -5.58%
Kelly -23.02%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.32

博彩公司預測分布
68.54%70.20%70.15%71.72%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.261.301.301.3279.37%76.76%76.92%75.76%最小值平均值中位數最大值

ThSV Eisenach (客隊)

預測 20.85%4.80公平賠率
EV -1.99%
優勢 -0.423%
Kelly -0.538%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.70

博彩公司預測分布
19.53%20.83%20.83%21.86%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.954.394.504.7025.32%22.78%22.22%21.28%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 8.97%11.15公平賠率
EV -1.34%
優勢 -0.122%
Kelly -0.134%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 11.00

博彩公司預測分布
8.36%8.97%9.02%9.95%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
9.009.8910.0011.0011.11%10.11%10.00%9.09%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:MT Melsungen (主隊):70.18%;ThSV Eisenach (客隊):20.85%;和局:8.97%。 對於「和局」,該估計相當於11.15的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為11.00,期望值為-1.34%,未產生正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(2 個賽果,而分析採用 3 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (26 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.16%EV -7.37%E -5.58%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.16%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -10.31%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 07:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.16%EV -7.37%E -5.58%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.16%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -10.31%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 07:55
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.16%EV -7.37%E -5.58%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.16%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -10.31%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 07:54
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.16%EV -7.37%E -5.58%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.16%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -10.31%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 07:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.16%EV -7.37%E -5.58%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.16%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -10.31%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 07:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.16%EV -7.37%E -5.58%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.16%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -10.31%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 07:55
LeoVegas🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.16%EV -7.37%E -5.58%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.16%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -10.31%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 07:55
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.16%EV -7.37%E -5.58%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.16%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -10.31%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 07:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.16%EV -7.37%E -5.58%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.16%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -10.31%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 07:55
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.16%EV -7.37%E -5.58%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.16%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -10.31%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 07:53
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.47%EV -7.37%E -5.58%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -11.37%E -2.68%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 8.95%EV -8.07%E -0.787%K -0.872%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 06:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.91%EV -8.07%E -6.16%K -26.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -6.16%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -1.34%E -0.122%K -0.134%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 13:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.07%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -6.16%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV -1.34%E -0.122%K -0.134%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 06:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.74%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -8.25%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -1.34%E -0.122%K -0.134%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:14
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.82%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -10.33%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -10.31%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 13:19
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.82%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -10.33%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -10.31%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 13:19
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.78%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -12.42%E -2.96%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -19.28%E -2.14%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-08 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.78%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -12.42%E -2.96%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -19.28%E -2.14%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-08 23:04
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.64%EV -9.47%E -7.34%K -32.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -6.16%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -10.31%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 13:19
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.38%EV -9.47%E -7.34%K -32.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.67%EV -9.71%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -19.28%E -2.14%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-09 06:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.38%EV -9.47%E -7.34%K -32.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.67%EV -9.71%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -19.28%E -2.14%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-09 05:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.38%EV -9.47%E -7.34%K -32.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.67%EV -9.71%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -19.28%E -2.14%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-09 06:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.72%EV -10.17%E -7.95%K -36.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -1.99%E -0.423%K -0.538%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -5.83%E -0.555%K -0.613%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 13:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.24%EV -10.17%E -7.95%K -36.33%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 21.72%EV -14.92%E -3.66%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.04%EV -12.10%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-09 17:48
PMU (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 69.97%EV -11.58%E -9.19%K -44.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.75%EV -11.37%E -2.68%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.28%EV -14.79%E -1.56%K -1.74%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-09 07:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 68.54%EV -11.58%E -9.19%K -44.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.86%EV -17.63%E -4.46%K -5.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.60%EV -19.28%E -2.14%K -2.41%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-08 13:19
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 68.82%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.95%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.23%15.3%2026-05-08 13:19

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (1)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2利潤率 ▲更新時間
Pinnacle🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.48%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.52%6.6%2026-05-08 07:25