預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Bergischer HC v VfL Gummersbach

開賽時間: 2026-04-02 17:00 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

26 家博彩公司 (9 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Bergischer HC (主隊)

預測 17.34%5.77公平賠率
EV +23.12%
優勢 +3.26%
Kelly +3.79%
成長率 +0.877%

假設最高賠率為 7.10

博彩公司預測分布
13.40%17.03%17.54%18.76%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.735.435.407.1021.14%18.40%18.52%14.08%最小值平均值中位數最大值

VfL Gummersbach (客隊)

預測 74.94%1.33公平賠率
EV -7.08%
優勢 -5.71%
Kelly -29.50%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.24

博彩公司預測分布
73.35%75.38%74.79%81.31%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.161.211.231.2486.21%82.49%81.30%80.65%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 7.72%12.95公平賠率
EV +39.01%
優勢 +2.17%
Kelly +2.29%
成長率 +0.895%

假設最高賠率為 18.00

博彩公司預測分布
5.29%7.60%7.67%8.97%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
10.0011.6811.5018.0010.00%8.56%8.70%5.56%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Bergischer HC (主隊):17.34%;VfL Gummersbach (客隊):74.94%;和局:7.72%。 對於「和局」,該估計相當於12.95的公平十進位賠率。 當時有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為18.00,對應+39.01%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(2 個賽果,而分析採用 3 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (26 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊和局 ▼利潤率更新時間
Coolbet🎯7.10I 14.08%NM 13.40%EV +23.12%E +3.26%K +3.79%G +0.877%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.31%EV -12.32%E -10.53%K -72.50%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV +39.01%E +2.17%K +2.29%G +0.895%5.1%2026-04-02 08:45
Winamax (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV +4.05%E +0.675%K +0.809%G +0.033%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -10.83%E -9.10%K -56.98%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.85%EV +4.26%E +0.315%K +0.341%G +0.014%8.1%2026-04-01 12:39
Tipico (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -4.62%E -0.841%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -8.58%E -7.03%K -38.99%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -7.33%E -0.611%K -0.666%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-01 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -8.96%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.81%EV -7.83%E -6.36%K -34.04%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV -7.33%E -0.611%K -0.666%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-02 07:30
Codere (IT)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -9.83%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.68%EV -7.83%E -6.36%K -34.04%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.65%EV -7.33%E -0.611%K -0.666%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 07:35
NordicBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -13.29%E -2.66%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.16%EV -7.83%E -6.36%K -34.04%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.60%EV -7.33%E -0.611%K -0.666%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 17:49
Betsson🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -13.29%E -2.66%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.16%EV -7.83%E -6.36%K -34.04%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.60%EV -7.33%E -0.611%K -0.666%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 17:49
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.62%E -0.841%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.86%EV -10.08%E -8.40%K -50.38%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -7.33%E -0.611%K -0.666%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-02 07:30
Unibet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.07%EV -6.36%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.92%EV -7.83%E -6.36%K -34.04%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.01%EV -11.19%E -0.973%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 09:34
Virgin Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.07%EV -6.36%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.92%EV -7.83%E -6.36%K -34.04%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.01%EV -11.19%E -0.973%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 09:34
Grosvenor🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.07%EV -6.36%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.92%EV -7.83%E -6.36%K -34.04%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.01%EV -11.19%E -0.973%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 09:34
LiveScore Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.07%EV -6.36%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.92%EV -7.83%E -6.36%K -34.04%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.01%EV -11.19%E -0.973%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 09:35
LeoVegas🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.07%EV -6.36%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.92%EV -7.83%E -6.36%K -34.04%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.01%EV -11.19%E -0.973%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 09:34
Unibet (NL)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.07%EV -6.36%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.92%EV -7.83%E -6.36%K -34.04%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.01%EV -11.19%E -0.973%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 09:35
Casumo🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.07%EV -6.36%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.92%EV -7.83%E -6.36%K -34.04%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.01%EV -11.19%E -0.973%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 09:34
ATG (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.07%EV -6.36%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.92%EV -7.83%E -6.36%K -34.04%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.01%EV -11.19%E -0.973%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 09:34
Svenska Spel🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.07%EV -6.36%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.92%EV -7.83%E -6.36%K -34.04%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.01%EV -11.19%E -0.973%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 09:32
Marathon Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -11.56%E -2.27%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.02%EV -7.08%E -5.71%K -29.50%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.98%EV -11.19%E -0.973%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.58%EV -8.09%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 75.77%EV -13.07%E -11.27%K -81.71%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.64%EV -11.19%E -0.973%K -1.07%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-02 07:35
Betclic (FR)🎯4.73I 21.14%NM 18.76%EV -17.98%E -3.80%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 73.35%EV -9.33%E -7.71%K -44.42%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 7.89%EV -13.12%E -1.17%K -1.28%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-02 16:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -0.288%E -0.050%K -0.061%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.19%EV -11.58%E -9.81%K -64.31%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -15.05%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-01 17:49
Coral🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -0.288%E -0.050%K -0.061%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.19%EV -11.58%E -9.81%K -64.31%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -15.05%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-01 17:49
PMU (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -13.29%E -2.66%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 74.16%EV -11.58%E -9.81%K -64.31%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.33%EV -18.91%E -1.80%K -1.99%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-02 09:34
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -4.62%E -0.841%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -10.08%E -8.40%K -50.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -22.77%E -2.28%K -2.53%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-01 17:49
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -4.62%E -0.841%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -10.08%E -8.40%K -50.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -22.77%E -2.28%K -2.53%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-01 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -4.62%E -0.841%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -10.08%E -8.40%K -50.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -22.77%E -2.28%K -2.53%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-01 17:49
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 19.31%1.20I 83.33%NM 72.41%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.28%15.1%2026-04-02 07:35

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (1)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2利潤率 ▲更新時間
Pinnacle🎯4.77I 20.96%NM 19.56%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.44%7.2%2026-04-02 12:20