The School of Odds
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Chippenham Town FC v Yate Town FC

Kickoff: 2026-09-22 18:46 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chippenham Town FC (Local)

Prediction 40.14%2.49fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -2.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.84%40.33%39.92%43.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.212.222.4048.78%45.34%45.05%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yate Town FC (Visit)

Prediction 34.35%2.91fair odd
EV +1.33%
Edge +0.452%
Kelly +0.685%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.36%34.20%34.42%35.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.792.772.9539.22%35.79%36.04%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.51%3.92fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -0.802%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.71%25.47%25.66%26.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.543.493.8028.99%28.22%28.65%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chippenham Town FC (Local): 40.14%; Yate Town FC (Visit): 34.35%; Draw: 25.51%. For Yate Town FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -17.72%E -8.65%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV +1.33%E +0.452%K +0.685%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -17.72%E -8.65%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV +1.33%E +0.452%K +0.685%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -17.72%E -8.65%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV +1.33%E +0.452%K +0.685%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 18:25
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -17.72%E -8.65%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV +1.33%E +0.452%K +0.685%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 18:25
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -17.72%E -8.65%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV +1.33%E +0.452%K +0.685%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -17.72%E -8.65%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV +1.33%E +0.452%K +0.685%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 18:25
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -17.72%E -8.65%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV +1.33%E +0.452%K +0.685%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 18:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -17.72%E -8.65%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV +1.33%E +0.452%K +0.685%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 18:25
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -17.72%E -8.65%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV +1.33%E +0.452%K +0.685%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 18:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -17.72%E -8.65%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV +1.33%E +0.452%K +0.685%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 18:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -17.72%E -8.65%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV +1.33%E +0.452%K +0.685%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -9.70%E -4.31%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -2.10%E -0.737%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -3.05%E -0.802%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-22 18:44
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.05%EV -10.90%E -4.91%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -3.82%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-22 18:44
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.05%EV -10.90%E -4.91%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -3.82%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-22 18:44
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.48%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.54%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -8.15%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-22 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.48%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.54%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -8.15%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-22 18:44
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.48%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.54%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -8.15%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-22 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.68%EV -4.88%E -2.06%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -5.54%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -8.15%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-22 18:45
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -5.68%E -2.42%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -5.54%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -8.15%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-22 18:43
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -3.68%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -10.70%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 18:44
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -3.68%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -10.70%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 18:43
Codere (IT)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -5.68%E -2.42%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -8.97%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 14:49
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -13.71%E -6.38%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.39%EV -10.00%E -3.82%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -3.05%E -0.802%K -1.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-22 14:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.24%EV -10.90%E -4.91%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.00%E -3.82%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.67%EV -11.21%E -3.22%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-22 18:43
1xBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.09%EV -4.08%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.98%EV -4.58%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-22 18:44
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -9.70%E -4.31%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -10.70%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-22 18:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -9.70%E -4.31%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -12.41%E -4.86%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-22 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.88%EV -9.70%E -4.31%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -12.41%E -4.86%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -8.15%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-22 14:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.