语言:简体中文
HC Erlangen v GWD Minden
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
HC Erlangen (主队)
预测 64.72%1.55公平赔率
EV -6.15%
优势 -4.24%
Kelly -13.67%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.45
博彩公司预测分布
61.90%64.62%64.57%68.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.391.401.4573.53%71.69%71.43%68.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
GWD Minden (客队)
预测 25.70%3.89公平赔率
EV +5.39%
优势 +1.31%
Kelly +1.74%
增长率 +0.094%
假设最高赔率为 4.10
博彩公司预测分布
22.60%25.57%25.87%26.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.743.604.1030.30%26.74%27.78%24.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 9.57%10.45公平赔率
EV -4.26%
优势 -0.426%
Kelly -0.474%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 10.00
博彩公司预测分布
9.27%9.81%9.56%11.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.509.369.8010.0013.33%10.69%10.20%10.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：HC Erlangen (主队)：64.72%；GWD Minden (客队)：25.70%；平局：9.57%。 对于“GWD Minden (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.89。 当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.10，对应+5.39%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.97%EV -11.33%E -8.27%K -30.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV +5.39%E +1.31%K +1.74%G +0.094% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -4.26%E -0.426%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 09:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.97%EV -11.33%E -8.27%K -30.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV +5.39%E +1.31%K +1.74%G +0.094% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -4.26%E -0.426%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 09:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.97%EV -11.33%E -8.27%K -30.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV +5.39%E +1.31%K +1.74%G +0.094% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -4.26%E -0.426%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 09:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.13%EV -11.98%E -8.81%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV +5.39%E +1.31%K +1.74%G +0.094% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -4.26%E -0.426%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 09:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.13%EV -11.98%E -8.81%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV +5.39%E +1.31%K +1.74%G +0.094% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -4.26%E -0.426%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 09:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.13%EV -11.98%E -8.81%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV +5.39%E +1.31%K +1.74%G +0.094% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -4.26%E -0.426%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 09:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.13%EV -11.98%E -8.81%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV +5.39%E +1.31%K +1.74%G +0.094% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -4.26%E -0.426%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 09:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.13%EV -11.98%E -8.81%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV +5.39%E +1.31%K +1.74%G +0.094% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -4.26%E -0.426%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 09:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.13%EV -11.98%E -8.81%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV +5.39%E +1.31%K +1.74%G +0.094% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -4.26%E -0.426%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 09:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.31%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -1.04%E -0.270%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.60%EV -16.23%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 15:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.54%EV -9.39%E -6.71%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.66%EV -9.05%E -0.953%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-08 15:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -9.39%E -6.71%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -6.18%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.36%EV -6.18%E -0.630%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-08 15:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.61%EV -6.15%E -4.24%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -4.26%E -0.426%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 13:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.93%EV -7.45%E -5.21%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.28%EV -4.26%E -0.426%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 15:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.09%EV -9.39%E -6.71%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -9.05%E -0.953%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 15:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.73%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.38%EV -6.18%E -0.630%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 15:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.53%EV -8.74%E -6.20%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.48%EV -8.09%E -0.843%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 15:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.53%EV -8.74%E -6.20%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.48%EV -8.09%E -0.843%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 15:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.49%EV -9.39%E -6.71%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -23.41%E -2.93%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-08 15:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.49%EV -9.39%E -6.71%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -23.41%E -2.93%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-08 15:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.49%EV -9.39%E -6.71%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -23.41%E -2.93%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-08 15:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.22%EV -9.39%E -6.71%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.21%EV -11.84%E -3.45%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.56%EV -10.01%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-08 15:03 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.90%EV -6.80%E -4.72%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.88%EV -28.20%E -3.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-08 01:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.90%EV -6.80%E -4.72%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.88%EV -28.20%E -3.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-08 01:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.63%EV -10.68%E -7.74%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -15.18%E -4.60%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.76%EV -13.84%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-08 15:04 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 63.14% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.03% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 9.83% | 15.6% | 2026-03-08 15:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 44.27% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 11.46% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 44.27% | 123.7% | 2026-03-08 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 44.27% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 11.46% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 44.27% | 123.7% | 2026-03-08 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 44.27% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 11.46% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 44.27% | 123.7% | 2026-03-08 15:20 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.84% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.16% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 15:00 |