預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

HSV Hamburg v HSG Wetzlar

開賽時間: 2026-06-04 17:00 UTC

最終賽果: HSV Hamburg 33–32 HSG Wetzlar

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

25 家博彩公司 (8 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

HSV Hamburg (主隊)

預測 50.57%1.98公平賠率
EV -7.46%
優勢 -4.07%
Kelly -8.98%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.83

博彩公司預測分布
48.61%50.88%50.59%52.63%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.681.781.771.8359.52%56.22%56.50%54.64%最小值平均值中位數最大值

HSG Wetzlar (客隊)

預測 37.94%2.64公平賠率
EV -3.26%
優勢 -1.28%
Kelly -2.10%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.55

博彩公司預測分布
35.70%37.70%37.90%39.53%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.252.452.452.5544.44%40.80%40.82%39.22%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 11.49%8.70公平賠率
EV +1.13%
優勢 +0.129%
Kelly +0.145%
成長率 +0.002%

假設最高賠率為 8.80

博彩公司預測分布
10.43%11.42%11.51%12.12%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
7.307.868.008.8013.70%12.73%12.50%11.36%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:HSV Hamburg (主隊):50.57%;HSG Wetzlar (客隊):37.94%;和局:11.49%。 對於「和局」,該估計相當於8.70的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為8.80,對應+1.13%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(2 個賽果,而分析採用 3 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (25 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊和局 ▼利潤率更新時間
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.69%EV -8.47%E -4.68%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.88%EV -10.47%E -4.44%K -7.70%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.43%EV +1.13%E +0.129%K +0.145%G +0.002%9.0%2026-06-04 13:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.47%EV -11.50%E -6.57%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.73%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -2.31%E -0.272%K -0.309%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-04 13:30
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.79%EV -7.46%E -4.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.94%EV -7.05%E -2.88%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.27%EV -5.19%E -0.629%K -0.716%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-04 16:16
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -10.49%E -5.93%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.06%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-04 10:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -10.49%E -5.93%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.06%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-04 10:10
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -10.49%E -5.93%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.06%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-04 10:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -10.49%E -5.93%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.06%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-04 10:10
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -10.49%E -5.93%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.06%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-04 10:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -10.49%E -5.93%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.06%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-04 10:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -10.49%E -5.93%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.06%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-04 10:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -10.49%E -5.93%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.06%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-04 10:10
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -10.49%E -5.93%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.06%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-04 10:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -7.96%E -4.37%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -7.05%E -2.88%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.06%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-04 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.63%EV -8.97%E -4.99%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.95%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -8.06%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-04 13:39
Betsson🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.63%EV -12.51%E -7.23%K -17.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.67%EV -10.36%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-04 14:19
NordicBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.63%EV -12.51%E -7.23%K -17.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.67%EV -10.36%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-04 14:18
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.25%EV -8.97%E -4.99%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.69%EV -8.95%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -13.81%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-04 13:39
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -8.97%E -4.99%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.89%EV -9.71%E -4.08%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -13.81%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-04 14:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -8.97%E -4.99%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.89%EV -9.71%E -4.08%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -13.81%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-04 14:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -8.97%E -4.99%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.89%EV -9.71%E -4.08%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -13.81%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-04 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.61%EV -7.46%E -4.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.53%EV -14.64%E -6.51%K -11.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -13.81%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-04 13:29
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.61%EV -7.46%E -4.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.53%EV -14.64%E -6.51%K -11.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -13.81%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-04 13:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.21%EV -15.04%E -8.95%K -22.12%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.10%EV -7.81%E -3.22%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.69%EV -13.81%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-04 10:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.29%EV -12.01%E -6.90%K -16.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.04%EV -12.74%E -5.54%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.67%EV -13.81%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-04 13:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.42%EV -9.48%E -5.30%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.46%EV -12.74%E -5.54%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.12%EV -16.11%E -2.21%K -2.56%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-04 16:49
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 50.33%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.64%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.02%15.5%2026-06-04 13:40

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (1)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2利潤率 ▲更新時間
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%5.6%2026-06-04 16:30