Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

HSV Hamburg v Frisch Auf Göppingen

2026-09-13 14:30 UTC — Handball-Bundesliga

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

HSV Hamburg (Local)

Prediction 65.46%1.53fair odd
EV -7.05%
Edge -4.96%
Kelly -16.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.89%65.53%65.46%66.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.401.421.4274.63%71.39%70.42%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Frisch Auf Göppingen (Visit)

Prediction 24.55%4.07fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.83%24.51%24.55%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.593.553.9029.85%27.83%28.17%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 9.99%10.01fair odd
EV +4.89%
Edge +0.466%
Kelly +0.515%
Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 10.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.81%9.96%9.99%10.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.7910.5010.5012.50%10.21%9.52%9.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: HSV Hamburg (Local): 65.46%; Frisch Auf Göppingen (Visit): 24.55%; Draw: 9.99%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.01. 8 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 10.50, producing a positive expected value of +4.89%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.14%EV -7.05%E -4.96%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -12.85%E -3.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +4.89%E +0.466%K +0.515%G +0.025%8.1%2026-09-08 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.14%EV -7.05%E -4.96%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -12.85%E -3.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +4.89%E +0.466%K +0.515%G +0.025%8.1%2026-09-08 13:55
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.14%EV -7.05%E -4.96%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -12.85%E -3.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +4.89%E +0.466%K +0.515%G +0.025%8.1%2026-09-08 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.14%EV -7.05%E -4.96%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -12.85%E -3.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +4.89%E +0.466%K +0.515%G +0.025%8.1%2026-09-08 13:55
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.14%EV -7.05%E -4.96%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -12.85%E -3.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +4.89%E +0.466%K +0.515%G +0.025%8.1%2026-09-08 13:54
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.14%EV -7.05%E -4.96%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -12.85%E -3.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +4.89%E +0.466%K +0.515%G +0.025%8.1%2026-09-08 13:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.14%EV -7.05%E -4.96%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -12.85%E -3.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +4.89%E +0.466%K +0.515%G +0.025%8.1%2026-09-08 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.14%EV -7.05%E -4.96%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -12.85%E -3.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +4.89%E +0.466%K +0.515%G +0.025%8.1%2026-09-08 13:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.39%EV -8.36%E -5.97%K -20.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -4.26%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -5.10%E -0.536%K -0.600%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 06:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.54%EV -8.36%E -5.97%K -20.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.17%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.66%EV -5.10%E -0.536%K -0.600%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 07:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.36%E -5.97%K -20.89%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.52%EV -8.18%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 9.97%EV -8.09%E -0.880%K -0.987%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 06:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.90%EV -10.32%E -7.53%K -27.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -7.94%E -2.12%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.03%EV -10.09%E -1.12%K -1.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 06:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.89%EV -9.66%E -7.00%K -25.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.32%EV -17.76%E -5.30%K -7.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.80%EV -10.09%E -1.12%K -1.26%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-08 13:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -10.97%E -8.07%K -30.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -11.62%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.19%EV -13.09%E -1.50%K -1.70%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-08 06:38
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 64.27%EV -12.28%E -9.17%K -36.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.96%EV -15.30%E -4.44%K -6.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.77%EV -20.08%E -2.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-08 06:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.