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Bergischer HC v Füchse Berlin

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bergischer HC (Local)

Prediction 8.23%12.14fair odd
EV +31.75%
Edge +1.98%
Kelly +2.12%
Growth +0.672%

assuming max odds 16.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.74%8.19%8.20%10.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5010.9010.0016.0011.76%9.17%10.00%6.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Füchse Berlin (Visit)

Prediction 86.65%1.15fair odd
EV -6.42%
Edge -5.94%
Kelly -80.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.96%86.78%86.71%89.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.061.061.0897.09%94.52%94.34%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 5.11%19.56fair odd
EV +25.28%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +1.08%
Growth +0.272%

assuming max odds 24.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.61%5.04%5.10%5.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
15.0018.5719.0024.506.67%5.39%5.26%4.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bergischer HC (Local): 8.23%; Füchse Berlin (Visit): 86.65%; Draw: 5.11%. For Bergischer HC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.14. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 16.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +31.75%.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV +31.75%E +1.98%K +2.12%G +0.672%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.16%EV -10.75%E -10.44%K -358.28%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV -7.96%E -0.442%K -0.468%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 16:55
Paddy Power🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV +15.28%E +1.09%K +1.18%G +0.180%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.98%EV -9.88%E -9.50%K -247.05%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%EV +7.39%E +0.352%K +0.369%G +0.027%8.1%2026-02-22 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +7.05%E +0.542%K +0.587%G +0.041%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.44%EV -9.02%E -8.59%K -180.31%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV +7.39%E +0.352%K +0.369%G +0.027%7.7%2026-02-22 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +7.05%E +0.542%K +0.587%G +0.041%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.44%EV -9.02%E -8.59%K -180.31%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV +7.39%E +0.352%K +0.369%G +0.027%7.7%2026-02-22 16:55
Coolbet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.17%EV -8.15%E -7.69%K -135.81%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.13%EV -7.96%E -0.442%K -0.468%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 17:45
Codere (IT)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.51%EV -9.02%E -8.59%K -180.31%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -2.84%E -0.150%K -0.158%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 16:55
Coral🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -9.42%E -0.857%K -0.942%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.79%EV -8.15%E -7.69%K -135.81%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -2.84%E -0.150%K -0.158%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -9.42%E -0.857%K -0.942%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.79%EV -8.15%E -7.69%K -135.81%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -2.84%E -0.150%K -0.158%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 17:30
NordicBet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.20%EV -9.42%E -0.857%K -0.942%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 86.78%EV -9.88%E -9.50%K -247.05%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.01%EV -7.96%E -0.442%K -0.468%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-22 16:54
Betsson🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.20%EV -9.42%E -0.857%K -0.942%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 86.78%EV -9.88%E -9.50%K -247.05%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.01%EV -7.96%E -0.442%K -0.468%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-22 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -13.54%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 85.78%EV -7.28%E -6.81%K -104.03%G +0.000%16.75I 5.97%NM 5.48%EV -14.35%E -0.857%K -0.911%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 12:49
Unibet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.85%EV -6.42%E -5.94%K -80.20%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -2.84%E -0.150%K -0.158%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 08:55
LiveScore Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.85%EV -6.42%E -5.94%K -80.20%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -2.84%E -0.150%K -0.158%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 08:55
Grosvenor🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.85%EV -6.42%E -5.94%K -80.20%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -2.84%E -0.150%K -0.158%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 08:55
Casumo🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.85%EV -6.42%E -5.94%K -80.20%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -2.84%E -0.150%K -0.158%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 08:55
Virgin Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.85%EV -6.42%E -5.94%K -80.20%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -2.84%E -0.150%K -0.158%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 08:55
Unibet (NL)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.85%EV -6.42%E -5.94%K -80.20%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -2.84%E -0.150%K -0.158%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 08:55
LeoVegas🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.85%EV -6.42%E -5.94%K -80.20%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -2.84%E -0.150%K -0.158%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 08:55
ATG (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.85%EV -6.42%E -5.94%K -80.20%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -2.84%E -0.150%K -0.158%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 08:55
Svenska Spel🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.85%EV -6.42%E -5.94%K -80.20%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -2.84%E -0.150%K -0.158%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 08:55
888sport🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 85.23%EV -9.88%E -9.50%K -247.05%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.91%EV -23.30%E -1.55%K -1.66%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-21 21:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 85.23%EV -9.88%E -9.50%K -247.05%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.91%EV -23.30%E -1.55%K -1.66%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-21 21:24
888sport (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 85.23%EV -9.88%E -9.50%K -247.05%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.91%EV -23.30%E -1.55%K -1.66%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-21 21:24
Winamax (FR)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.21%EV -21.77%E -2.29%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 84.96%EV -10.75%E -10.44%K -358.28%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.83%EV -23.30%E -1.55%K -1.66%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-22 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.42%EV -30.01%E -3.53%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 85.97%EV -10.75%E -10.44%K -358.28%G +0.000%24.50I 4.08%NM 3.61%EV +25.28%E +1.03%K +1.08%G +0.272%12.9%2026-02-22 16:53
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎8.80I 11.36%NM 9.83%1.03I 97.09%NM 83.99%14.01I 7.14%NM 6.18%15.6%2026-02-22 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 33.87%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.27%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.87%192.4%2026-02-22 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 33.87%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.27%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.87%192.4%2026-02-22 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 33.87%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.27%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.87%192.4%2026-02-22 16:55