语言:简体中文
Bergischer HC v THW Kiel
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Bergischer HC (主队)
预测 23.27%4.30公平赔率
EV +7.05%
优势 +1.53%
Kelly +1.96%
增长率 +0.138%
假设最高赔率为 4.60
博彩公司预测分布
19.98%23.44%23.19%26.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.604.214.104.6027.78%23.74%24.39%21.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
THW Kiel (客队)
预测 67.80%1.47公平赔率
EV +0.343%
优势 +0.232%
Kelly +0.714%
增长率 +0.002%
假设最高赔率为 1.48
博彩公司预测分布
64.14%67.64%67.80%71.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.241.311.301.4880.65%76.11%76.92%67.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 8.93%11.20公平赔率
EV -1.77%
优势 -0.161%
Kelly -0.177%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 11.00
博彩公司预测分布
8.37%8.92%9.01%9.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.5010.2510.3811.0010.53%9.75%9.64%9.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Bergischer HC (主队)：23.27%；THW Kiel (客队)：67.80%；平局：8.93%。 对于“Bergischer HC (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.30。 当时有12家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.60，对应+7.05%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV +7.05%E +1.53%K +1.96%G +0.138% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.26%EV -12.54%E -9.72%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -6.24%E -0.594%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 10:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV +7.05%E +1.53%K +1.96%G +0.138% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.26%EV -12.54%E -9.72%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -6.24%E -0.594%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV +7.05%E +1.53%K +1.96%G +0.138% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.26%EV -12.54%E -9.72%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -6.24%E -0.594%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV +7.05%E +1.53%K +1.96%G +0.138% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.26%EV -12.54%E -9.72%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -6.24%E -0.594%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV +7.05%E +1.53%K +1.96%G +0.138% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.26%EV -12.54%E -9.72%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -6.24%E -0.594%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV +7.05%E +1.53%K +1.96%G +0.138% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.26%EV -12.54%E -9.72%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -6.24%E -0.594%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV +7.05%E +1.53%K +1.96%G +0.138% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.26%EV -12.54%E -9.72%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -6.24%E -0.594%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV +7.05%E +1.53%K +1.96%G +0.138% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.26%EV -12.54%E -9.72%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -6.24%E -0.594%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV +7.05%E +1.53%K +1.96%G +0.138% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.26%EV -12.54%E -9.72%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -6.24%E -0.594%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV +2.39%E +0.544%K +0.704%G +0.017% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.48%EV -13.22%E -10.33%K -47.20%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -10.70%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV +2.39%E +0.544%K +0.704%G +0.017% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.48%EV -13.22%E -10.33%K -47.20%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -10.70%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.05%EV +2.39%E +0.544%K +0.704%G +0.017% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.13%EV -15.93%E -12.85%K -66.37%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.82%EV -10.70%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -10.50%E -7.96%K -32.83%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -1.77%E -0.161%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.32%EV -7.79%E -5.73%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -1.77%E -0.161%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.48%EV -8.47%E -6.27%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV -1.77%E -0.161%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.24%EV -9.83%E -7.39%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -10.70%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.41%EV -11.86%E -9.12%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -15.17%E -1.60%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.41%EV -11.86%E -9.12%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -15.17%E -1.60%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.41%EV -11.86%E -9.12%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -15.17%E -1.60%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.06%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.99%EV -8.47%E -6.27%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 8.95%EV -8.47%E -0.827%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -8.08%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.28%EV -8.47%E -6.27%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -1.77%E -0.161%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.68%EV -9.15%E -6.83%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -10.70%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.68%EV -9.15%E -6.83%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -10.70%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.05%EV -10.50%E -7.96%K -32.83%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.03%EV -12.49%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.03%EV -11.18%E -8.54%K -36.07%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.24%EV -15.17%E -1.60%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -16.22%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.14%EV +0.343%E +0.232%K +0.714%G +0.002% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -10.70%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:20 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.08% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.69% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.22% | 15.3% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |