语言:简体中文
HSV Hamburg v HSG Wetzlar
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
HSV Hamburg (主队)
预测 50.57%1.98公平赔率
EV -7.46%
优势 -4.07%
Kelly -8.98%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.83
博彩公司预测分布
48.61%50.88%50.59%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.681.781.771.8359.52%56.22%56.50%54.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
HSG Wetzlar (客队)
预测 37.94%2.64公平赔率
EV -3.26%
优势 -1.28%
Kelly -2.10%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.55
博彩公司预测分布
35.70%37.70%37.90%39.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.452.452.5544.44%40.80%40.82%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 11.49%8.70公平赔率
EV +1.13%
优势 +0.129%
Kelly +0.145%
增长率 +0.002%
假设最高赔率为 8.80
博彩公司预测分布
10.43%11.42%11.51%12.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.307.868.008.8013.70%12.73%12.50%11.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：HSV Hamburg (主队)：50.57%；HSG Wetzlar (客队)：37.94%；平局：11.49%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.70。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为8.80，对应+1.13%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.69%EV -8.47%E -4.68%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.88%EV -10.47%E -4.44%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.43%EV +1.13%E +0.129%K +0.145%G +0.002% | 9.0% | 2026-06-04 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.47%EV -11.50%E -6.57%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.73%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -2.31%E -0.272%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-04 13:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.79%EV -7.46%E -4.07%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.94%EV -7.05%E -2.88%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.27%EV -5.19%E -0.629%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-04 16:16 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -10.49%E -5.93%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.06%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-04 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -10.49%E -5.93%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.06%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-04 10:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -10.49%E -5.93%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.06%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-04 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -10.49%E -5.93%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.06%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-04 10:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -10.49%E -5.93%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.06%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-04 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -10.49%E -5.93%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.06%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-04 10:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -10.49%E -5.93%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.06%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-04 10:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -10.49%E -5.93%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.06%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-04 10:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -10.49%E -5.93%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.06%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-04 10:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -7.96%E -4.37%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -7.05%E -2.88%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.06%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-04 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.63%EV -8.97%E -4.99%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.95%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -8.06%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-04 13:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.63%EV -12.51%E -7.23%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.67%EV -10.36%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-04 14:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.63%EV -12.51%E -7.23%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.67%EV -10.36%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-04 14:18 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.25%EV -8.97%E -4.99%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.69%EV -8.95%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -13.81%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-04 13:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -8.97%E -4.99%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.89%EV -9.71%E -4.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -13.81%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-04 14:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -8.97%E -4.99%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.89%EV -9.71%E -4.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -13.81%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-04 14:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -8.97%E -4.99%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.89%EV -9.71%E -4.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -13.81%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-04 14:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.61%EV -7.46%E -4.07%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.53%EV -14.64%E -6.51%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -13.81%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-04 13:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.61%EV -7.46%E -4.07%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.53%EV -14.64%E -6.51%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -13.81%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-04 13:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.21%EV -15.04%E -8.95%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.10%EV -7.81%E -3.22%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.69%EV -13.81%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-04 10:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.29%EV -12.01%E -6.90%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.04%EV -12.74%E -5.54%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.67%EV -13.81%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-04 13:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.42%EV -9.48%E -5.30%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.46%EV -12.74%E -5.54%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.12%EV -16.11%E -2.21%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-04 16:49 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.33% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.64% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.02% | 15.5% | 2026-06-04 13:40 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27% | 5.6% | 2026-06-04 16:30 |