语言:简体中文
Bergischer HC v VfL Gummersbach
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Bergischer HC (主队)
预测 17.34%5.77公平赔率
EV +23.12%
优势 +3.26%
Kelly +3.79%
增长率 +0.877%
假设最高赔率为 7.10
博彩公司预测分布
13.40%17.03%17.54%18.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.735.435.407.1021.14%18.40%18.52%14.08%最小值均值中位数最大值
VfL Gummersbach (客队)
预测 74.94%1.33公平赔率
EV -7.08%
优势 -5.71%
Kelly -29.50%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.24
博彩公司预测分布
73.35%75.38%74.79%81.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.161.211.231.2486.21%82.49%81.30%80.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 7.72%12.95公平赔率
EV +39.01%
优势 +2.17%
Kelly +2.29%
增长率 +0.895%
假设最高赔率为 18.00
博彩公司预测分布
5.29%7.60%7.67%8.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
10.0011.6811.5018.0010.00%8.56%8.70%5.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Bergischer HC (主队)：17.34%；VfL Gummersbach (客队)：74.94%；平局：7.72%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为12.95。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为18.00，对应+39.01%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.40%EV +23.12%E +3.26%K +3.79%G +0.877% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.31%EV -12.32%E -10.53%K -72.50%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV +39.01%E +2.17%K +2.29%G +0.895% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 08:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV +4.05%E +0.675%K +0.809%G +0.033% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -10.83%E -9.10%K -56.98%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.85%EV +4.26%E +0.315%K +0.341%G +0.014% | 8.1% | 2026-04-01 12:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -4.62%E -0.841%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -8.58%E -7.03%K -38.99%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -7.33%E -0.611%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-01 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -8.96%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.81%EV -7.83%E -6.36%K -34.04%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV -7.33%E -0.611%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-02 07:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -9.83%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.68%EV -7.83%E -6.36%K -34.04%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.65%EV -7.33%E -0.611%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-02 07:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -13.29%E -2.66%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.16%EV -7.83%E -6.36%K -34.04%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.60%EV -7.33%E -0.611%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-01 17:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -13.29%E -2.66%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.16%EV -7.83%E -6.36%K -34.04%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.60%EV -7.33%E -0.611%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-01 17:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.62%E -0.841%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.86%EV -10.08%E -8.40%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -7.33%E -0.611%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-02 07:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.07%EV -6.36%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.92%EV -7.83%E -6.36%K -34.04%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.01%EV -11.19%E -0.973%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-02 09:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.07%EV -6.36%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.92%EV -7.83%E -6.36%K -34.04%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.01%EV -11.19%E -0.973%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-02 09:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.07%EV -6.36%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.92%EV -7.83%E -6.36%K -34.04%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.01%EV -11.19%E -0.973%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-02 09:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.07%EV -6.36%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.92%EV -7.83%E -6.36%K -34.04%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.01%EV -11.19%E -0.973%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-02 09:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.07%EV -6.36%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.92%EV -7.83%E -6.36%K -34.04%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.01%EV -11.19%E -0.973%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-02 09:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.07%EV -6.36%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.92%EV -7.83%E -6.36%K -34.04%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.01%EV -11.19%E -0.973%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-02 09:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.07%EV -6.36%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.92%EV -7.83%E -6.36%K -34.04%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.01%EV -11.19%E -0.973%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-02 09:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.07%EV -6.36%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.92%EV -7.83%E -6.36%K -34.04%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.01%EV -11.19%E -0.973%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-02 09:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.07%EV -6.36%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.92%EV -7.83%E -6.36%K -34.04%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.01%EV -11.19%E -0.973%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-02 09:32 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -11.56%E -2.27%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.02%EV -7.08%E -5.71%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.98%EV -11.19%E -0.973%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-02 16:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.58%EV -8.09%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 75.77%EV -13.07%E -11.27%K -81.71%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.64%EV -11.19%E -0.973%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-02 07:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.73I 21.14%NM 18.76%EV -17.98%E -3.80%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.35%EV -9.33%E -7.71%K -44.42%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 7.89%EV -13.12%E -1.17%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-02 16:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -0.288%E -0.050%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.19%EV -11.58%E -9.81%K -64.31%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -15.05%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-01 17:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -0.288%E -0.050%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.19%EV -11.58%E -9.81%K -64.31%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -15.05%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-01 17:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -13.29%E -2.66%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.16%EV -11.58%E -9.81%K -64.31%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.33%EV -18.91%E -1.80%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-02 09:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -4.62%E -0.841%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -10.08%E -8.40%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -22.77%E -2.28%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-01 17:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -4.62%E -0.841%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -10.08%E -8.40%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -22.77%E -2.28%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-01 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -4.62%E -0.841%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -10.08%E -8.40%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -22.77%E -2.28%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-01 17:49 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.31% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.41% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.28% | 15.1% | 2026-04-02 07:35 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.56% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.44% | 7.2% | 2026-04-02 12:20 |