语言:简体中文
HC Erlangen v HSV Hamburg
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
HC Erlangen (主队)
预测 45.41%2.20公平赔率
EV -6.92%
优势 -3.37%
Kelly -6.59%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.05
博彩公司预测分布
44.49%45.36%45.51%46.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.902.012.002.0552.63%49.84%50.00%48.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
HSV Hamburg (客队)
预测 42.47%2.35公平赔率
EV -4.44%
优势 -1.98%
Kelly -3.56%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.25
博彩公司预测分布
40.92%42.45%42.35%44.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.112.092.2550.00%47.42%47.85%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 12.12%8.25公平赔率
EV +5.48%
优势 +0.630%
Kelly +0.711%
增长率 +0.039%
假设最高赔率为 8.70
博彩公司预测分布
10.54%12.19%12.14%14.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.507.787.508.7015.38%12.86%13.33%11.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：HC Erlangen (主队)：45.41%；HSV Hamburg (客队)：42.47%；平局：12.12%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.25。 当时有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为8.70，对应+5.48%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.60%EV -8.73%E -4.34%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.86%EV -11.24%E -5.38%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.54%EV +5.48%E +0.630%K +0.711%G +0.039% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.91%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.26%EV -11.66%E -5.61%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV +3.05%E +0.359%K +0.407%G +0.012% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 17:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.91%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.26%EV -11.66%E -5.61%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV +3.05%E +0.359%K +0.407%G +0.012% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 17:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.91%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.26%EV -11.66%E -5.61%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV +3.05%E +0.359%K +0.407%G +0.012% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 17:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.91%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.26%EV -11.66%E -5.61%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV +3.05%E +0.359%K +0.407%G +0.012% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.91%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.26%EV -11.66%E -5.61%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV +3.05%E +0.359%K +0.407%G +0.012% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.91%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.26%EV -11.66%E -5.61%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV +3.05%E +0.359%K +0.407%G +0.012% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.91%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.26%EV -11.66%E -5.61%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV +3.05%E +0.359%K +0.407%G +0.012% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.91%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.26%EV -11.66%E -5.61%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV +3.05%E +0.359%K +0.407%G +0.012% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 18:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.91%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.26%EV -11.66%E -5.61%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV +3.05%E +0.359%K +0.407%G +0.012% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 00:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.51%EV -7.82%E -3.85%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.57%EV -7.84%E -3.61%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.92%EV -6.04%E -0.779%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-24 03:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.14%EV -9.19%E -4.59%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.95%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.91%EV -6.04%E -0.779%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.52%EV -9.19%E -4.59%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.34%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -9.07%E -1.21%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.06%EV -9.19%E -4.59%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.92%EV -10.81%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -9.07%E -1.21%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-23 18:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.06%EV -9.19%E -4.59%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.92%EV -10.81%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -9.07%E -1.21%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-23 18:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.06%EV -9.19%E -4.59%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.92%EV -10.81%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -9.07%E -1.21%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.49%EV -10.55%E -5.35%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -15.06%E -7.53%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.69%EV -9.07%E -1.21%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.57%EV -9.64%E -4.84%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.25%EV -10.28%E -1.39%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.57%EV -9.64%E -4.84%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.25%EV -10.28%E -1.39%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.38%EV -11.46%E -5.88%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 42.34%EV -11.24%E -5.38%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.29%EV -12.71%E -1.77%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 12:28 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.19%E -4.59%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.81%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -15.13%E -2.16%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.27%EV -13.27%E -6.95%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.63%EV -15.13%E -2.16%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.27%EV -13.27%E -6.95%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.63%EV -15.13%E -2.16%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.28%EV -13.73%E -7.22%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.97%EV -12.94%E -6.31%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.75%EV -18.16%E -2.69%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-23 06:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.91%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.92%EV -4.44%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -21.20%E -3.26%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 06:15 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.45% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.14% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.40% | 15.2% | 2026-04-23 18:05 |