语言:简体中文
HSV Hamburg v MT Melsungen
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
HSV Hamburg (主队)
预测 41.85%2.39公平赔率
EV -3.74%
优势 -1.63%
Kelly -2.88%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.30
博彩公司预测分布
39.91%41.78%41.66%43.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.092.152.122.3047.85%46.54%47.17%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
MT Melsungen (客队)
预测 46.35%2.16公平赔率
EV -4.05%
优势 -1.96%
Kelly -3.79%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.07
博彩公司预测分布
44.68%46.44%46.54%48.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.841.992.002.0754.35%50.20%50.00%48.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 11.80%8.48公平赔率
EV +1.45%
优势 +0.169%
Kelly +0.191%
增长率 +0.003%
假设最高赔率为 8.60
博彩公司预测分布
10.66%11.78%11.80%12.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.007.927.908.6014.29%12.62%12.66%11.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：HSV Hamburg (主队)：41.85%；MT Melsungen (客队)：46.35%；平局：11.80%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.48。 当时有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为8.60，对应+1.45%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.04%EV -10.86%E -5.10%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30%EV -8.22%E -4.15%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.66%EV +1.45%E +0.169%K +0.191%G +0.003% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -4.05%E -1.96%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +0.272%E +0.032%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 09:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -4.05%E -1.96%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +0.272%E +0.032%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 09:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -4.05%E -1.96%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +0.272%E +0.032%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 09:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -4.05%E -1.96%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +0.272%E +0.032%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 09:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -4.05%E -1.96%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +0.272%E +0.032%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 09:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -4.05%E -1.96%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +0.272%E +0.032%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 09:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -4.05%E -1.96%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +0.272%E +0.032%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 09:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -4.05%E -1.96%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +0.272%E +0.032%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 09:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -4.05%E -1.96%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +0.272%E +0.032%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 09:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.00%EV -8.22%E -4.15%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.63%EV -5.63%E -0.703%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-22 14:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.26%EV -9.15%E -4.67%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -5.63%E -0.703%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-22 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.91%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.32%EV -11.93%E -6.28%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.77%EV -7.99%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-22 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.29%EV -7.93%E -3.60%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.07%EV -10.54%E -5.46%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.65%EV -7.99%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-22 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.29%EV -7.93%E -3.60%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.07%EV -10.54%E -5.46%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.65%EV -7.99%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-22 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.76%EV -9.18%E -4.23%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.26%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.97%EV -8.58%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-22 14:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.90%EV -7.93%E -3.60%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.11%EV -11.47%E -6.00%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -11.52%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-22 14:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.45%EV -10.02%E -4.66%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.66%EV -11.47%E -6.00%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.88%EV -11.52%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-22 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.45%EV -10.02%E -4.66%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.66%EV -11.47%E -6.00%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.88%EV -11.52%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-22 14:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%EV -12.11%E -5.77%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.41%EV -12.86%E -6.84%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.04%EV -14.47%E -2.00%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-02-22 14:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 41.22%EV -12.53%E -6.00%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 46.82%EV -14.71%E -8.00%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 11.96%EV -15.06%E -2.09%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-02-22 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -12.11%E -5.77%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.30%E -3.65%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -17.42%E -2.49%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-21 23:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -12.11%E -5.77%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.30%E -3.65%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -17.42%E -2.49%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-21 23:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -12.11%E -5.77%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.30%E -3.65%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -17.42%E -2.49%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-21 23:15 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.21% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.77% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.02% | 15.6% | 2026-02-22 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 22.16% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 25.61% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 52.23% | 89.6% | 2026-02-22 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 22.16% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 25.61% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 52.23% | 89.6% | 2026-02-22 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 22.16% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 25.61% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 52.23% | 89.6% | 2026-02-22 14:25 |