Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

HBW Balingen-Weilstetten v HSV Hamburg

2026-08-30 16:00 UTC — Handball-Bundesliga

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

HBW Balingen-Weilstetten (Local)

Prediction 19.90%5.03fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -0.512%
Kelly -0.643%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.77%19.81%19.81%20.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.674.804.9024.39%21.42%20.83%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HSV Hamburg (Visit)

Prediction 72.36%1.38fair odd
EV -8.10%
Edge -6.38%
Kelly -29.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.44%72.42%72.50%73.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.241.241.2782.64%80.38%80.65%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 7.74%12.92fair odd
EV -7.12%
Edge -0.594%
Kelly -0.647%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 12.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.57%7.77%7.69%8.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.0011.2411.0012.0010.00%8.90%9.09%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: HBW Balingen-Weilstetten (Local): 19.90%; HSV Hamburg (Visit): 72.36%; Draw: 7.74%. For HBW Balingen-Weilstetten (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.03. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.90, with an expected value of -2.51%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -2.51%E -0.512%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.57%EV -9.54%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -7.12%E -0.594%K -0.647%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 13:29
Winamax (DE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -4.50%E -0.937%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.97%EV -8.10%E -6.38%K -29.99%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%EV -7.12%E -0.594%K -0.647%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-24 13:24
Unibet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -4.50%E -0.937%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.94%EV -10.27%E -8.28%K -42.79%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -14.86%E -1.35%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-24 10:59
Casumo🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -4.50%E -0.937%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.94%EV -10.27%E -8.28%K -42.79%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -14.86%E -1.35%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-24 10:59
LiveScore Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -4.50%E -0.937%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.94%EV -10.27%E -8.28%K -42.79%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -14.86%E -1.35%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-24 10:59
Virgin Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -4.50%E -0.937%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.94%EV -10.27%E -8.28%K -42.79%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -14.86%E -1.35%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-24 10:59
Unibet (NL)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -4.50%E -0.937%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.94%EV -10.27%E -8.28%K -42.79%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -14.86%E -1.35%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-24 10:59
Grosvenor🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -4.50%E -0.937%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.94%EV -10.27%E -8.28%K -42.79%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -14.86%E -1.35%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-24 10:59
ATG (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -4.50%E -0.937%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.94%EV -10.27%E -8.28%K -42.79%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -14.86%E -1.35%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-24 10:59
Svenska Spel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -4.50%E -0.937%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.94%EV -10.27%E -8.28%K -42.79%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -14.86%E -1.35%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-24 10:59
Marathon Bet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.74%EV -7.48%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.28%EV -8.10%E -6.38%K -29.99%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.98%EV -10.99%E -0.956%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-24 10:59
Unibet (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -8.48%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.68%EV -9.54%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV -7.12%E -0.594%K -0.647%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 13:24
PMU (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.08%EV -8.48%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 72.55%EV -12.44%E -10.28%K -59.24%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.36%EV -18.73%E -1.78%K -1.97%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-24 10:59
NordicBet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.47%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.20%EV -8.82%E -7.00%K -33.93%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.58%EV -7.12%E -0.594%K -0.647%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-24 10:59
Betsson🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.47%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.20%EV -8.82%E -7.00%K -33.93%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.58%EV -7.12%E -0.594%K -0.647%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-24 10:59
Betclic (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.58%EV -14.45%E -3.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.37%EV -10.27%E -8.28%K -42.79%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.05%EV -14.86%E -1.35%K -1.49%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-24 13:24
Winamax (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 20.96%EV -18.43%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 70.44%EV -11.72%E -9.60%K -53.25%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.59%EV -22.60%E -2.26%K -2.51%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-24 13:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.