語言:繁體中文
HSV Hamburg v MT Melsungen
收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →
獨贏
HSV Hamburg (主隊)
預測 41.85%2.39公平賠率
EV -3.74%
優勢 -1.63%
Kelly -2.88%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 2.30
博彩公司預測分布
39.91%41.78%41.66%43.98%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.092.152.122.3047.85%46.54%47.17%43.48%最小值平均值中位數最大值
MT Melsungen (客隊)
預測 46.35%2.16公平賠率
EV -4.05%
優勢 -1.96%
Kelly -3.79%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 2.07
博彩公司預測分布
44.68%46.44%46.54%48.32%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.841.992.002.0754.35%50.20%50.00%48.31%最小值平均值中位數最大值
和局
預測 11.80%8.48公平賠率
EV +1.45%
優勢 +0.169%
Kelly +0.191%
成長率 +0.003%
假設最高賠率為 8.60
博彩公司預測分布
10.66%11.78%11.80%12.77%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
7.007.927.908.6014.29%12.62%12.66%11.63%最小值平均值中位數最大值
依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：HSV Hamburg (主隊)：41.85%；MT Melsungen (客隊)：46.35%；和局：11.80%。 對於「和局」，該估計相當於8.48的公平十進位賠率。 當時有10家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為8.60，對應+1.45%的正期望值。
博彩公司賠率 (24 家博彩公司)
本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 和局 ▼ | 利潤率 | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.04%EV -10.86%E -5.10%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30%EV -8.22%E -4.15%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.66%EV +1.45%E +0.169%K +0.191%G +0.003% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -4.05%E -1.96%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +0.272%E +0.032%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 09:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -4.05%E -1.96%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +0.272%E +0.032%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 09:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -4.05%E -1.96%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +0.272%E +0.032%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 09:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -4.05%E -1.96%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +0.272%E +0.032%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 09:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -4.05%E -1.96%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +0.272%E +0.032%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 09:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -4.05%E -1.96%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +0.272%E +0.032%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 09:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -4.05%E -1.96%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +0.272%E +0.032%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 09:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -4.05%E -1.96%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +0.272%E +0.032%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 09:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -4.05%E -1.96%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +0.272%E +0.032%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 09:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.00%EV -8.22%E -4.15%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.63%EV -5.63%E -0.703%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-22 14:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.26%EV -9.15%E -4.67%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -5.63%E -0.703%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-22 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.91%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.32%EV -11.93%E -6.28%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.77%EV -7.99%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-22 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.29%EV -7.93%E -3.60%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.07%EV -10.54%E -5.46%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.65%EV -7.99%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-22 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.29%EV -7.93%E -3.60%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.07%EV -10.54%E -5.46%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.65%EV -7.99%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-22 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.76%EV -9.18%E -4.23%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.26%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.97%EV -8.58%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-22 14:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.90%EV -7.93%E -3.60%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.11%EV -11.47%E -6.00%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -11.52%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-22 14:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.45%EV -10.02%E -4.66%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.66%EV -11.47%E -6.00%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.88%EV -11.52%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-22 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.45%EV -10.02%E -4.66%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.66%EV -11.47%E -6.00%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.88%EV -11.52%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-22 14:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%EV -12.11%E -5.77%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.41%EV -12.86%E -6.84%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.04%EV -14.47%E -2.00%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-02-22 14:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 41.22%EV -12.53%E -6.00%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 46.82%EV -14.71%E -8.00%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 11.96%EV -15.06%E -2.09%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-02-22 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -12.11%E -5.77%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.30%E -3.65%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -17.42%E -2.49%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-21 23:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -12.11%E -5.77%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.30%E -3.65%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -17.42%E -2.49%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-21 23:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -12.11%E -5.77%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.30%E -3.65%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -17.42%E -2.49%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-21 23:15 |
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率
更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 和局 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.21% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.77% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.02% | 15.6% | 2026-02-22 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 22.16% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 25.61% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 52.23% | 89.6% | 2026-02-22 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 22.16% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 25.61% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 52.23% | 89.6% | 2026-02-22 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 22.16% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 25.61% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 52.23% | 89.6% | 2026-02-22 14:25 |