Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 8.00
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.20
ipotizzando la quota massima 14.00
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Frisch Auf Göppingen (Casa): 13.22%; SC Magdeburg (Trasferta): 79.62%; Pareggio: 7.16%. Per Frisch Auf Göppingen (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 7.57. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 8.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +5.73%.
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (2 esiti rispetto al formato 3 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV +5.73%E +0.716%K +0.818%G +0.047% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.97%EV -10.82%E -9.66%K -90.20%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV +0.270%E +0.019%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 10:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV +5.73%E +0.716%K +0.818%G +0.047% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.56%EV -10.82%E -9.66%K -90.20%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -6.89%E -0.530%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-05 10:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -0.880%E -0.117%K -0.135%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -8.43%E -7.33%K -56.23%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -6.89%E -0.530%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 10:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -0.880%E -0.117%K -0.135%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -10.82%E -9.66%K -90.20%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -6.89%E -0.530%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-03 17:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -0.880%E -0.117%K -0.135%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -10.82%E -9.66%K -90.20%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -6.89%E -0.530%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-03 17:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.81%EV -4.18%E -0.577%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.05%EV -7.64%E -6.59%K -47.74%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -6.89%E -0.530%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 10:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.71%EV -4.85%E -0.673%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.26%EV -9.23%E -8.10%K -65.94%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV -6.89%E -0.530%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 10:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -7.49%E -1.07%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -9.23%E -8.10%K -65.94%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -6.89%E -0.530%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-05 10:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -7.49%E -1.07%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -9.23%E -8.10%K -65.94%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -6.89%E -0.530%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-05 10:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -14.10%E -2.17%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.37%EV -6.05%E -5.12%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.40%EV -10.47%E -0.838%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 09:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -14.10%E -2.17%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.37%EV -6.05%E -5.12%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.40%EV -10.47%E -0.838%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 09:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -14.10%E -2.17%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.37%EV -6.05%E -5.12%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.40%EV -10.47%E -0.838%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 09:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -14.10%E -2.17%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.37%EV -6.05%E -5.12%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.40%EV -10.47%E -0.838%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 09:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -14.10%E -2.17%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.37%EV -6.05%E -5.12%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.40%EV -10.47%E -0.838%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 09:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -14.10%E -2.17%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.37%EV -6.05%E -5.12%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.40%EV -10.47%E -0.838%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 09:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -14.10%E -2.17%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.37%EV -6.05%E -5.12%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.40%EV -10.47%E -0.838%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 09:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -14.10%E -2.17%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.37%EV -6.05%E -5.12%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.40%EV -10.47%E -0.838%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 09:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -14.10%E -2.17%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.37%EV -6.05%E -5.12%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.40%EV -10.47%E -0.838%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 09:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -14.10%E -2.17%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.18%EV -9.23%E -8.10%K -65.94%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10%EV -21.22%E -1.93%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-05 10:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -14.10%E -2.17%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.18%EV -9.23%E -8.10%K -65.94%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10%EV -21.22%E -1.93%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-05 10:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -14.10%E -2.17%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.18%EV -9.23%E -8.10%K -65.94%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10%EV -21.22%E -1.93%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-05 10:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.45I 15.50%NM 13.78%EV -14.76%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.38%EV -10.82%E -9.66%K -90.20%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.84%EV -6.89%E -0.530%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-05 15:48 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.43%EV -19.38%E -3.18%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 77.91%EV -10.03%E -8.87%K -77.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.66%EV -17.64%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 08:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -20.70%E -3.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.59%EV -4.45%E -3.71%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.90%EV -3.31%E -0.245%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-05 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.64%EV -22.69%E -3.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.89%EV -5.25%E -4.41%K -27.63%G +0.000% | 12.25I 8.16%NM 7.47%EV -12.26%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 15:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.96%EV -31.28%E -6.01%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.37%EV -6.84%E -5.85%K -40.25%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.67%EV -17.64%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-05 11:30 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.33% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 77.48% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.19% | 16.3% | 2026-04-05 10:04 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.47% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.53% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 09:00 |