Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.35
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.00
ipotizzando la quota massima 13.00
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Füchse Berlin (Casa): 69.60%; VfL Gummersbach (Trasferta): 21.87%; Pareggio: 8.53%. Per VfL Gummersbach (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.57. 13 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +31.23%.
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (2 esiti rispetto al formato 3 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -16.48%E -13.74%K -82.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV +31.23%E +5.20%K +6.25%G +1.95% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -18.96%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -16.48%E -13.74%K -82.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV +31.23%E +5.20%K +6.25%G +1.95% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -18.96%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 12:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.45%EV -13.00%E -10.40%K -52.01%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.20%EV +29.04%E +4.92%K +5.93%G +1.72% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.35%EV +10.90%E +0.839%K +0.908%G +0.099% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -11.61%E -9.14%K -43.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +7.17%E +1.46%K +1.84%G +0.132% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -10.43%E -0.993%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -11.61%E -9.14%K -43.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +7.17%E +1.46%K +1.84%G +0.132% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -10.43%E -0.993%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -11.61%E -9.14%K -43.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +7.17%E +1.46%K +1.84%G +0.132% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -10.43%E -0.993%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 14:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -11.61%E -9.14%K -43.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +7.17%E +1.46%K +1.84%G +0.132% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -10.43%E -0.993%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 14:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -11.61%E -9.14%K -43.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +7.17%E +1.46%K +1.84%G +0.132% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -10.43%E -0.993%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -11.61%E -9.14%K -43.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +7.17%E +1.46%K +1.84%G +0.132% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -10.43%E -0.993%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 14:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -11.61%E -9.14%K -43.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +7.17%E +1.46%K +1.84%G +0.132% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -10.43%E -0.993%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -11.61%E -9.14%K -43.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +7.17%E +1.46%K +1.84%G +0.132% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -10.43%E -0.993%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 14:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -11.61%E -9.14%K -43.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +7.17%E +1.46%K +1.84%G +0.132% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -10.43%E -0.993%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 14:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.38%EV -15.09%E -12.37%K -68.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.79%EV +2.80%E +0.595%K +0.756%G +0.021% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.83%EV -14.69%E -1.47%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.74%EV -9.52%E -7.33%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -3.77%E -0.856%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -6.16%E -0.560%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 16:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.09%EV -7.43%E -5.59%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -4.86%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -6.16%E -0.560%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 16:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.92%EV -9.52%E -7.33%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -14.69%E -1.47%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 16:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.75%EV -10.22%E -7.92%K -35.24%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -18.96%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 16:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.75%EV -10.22%E -7.92%K -35.24%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -18.96%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 16:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.75%EV -10.22%E -7.92%K -35.24%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -18.96%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 16:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.34%EV -8.13%E -6.16%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -5.95%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -1.90%E -0.165%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 16:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -8.13%E -6.16%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -6.16%E -0.560%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 16:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.51%EV -8.83%E -6.74%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -6.16%E -0.560%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 16:48 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.51%EV -8.83%E -6.74%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -6.16%E -0.560%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 16:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.99%EV -6.04%E -4.48%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.06%EV -12.95%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 8.95%EV -12.56%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 16:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.47%EV -10.91%E -8.53%K -38.98%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.76%EV -15.80%E -4.10%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.76%EV -14.69%E -1.47%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-23 16:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.08%EV -9.52%E -7.33%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -16.89%E -4.44%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 8.63%EV -12.56%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 16:48 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 68.06% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.75% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.20% | 15.7% | 2026-04-23 16:49 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.17% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 22.83% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 16:50 |