语言:简体中文
MT Melsungen v ThSV Eisenach
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
MT Melsungen (主队)
预测 70.18%1.42公平赔率
EV -7.37%
优势 -5.58%
Kelly -23.02%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.32
博彩公司预测分布
68.54%70.20%70.15%71.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.261.301.301.3279.37%76.76%76.92%75.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
ThSV Eisenach (客队)
预测 20.85%4.80公平赔率
EV -1.99%
优势 -0.423%
Kelly -0.538%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.70
博彩公司预测分布
19.53%20.83%20.83%21.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.954.394.504.7025.32%22.78%22.22%21.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 8.97%11.15公平赔率
EV -1.34%
优势 -0.122%
Kelly -0.134%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 11.00
博彩公司预测分布
8.36%8.97%9.02%9.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.009.8910.0011.0011.11%10.11%10.00%9.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：MT Melsungen (主队)：70.18%；ThSV Eisenach (客队)：20.85%；平局：8.97%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为11.15。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为11.00，期望值为-1.34%，未产生正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.16%EV -7.37%E -5.58%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.16%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -10.31%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 07:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.16%EV -7.37%E -5.58%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.16%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -10.31%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 07:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.16%EV -7.37%E -5.58%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.16%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -10.31%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 07:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.16%EV -7.37%E -5.58%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.16%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -10.31%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 07:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.16%EV -7.37%E -5.58%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.16%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -10.31%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 07:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.16%EV -7.37%E -5.58%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.16%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -10.31%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 07:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.16%EV -7.37%E -5.58%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.16%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -10.31%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 07:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.16%EV -7.37%E -5.58%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.16%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -10.31%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 07:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.16%EV -7.37%E -5.58%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.16%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -10.31%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 07:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.16%EV -7.37%E -5.58%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.16%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -10.31%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 07:53 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.47%EV -7.37%E -5.58%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -11.37%E -2.68%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 8.95%EV -8.07%E -0.787%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 06:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.91%EV -8.07%E -6.16%K -26.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -6.16%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -1.34%E -0.122%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 13:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.07%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -6.16%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV -1.34%E -0.122%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 06:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.74%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -8.25%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -1.34%E -0.122%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 18:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.82%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -10.33%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -10.31%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-08 13:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.82%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -10.33%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -10.31%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-08 13:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.78%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -12.42%E -2.96%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -19.28%E -2.14%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.78%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -12.42%E -2.96%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -19.28%E -2.14%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.64%EV -9.47%E -7.34%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -6.16%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -10.31%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-08 13:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.38%EV -9.47%E -7.34%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.67%EV -9.71%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -19.28%E -2.14%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-09 06:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.38%EV -9.47%E -7.34%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.67%EV -9.71%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -19.28%E -2.14%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-09 05:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.38%EV -9.47%E -7.34%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.67%EV -9.71%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -19.28%E -2.14%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-09 06:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.72%EV -10.17%E -7.95%K -36.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -1.99%E -0.423%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -5.83%E -0.555%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-08 13:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.24%EV -10.17%E -7.95%K -36.33%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 21.72%EV -14.92%E -3.66%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.04%EV -12.10%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-09 17:48 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.97%EV -11.58%E -9.19%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.75%EV -11.37%E -2.68%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.28%EV -14.79%E -1.56%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-09 07:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 68.54%EV -11.58%E -9.19%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.86%EV -17.63%E -4.46%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.60%EV -19.28%E -2.14%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-08 13:19 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 68.82% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.95% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.23% | 15.3% | 2026-05-08 13:19 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.48% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.52% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 07:25 |