Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 16.00
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.08
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 24.50
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Bergischer HC (Local): 8.23%; Füchse Berlin (Visitante): 86.65%; Empate: 5.11%. Para Bergischer HC (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 12.14. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 16.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +31.75%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV +31.75%E +1.98%K +2.12%G +0.672% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.16%EV -10.75%E -10.44%K -358.28%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV -7.96%E -0.442%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV +15.28%E +1.09%K +1.18%G +0.180% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.98%EV -9.88%E -9.50%K -247.05%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%EV +7.39%E +0.352%K +0.369%G +0.027% | 8.1% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +7.05%E +0.542%K +0.587%G +0.041% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.44%EV -9.02%E -8.59%K -180.31%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV +7.39%E +0.352%K +0.369%G +0.027% | 7.7% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +7.05%E +0.542%K +0.587%G +0.041% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.44%EV -9.02%E -8.59%K -180.31%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV +7.39%E +0.352%K +0.369%G +0.027% | 7.7% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.17%EV -8.15%E -7.69%K -135.81%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.13%EV -7.96%E -0.442%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 17:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.51%EV -9.02%E -8.59%K -180.31%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -2.84%E -0.150%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -9.42%E -0.857%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.79%EV -8.15%E -7.69%K -135.81%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -2.84%E -0.150%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -9.42%E -0.857%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.79%EV -8.15%E -7.69%K -135.81%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -2.84%E -0.150%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.20%EV -9.42%E -0.857%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 86.78%EV -9.88%E -9.50%K -247.05%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.01%EV -7.96%E -0.442%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-22 16:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.20%EV -9.42%E -0.857%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 86.78%EV -9.88%E -9.50%K -247.05%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.01%EV -7.96%E -0.442%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-22 16:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -13.54%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.78%EV -7.28%E -6.81%K -104.03%G +0.000% | 16.75I 5.97%NM 5.48%EV -14.35%E -0.857%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-22 12:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.85%EV -6.42%E -5.94%K -80.20%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -2.84%E -0.150%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-20 08:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.85%EV -6.42%E -5.94%K -80.20%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -2.84%E -0.150%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-20 08:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.85%EV -6.42%E -5.94%K -80.20%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -2.84%E -0.150%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-20 08:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.85%EV -6.42%E -5.94%K -80.20%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -2.84%E -0.150%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-20 08:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.85%EV -6.42%E -5.94%K -80.20%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -2.84%E -0.150%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-20 08:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.85%EV -6.42%E -5.94%K -80.20%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -2.84%E -0.150%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-20 08:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.85%EV -6.42%E -5.94%K -80.20%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -2.84%E -0.150%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-20 08:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.85%EV -6.42%E -5.94%K -80.20%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -2.84%E -0.150%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-20 08:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.85%EV -6.42%E -5.94%K -80.20%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -2.84%E -0.150%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-20 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.23%EV -9.88%E -9.50%K -247.05%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.91%EV -23.30%E -1.55%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-02-21 21:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.23%EV -9.88%E -9.50%K -247.05%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.91%EV -23.30%E -1.55%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-02-21 21:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.23%EV -9.88%E -9.50%K -247.05%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.91%EV -23.30%E -1.55%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-02-21 21:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.21%EV -21.77%E -2.29%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 84.96%EV -10.75%E -10.44%K -358.28%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.83%EV -23.30%E -1.55%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.42%EV -30.01%E -3.53%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 85.97%EV -10.75%E -10.44%K -358.28%G +0.000% | 24.50I 4.08%NM 3.61%EV +25.28%E +1.03%K +1.08%G +0.272% | 12.9% | 2026-02-22 16:53 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 8.80I 11.36%NM 9.83% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 83.99% | 14.01I 7.14%NM 6.18% | 15.6% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.87% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.27% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.87% | 192.4% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.87% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.27% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.87% | 192.4% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.87% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.27% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.87% | 192.4% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |