語言:繁體中文
Bergischer HC v THW Kiel
收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →
獨贏
Bergischer HC (主隊)
預測 23.27%4.30公平賠率
EV +7.05%
優勢 +1.53%
Kelly +1.96%
成長率 +0.138%
假設最高賠率為 4.60
博彩公司預測分布
19.98%23.44%23.19%26.37%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.604.214.104.6027.78%23.74%24.39%21.74%最小值平均值中位數最大值
THW Kiel (客隊)
預測 67.80%1.47公平賠率
EV +0.343%
優勢 +0.232%
Kelly +0.714%
成長率 +0.002%
假設最高賠率為 1.48
博彩公司預測分布
64.14%67.64%67.80%71.26%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.241.311.301.4880.65%76.11%76.92%67.57%最小值平均值中位數最大值
和局
預測 8.93%11.20公平賠率
EV -1.77%
優勢 -0.161%
Kelly -0.177%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 11.00
博彩公司預測分布
8.37%8.92%9.01%9.49%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
9.5010.2510.3811.0010.53%9.75%9.64%9.09%最小值平均值中位數最大值
依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Bergischer HC (主隊)：23.27%；THW Kiel (客隊)：67.80%；和局：8.93%。 對於「Bergischer HC (主隊)」，該估計相當於4.30的公平十進位賠率。 當時有12家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為4.60，對應+7.05%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同（2 個賽果，而分析採用 3 個賽果）。由於存在這項差異，解讀分析結果時應審慎。
博彩公司賠率 (26 家博彩公司)
本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 ▼ | 客隊 | 和局 | 利潤率 | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV +7.05%E +1.53%K +1.96%G +0.138% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.26%EV -12.54%E -9.72%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -6.24%E -0.594%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 10:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV +7.05%E +1.53%K +1.96%G +0.138% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.26%EV -12.54%E -9.72%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -6.24%E -0.594%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV +7.05%E +1.53%K +1.96%G +0.138% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.26%EV -12.54%E -9.72%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -6.24%E -0.594%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV +7.05%E +1.53%K +1.96%G +0.138% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.26%EV -12.54%E -9.72%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -6.24%E -0.594%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV +7.05%E +1.53%K +1.96%G +0.138% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.26%EV -12.54%E -9.72%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -6.24%E -0.594%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV +7.05%E +1.53%K +1.96%G +0.138% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.26%EV -12.54%E -9.72%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -6.24%E -0.594%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV +7.05%E +1.53%K +1.96%G +0.138% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.26%EV -12.54%E -9.72%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -6.24%E -0.594%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV +7.05%E +1.53%K +1.96%G +0.138% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.26%EV -12.54%E -9.72%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -6.24%E -0.594%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV +7.05%E +1.53%K +1.96%G +0.138% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.26%EV -12.54%E -9.72%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -6.24%E -0.594%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV +2.39%E +0.544%K +0.704%G +0.017% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.48%EV -13.22%E -10.33%K -47.20%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -10.70%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV +2.39%E +0.544%K +0.704%G +0.017% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.48%EV -13.22%E -10.33%K -47.20%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -10.70%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.05%EV +2.39%E +0.544%K +0.704%G +0.017% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.13%EV -15.93%E -12.85%K -66.37%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.82%EV -10.70%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -10.50%E -7.96%K -32.83%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -1.77%E -0.161%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.32%EV -7.79%E -5.73%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -1.77%E -0.161%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.48%EV -8.47%E -6.27%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV -1.77%E -0.161%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.24%EV -9.83%E -7.39%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -10.70%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.41%EV -11.86%E -9.12%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -15.17%E -1.60%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.41%EV -11.86%E -9.12%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -15.17%E -1.60%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.41%EV -11.86%E -9.12%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -15.17%E -1.60%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.06%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.99%EV -8.47%E -6.27%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 8.95%EV -8.47%E -0.827%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -8.08%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.28%EV -8.47%E -6.27%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -1.77%E -0.161%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.68%EV -9.15%E -6.83%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -10.70%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.68%EV -9.15%E -6.83%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -10.70%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.05%EV -10.50%E -7.96%K -32.83%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.03%EV -12.49%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.03%EV -11.18%E -8.54%K -36.07%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.24%EV -15.17%E -1.60%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -16.22%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.14%EV +0.343%E +0.232%K +0.714%G +0.002% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -10.70%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:20 |
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率
更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 和局 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.08% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.69% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.22% | 15.3% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (1)
這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同，因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同，因而帶來額外不確定性。
| 博彩公司 | 選項 1 | 選項 2 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |