預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

HC Erlangen v GWD Minden

開賽時間: 2026-03-08 15:30 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

25 家博彩公司 (9 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

HC Erlangen (主隊)

預測 64.72%1.55公平賠率
EV -6.15%
優勢 -4.24%
Kelly -13.67%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.45

博彩公司預測分布
61.90%64.62%64.57%68.13%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.361.391.401.4573.53%71.69%71.43%68.97%最小值平均值中位數最大值

GWD Minden (客隊)

預測 25.70%3.89公平賠率
EV +5.39%
優勢 +1.31%
Kelly +1.74%
成長率 +0.094%

假設最高賠率為 4.10

博彩公司預測分布
22.60%25.57%25.87%26.61%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.303.743.604.1030.30%26.74%27.78%24.39%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 9.57%10.45公平賠率
EV -4.26%
優勢 -0.426%
Kelly -0.474%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 10.00

博彩公司預測分布
9.27%9.81%9.56%11.88%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
7.509.369.8010.0013.33%10.69%10.20%10.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:HC Erlangen (主隊):64.72%;GWD Minden (客隊):25.70%;和局:9.57%。 對於「GWD Minden (客隊)」,該估計相當於3.89的公平十進位賠率。 當時有9家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為4.10,對應+5.39%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(2 個賽果,而分析採用 3 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (25 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.97%EV -11.33%E -8.27%K -30.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV +5.39%E +1.31%K +1.74%G +0.094%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -4.26%E -0.426%K -0.474%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 09:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.97%EV -11.33%E -8.27%K -30.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV +5.39%E +1.31%K +1.74%G +0.094%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -4.26%E -0.426%K -0.474%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 09:24
Unibet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.97%EV -11.33%E -8.27%K -30.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV +5.39%E +1.31%K +1.74%G +0.094%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -4.26%E -0.426%K -0.474%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 09:24
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.13%EV -11.98%E -8.81%K -33.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV +5.39%E +1.31%K +1.74%G +0.094%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -4.26%E -0.426%K -0.474%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 09:25
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.13%EV -11.98%E -8.81%K -33.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV +5.39%E +1.31%K +1.74%G +0.094%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -4.26%E -0.426%K -0.474%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 09:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.13%EV -11.98%E -8.81%K -33.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV +5.39%E +1.31%K +1.74%G +0.094%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -4.26%E -0.426%K -0.474%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 09:39
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.13%EV -11.98%E -8.81%K -33.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV +5.39%E +1.31%K +1.74%G +0.094%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -4.26%E -0.426%K -0.474%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 09:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.13%EV -11.98%E -8.81%K -33.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV +5.39%E +1.31%K +1.74%G +0.094%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -4.26%E -0.426%K -0.474%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 09:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.13%EV -11.98%E -8.81%K -33.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV +5.39%E +1.31%K +1.74%G +0.094%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -4.26%E -0.426%K -0.474%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 09:39
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.31%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -1.04%E -0.270%K -0.365%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.60%EV -16.23%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 15:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.54%EV -9.39%E -6.71%K -23.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.66%EV -9.05%E -0.953%K -1.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 15:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -9.39%E -6.71%K -23.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -6.18%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.36%EV -6.18%E -0.630%K -0.702%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 15:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.61%EV -6.15%E -4.24%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -4.26%E -0.426%K -0.474%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 13:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.93%EV -7.45%E -5.21%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.28%EV -4.26%E -0.426%K -0.474%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 15:04
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.09%EV -9.39%E -6.71%K -23.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -9.05%E -0.953%K -1.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 15:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.73%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.38%EV -6.18%E -0.630%K -0.702%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:05
Betsson🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.53%EV -8.74%E -6.20%K -21.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.48%EV -8.09%E -0.843%K -0.941%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 15:04
NordicBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.53%EV -8.74%E -6.20%K -21.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.48%EV -8.09%E -0.843%K -0.941%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 15:05
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.49%EV -9.39%E -6.71%K -23.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -23.41%E -2.93%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-08 15:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.49%EV -9.39%E -6.71%K -23.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -23.41%E -2.93%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-08 15:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.49%EV -9.39%E -6.71%K -23.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -23.41%E -2.93%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-08 15:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.22%EV -9.39%E -6.71%K -23.47%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.21%EV -11.84%E -3.45%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.56%EV -10.01%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-08 15:03
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.90%EV -6.80%E -4.72%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.88%EV -28.20%E -3.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 01:04
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.90%EV -6.80%E -4.72%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.88%EV -28.20%E -3.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 01:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.63%EV -10.68%E -7.74%K -28.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -15.18%E -4.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.76%EV -13.84%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-08 15:04
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 63.14%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.03%8.80I 11.36%NM 9.83%15.6%2026-03-08 15:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 44.27%3.90I 25.64%NM 11.46%1.01I 99.01%NM 44.27%123.7%2026-03-08 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 44.27%3.90I 25.64%NM 11.46%1.01I 99.01%NM 44.27%123.7%2026-03-08 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 44.27%3.90I 25.64%NM 11.46%1.01I 99.01%NM 44.27%123.7%2026-03-08 15:20

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (1)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2利潤率 ▲更新時間
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.84%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.16%6.4%2026-03-08 15:00