语言:简体中文
HBW Balingen-Weilstetten v HSV Hamburg
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
HBW Balingen-Weilstetten (主队)
预测 28.21%3.54公平赔率
EV +7.21%
优势 +1.90%
Kelly +2.57%
增长率 +0.186%
假设最高赔率为 3.80
博彩公司预测分布
25.11%27.85%28.19%28.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.053.353.303.8032.79%29.81%30.30%26.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
HSV Hamburg (客队)
预测 62.20%1.61公平赔率
EV -7.33%
优势 -4.92%
Kelly -14.96%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.49
博彩公司预测分布
61.27%62.59%62.15%65.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.441.441.4973.53%69.69%69.44%67.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 9.59%10.43公平赔率
EV +10.31%
优势 +0.896%
Kelly +0.982%
增长率 +0.101%
假设最高赔率为 11.50
博彩公司预测分布
8.04%9.56%9.67%9.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.0010.2610.0011.5011.11%9.75%10.00%8.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：HBW Balingen-Weilstetten (主队)：28.21%；HSV Hamburg (客队)：62.20%；平局：9.59%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为10.43。 当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为11.50，对应+10.31%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (22 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV +7.21%E +1.90%K +2.57%G +0.186% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -9.82%E -6.77%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +0.715%E +0.068%K +0.075%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 09:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -1.26%E -0.359%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.55%EV -12.30%E -8.73%K -30.01%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV +10.31%E +0.896%K +0.982%G +0.101% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 07:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -1.26%E -0.359%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.55%EV -12.30%E -8.73%K -30.01%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV +10.31%E +0.896%K +0.982%G +0.101% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 07:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -1.26%E -0.359%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.55%EV -12.30%E -8.73%K -30.01%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV +10.31%E +0.896%K +0.982%G +0.101% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 07:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -1.26%E -0.359%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.55%EV -12.30%E -8.73%K -30.01%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV +10.31%E +0.896%K +0.982%G +0.101% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 07:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -1.26%E -0.359%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.55%EV -12.30%E -8.73%K -30.01%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV +10.31%E +0.896%K +0.982%G +0.101% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 07:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -1.26%E -0.359%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.55%EV -12.30%E -8.73%K -30.01%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV +10.31%E +0.896%K +0.982%G +0.101% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 07:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -1.26%E -0.359%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.55%EV -12.30%E -8.73%K -30.01%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV +10.31%E +0.896%K +0.982%G +0.101% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 07:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -1.26%E -0.359%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.55%EV -12.30%E -8.73%K -30.01%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV +10.31%E +0.896%K +0.982%G +0.101% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 07:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -9.82%E -6.77%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -8.88%E -0.934%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-30 10:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.48%EV -7.33%E -4.92%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -4.08%E -0.408%K -0.453%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 10:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.64%EV -7.95%E -5.37%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -4.08%E -0.408%K -0.453%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 10:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.97%EV -10.44%E -7.25%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -8.88%E -0.934%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 10:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.59%EV -15.41%E -11.33%K -42.82%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.78%EV -4.08%E -0.408%K -0.453%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-30 07:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.38%EV -10.44%E -7.25%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -13.67%E -1.52%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-30 15:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.38%EV -10.44%E -7.25%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -13.67%E -1.52%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-30 15:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.38%EV -10.44%E -7.25%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -13.67%E -1.52%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-30 15:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.30%EV -8.59%E -2.65%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.95%EV -7.95%E -5.37%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.75%EV -9.84%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 10:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -11.13%E -3.53%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.86%EV -8.57%E -5.83%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.28%EV -6.00%E -0.612%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 10:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -11.13%E -3.53%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.86%EV -8.57%E -5.83%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.28%EV -6.00%E -0.612%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 10:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 28.84%EV -13.39%E -4.36%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.48%EV -10.44%E -7.25%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 9.15I 10.93%NM 9.68%EV -12.23%E -1.34%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 15:48 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -13.95%E -4.57%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.27%EV -10.44%E -7.25%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.80%EV -13.67%E -1.52%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-30 10:19 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.09% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.05% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 9.85% | 15.3% | 2026-08-30 10:20 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 12:50 |