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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Füchse Berlin v VfL Gummersbach

开赛时间： 2026-04-23 17:00 UTC

最终结果： Füchse Berlin 28–26 VfL Gummersbach

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

26 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Füchse Berlin (主队)

预测 69.60%1.44公平赔率
EV -6.04%
优势 -4.48%
Kelly -17.27%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.35

博彩公司预测分布
67.99%70.09%69.65%76.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.201.281.271.3583.33%78.10%78.43%74.07%最小值均值中位数最大值

VfL Gummersbach (客队)

预测 21.87%4.57公平赔率
EV +31.23%
优势 +5.20%
Kelly +6.25%
增长率 +1.95%

假设最高赔率为 6.00

博彩公司预测分布
15.08%21.39%21.89%23.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.804.664.556.0026.32%21.47%21.98%16.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 8.53%11.72公平赔率
EV +10.90%
优势 +0.839%
Kelly +0.908%
增长率 +0.099%

假设最高赔率为 13.00

博彩公司预测分布
7.35%8.52%8.47%9.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.5010.4610.5013.0010.53%9.56%9.52%7.69%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Füchse Berlin (主队)：69.60%；VfL Gummersbach (客队)：21.87%；平局：8.53%。 对于“VfL Gummersbach (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.57。 当时有13家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.00，对应+31.23%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -16.48%E -13.74%K -82.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV +31.23%E +5.20%K +6.25%G +1.95%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -18.96%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 12:24
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -16.48%E -13.74%K -82.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV +31.23%E +5.20%K +6.25%G +1.95%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -18.96%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 12:20
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.45%EV -13.00%E -10.40%K -52.01%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.20%EV +29.04%E +4.92%K +5.93%G +1.72%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.35%EV +10.90%E +0.839%K +0.908%G +0.099%4.6%2026-04-23 12:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -11.61%E -9.14%K -43.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +7.17%E +1.46%K +1.84%G +0.132%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -10.43%E -0.993%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 14:40
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -11.61%E -9.14%K -43.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +7.17%E +1.46%K +1.84%G +0.132%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -10.43%E -0.993%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 14:40
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -11.61%E -9.14%K -43.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +7.17%E +1.46%K +1.84%G +0.132%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -10.43%E -0.993%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 14:39
LeoVegas🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -11.61%E -9.14%K -43.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +7.17%E +1.46%K +1.84%G +0.132%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -10.43%E -0.993%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 14:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -11.61%E -9.14%K -43.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +7.17%E +1.46%K +1.84%G +0.132%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -10.43%E -0.993%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 14:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -11.61%E -9.14%K -43.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +7.17%E +1.46%K +1.84%G +0.132%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -10.43%E -0.993%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 14:39
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -11.61%E -9.14%K -43.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +7.17%E +1.46%K +1.84%G +0.132%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -10.43%E -0.993%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 14:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -11.61%E -9.14%K -43.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +7.17%E +1.46%K +1.84%G +0.132%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -10.43%E -0.993%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 14:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -11.61%E -9.14%K -43.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +7.17%E +1.46%K +1.84%G +0.132%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -10.43%E -0.993%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 14:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.38%EV -15.09%E -12.37%K -68.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.79%EV +2.80%E +0.595%K +0.756%G +0.021%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.83%EV -14.69%E -1.47%K -1.63%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 14:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.74%EV -9.52%E -7.33%K -31.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -3.77%E -0.856%K -1.11%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -6.16%E -0.560%K -0.616%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 16:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.09%EV -7.43%E -5.59%K -22.53%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -4.86%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -6.16%E -0.560%K -0.616%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 16:50
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.92%EV -9.52%E -7.33%K -31.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -14.69%E -1.47%K -1.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:49
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.75%EV -10.22%E -7.92%K -35.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -18.96%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.75%EV -10.22%E -7.92%K -35.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -18.96%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 16:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.75%EV -10.22%E -7.92%K -35.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -18.96%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 16:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.34%EV -8.13%E -6.16%K -25.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -5.95%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -1.90%E -0.165%K -0.181%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -8.13%E -6.16%K -25.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -6.16%E -0.560%K -0.616%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 16:49
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.51%EV -8.83%E -6.74%K -28.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -6.16%E -0.560%K -0.616%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 16:48
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.51%EV -8.83%E -6.74%K -28.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -6.16%E -0.560%K -0.616%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.99%EV -6.04%E -4.48%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.06%EV -12.95%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 8.95%EV -12.56%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 16:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 68.47%EV -10.91%E -8.53%K -38.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.76%EV -15.80%E -4.10%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.76%EV -14.69%E -1.47%K -1.63%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 16:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.08%EV -9.52%E -7.33%K -31.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -16.89%E -4.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 8.63%EV -12.56%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 16:48
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.27I 78.74%NM 68.06%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.75%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.20%15.7%2026-04-23 16:49

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.17%4.09I 24.45%NM 22.83%7.1%2026-04-23 16:50