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Frisch Auf Göppingen v SC Magdeburg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Frisch Auf Göppingen (Local)
Prediction 13.22%7.57fair odd
EV +5.73%
Edge +0.716%
Kelly +0.818%
Growth +0.047%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.42%13.61%13.01%16.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.206.716.508.0019.23%14.90%15.38%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SC Magdeburg (Visit)
Prediction 79.62%1.26fair odd
EV -4.45%
Edge -3.71%
Kelly -22.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.37%79.18%79.88%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.161.151.2089.29%86.49%86.58%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 7.16%13.96fair odd
EV +0.270%
Edge +0.019%
Kelly +0.021%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 14.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.56%7.22%7.12%8.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.0012.5112.5014.009.09%7.99%8.00%7.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Frisch Auf Göppingen (Local): 13.22%; SC Magdeburg (Visit): 79.62%; Draw: 7.16%. For Frisch Auf Göppingen (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.57. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.73%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV +5.73%E +0.716%K +0.818%G +0.047% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.97%EV -10.82%E -9.66%K -90.20%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV +0.270%E +0.019%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 10:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV +5.73%E +0.716%K +0.818%G +0.047% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.56%EV -10.82%E -9.66%K -90.20%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -6.89%E -0.530%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-05 10:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -0.880%E -0.117%K -0.135%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -8.43%E -7.33%K -56.23%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -6.89%E -0.530%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 10:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -0.880%E -0.117%K -0.135%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -10.82%E -9.66%K -90.20%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -6.89%E -0.530%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-03 17:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -0.880%E -0.117%K -0.135%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -10.82%E -9.66%K -90.20%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -6.89%E -0.530%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-03 17:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.81%EV -4.18%E -0.577%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.05%EV -7.64%E -6.59%K -47.74%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -6.89%E -0.530%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 10:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.71%EV -4.85%E -0.673%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.26%EV -9.23%E -8.10%K -65.94%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV -6.89%E -0.530%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 10:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -7.49%E -1.07%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -9.23%E -8.10%K -65.94%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -6.89%E -0.530%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-05 10:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -7.49%E -1.07%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -9.23%E -8.10%K -65.94%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -6.89%E -0.530%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-05 10:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -14.10%E -2.17%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.37%EV -6.05%E -5.12%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.40%EV -10.47%E -0.838%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 09:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -14.10%E -2.17%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.37%EV -6.05%E -5.12%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.40%EV -10.47%E -0.838%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 09:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -14.10%E -2.17%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.37%EV -6.05%E -5.12%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.40%EV -10.47%E -0.838%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 09:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -14.10%E -2.17%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.37%EV -6.05%E -5.12%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.40%EV -10.47%E -0.838%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 09:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -14.10%E -2.17%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.37%EV -6.05%E -5.12%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.40%EV -10.47%E -0.838%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 09:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -14.10%E -2.17%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.37%EV -6.05%E -5.12%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.40%EV -10.47%E -0.838%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 09:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -14.10%E -2.17%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.37%EV -6.05%E -5.12%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.40%EV -10.47%E -0.838%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 09:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -14.10%E -2.17%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.37%EV -6.05%E -5.12%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.40%EV -10.47%E -0.838%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 09:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -14.10%E -2.17%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.37%EV -6.05%E -5.12%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.40%EV -10.47%E -0.838%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 09:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -14.10%E -2.17%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.18%EV -9.23%E -8.10%K -65.94%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10%EV -21.22%E -1.93%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-05 10:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -14.10%E -2.17%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.18%EV -9.23%E -8.10%K -65.94%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10%EV -21.22%E -1.93%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-05 10:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -14.10%E -2.17%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.18%EV -9.23%E -8.10%K -65.94%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10%EV -21.22%E -1.93%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-05 10:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.45I 15.50%NM 13.78%EV -14.76%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.38%EV -10.82%E -9.66%K -90.20%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.84%EV -6.89%E -0.530%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-05 15:48 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.43%EV -19.38%E -3.18%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 77.91%EV -10.03%E -8.87%K -77.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.66%EV -17.64%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 08:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -20.70%E -3.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.59%EV -4.45%E -3.71%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.90%EV -3.31%E -0.245%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-05 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.64%EV -22.69%E -3.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.89%EV -5.25%E -4.41%K -27.63%G +0.000% | 12.25I 8.16%NM 7.47%EV -12.26%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 15:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.96%EV -31.28%E -6.01%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.37%EV -6.84%E -5.85%K -40.25%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.67%EV -17.64%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-05 11:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.33% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 77.48% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.19% | 16.3% | 2026-04-05 10:04 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.47% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.53% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 09:00 |