預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

HC Erlangen v HSV Hamburg

開賽時間: 2026-04-25 18:00 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

25 家博彩公司 (7 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

HC Erlangen (主隊)

預測 45.41%2.20公平賠率
EV -6.92%
優勢 -3.37%
Kelly -6.59%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.05

博彩公司預測分布
44.49%45.36%45.51%46.27%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.902.012.002.0552.63%49.84%50.00%48.78%最小值平均值中位數最大值

HSV Hamburg (客隊)

預測 42.47%2.35公平賠率
EV -4.44%
優勢 -1.98%
Kelly -3.56%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.25

博彩公司預測分布
40.92%42.45%42.35%44.26%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.002.112.092.2550.00%47.42%47.85%44.44%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 12.12%8.25公平賠率
EV +5.48%
優勢 +0.630%
Kelly +0.711%
成長率 +0.039%

假設最高賠率為 8.70

博彩公司預測分布
10.54%12.19%12.14%14.17%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
6.507.787.508.7015.38%12.86%13.33%11.49%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:HC Erlangen (主隊):45.41%;HSV Hamburg (客隊):42.47%;和局:12.12%。 對於「和局」,該估計相當於8.25的公平十進位賠率。 當時有10家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為8.70,對應+5.48%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (25 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊和局 ▼利潤率更新時間
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.60%EV -8.73%E -4.34%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.86%EV -11.24%E -5.38%K -10.31%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.54%EV +5.48%E +0.630%K +0.711%G +0.039%9.1%2026-04-23 20:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.91%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.26%EV -11.66%E -5.61%K -10.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV +3.05%E +0.359%K +0.407%G +0.012%8.6%2026-04-20 17:35
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.91%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.26%EV -11.66%E -5.61%K -10.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV +3.05%E +0.359%K +0.407%G +0.012%8.6%2026-04-20 17:34
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.91%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.26%EV -11.66%E -5.61%K -10.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV +3.05%E +0.359%K +0.407%G +0.012%8.6%2026-04-20 17:35
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.91%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.26%EV -11.66%E -5.61%K -10.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV +3.05%E +0.359%K +0.407%G +0.012%8.6%2026-04-20 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.91%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.26%EV -11.66%E -5.61%K -10.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV +3.05%E +0.359%K +0.407%G +0.012%8.6%2026-04-20 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.91%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.26%EV -11.66%E -5.61%K -10.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV +3.05%E +0.359%K +0.407%G +0.012%8.6%2026-04-20 18:05
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.91%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.26%EV -11.66%E -5.61%K -10.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV +3.05%E +0.359%K +0.407%G +0.012%8.6%2026-04-20 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.91%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.26%EV -11.66%E -5.61%K -10.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV +3.05%E +0.359%K +0.407%G +0.012%8.6%2026-04-20 18:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.91%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.26%EV -11.66%E -5.61%K -10.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV +3.05%E +0.359%K +0.407%G +0.012%8.6%2026-04-21 00:05
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.51%EV -7.82%E -3.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.57%EV -7.84%E -3.61%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.92%EV -6.04%E -0.779%K -0.895%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 03:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.14%EV -9.19%E -4.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.95%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.91%EV -6.04%E -0.779%K -0.895%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 12:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.52%EV -9.19%E -4.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.34%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -9.07%E -1.21%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 12:29
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.06%EV -9.19%E -4.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.92%EV -10.81%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -9.07%E -1.21%K -1.40%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 18:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.06%EV -9.19%E -4.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.92%EV -10.81%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -9.07%E -1.21%K -1.40%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 18:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.06%EV -9.19%E -4.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.92%EV -10.81%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -9.07%E -1.21%K -1.40%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 18:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.49%EV -10.55%E -5.35%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -15.06%E -7.53%K -15.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.69%EV -9.07%E -1.21%K -1.40%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-20 18:05
Betsson🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 45.57%EV -9.64%E -4.84%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.25%EV -10.28%E -1.39%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 12:29
NordicBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 45.57%EV -9.64%E -4.84%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.25%EV -10.28%E -1.39%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 12:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.38%EV -11.46%E -5.88%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 42.34%EV -11.24%E -5.38%K -10.31%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.29%EV -12.71%E -1.77%K -2.05%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 12:28
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.19%E -4.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.81%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -15.13%E -2.16%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 12:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.27%EV -13.27%E -6.95%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.63%EV -15.13%E -2.16%K -2.52%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 12:24
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.27%EV -13.27%E -6.95%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.63%EV -15.13%E -2.16%K -2.52%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 12:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 45.28%EV -13.73%E -7.22%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.97%EV -12.94%E -6.31%K -12.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.75%EV -18.16%E -2.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-23 06:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.91%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.92%EV -4.44%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -21.20%E -3.26%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 06:15
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 45.45%2.06I 48.54%NM 42.14%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.40%15.2%2026-04-23 18:05