默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chippenham Town FC v Yate Town FC

开赛时间: 2026-09-22 18:46 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

28 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chippenham Town FC (主队)

预测 40.14%2.49公平赔率
EV -3.68%
优势 -1.53%
Kelly -2.63%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.40

博彩公司预测分布
38.84%40.33%39.92%43.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.212.222.4048.78%45.34%45.05%41.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

Yate Town FC (客队)

预测 34.35%2.91公平赔率
EV +1.33%
优势 +0.452%
Kelly +0.685%
增长率 +0.009%

假设最高赔率为 2.95

博彩公司预测分布
30.36%34.20%34.42%35.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.552.792.772.9539.22%35.79%36.04%33.90%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.51%3.92公平赔率
EV -3.05%
优势 -0.802%
Kelly -1.09%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.80

博彩公司预测分布
23.71%25.47%25.66%26.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.453.543.493.8028.99%28.22%28.65%26.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Chippenham Town FC (主队):40.14%;Yate Town FC (客队):34.35%;平局:25.51%。 对于“Yate Town FC (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.91。 当时有11家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.95,对应+1.33%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -17.72%E -8.65%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV +1.33%E +0.452%K +0.685%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -17.72%E -8.65%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV +1.33%E +0.452%K +0.685%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -17.72%E -8.65%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV +1.33%E +0.452%K +0.685%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 18:25
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -17.72%E -8.65%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV +1.33%E +0.452%K +0.685%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 18:25
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -17.72%E -8.65%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV +1.33%E +0.452%K +0.685%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -17.72%E -8.65%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV +1.33%E +0.452%K +0.685%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 18:25
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -17.72%E -8.65%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV +1.33%E +0.452%K +0.685%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 18:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -17.72%E -8.65%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV +1.33%E +0.452%K +0.685%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 18:25
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -17.72%E -8.65%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV +1.33%E +0.452%K +0.685%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 18:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -17.72%E -8.65%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV +1.33%E +0.452%K +0.685%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 18:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -17.72%E -8.65%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV +1.33%E +0.452%K +0.685%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -9.70%E -4.31%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -2.10%E -0.737%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -3.05%E -0.802%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-22 18:44
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.05%EV -10.90%E -4.91%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -3.82%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-22 18:44
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.05%EV -10.90%E -4.91%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -3.82%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-22 18:44
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.48%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.54%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -8.15%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-22 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.48%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.54%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -8.15%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-22 18:44
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.48%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.54%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -8.15%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-22 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.68%EV -4.88%E -2.06%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -5.54%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -8.15%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-22 18:45
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -5.68%E -2.42%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -5.54%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -8.15%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-22 18:43
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -3.68%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -10.70%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 18:44
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -3.68%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -10.70%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 18:43
Codere (IT)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -5.68%E -2.42%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -8.97%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 14:49
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -13.71%E -6.38%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.39%EV -10.00%E -3.82%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -3.05%E -0.802%K -1.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-22 14:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.24%EV -10.90%E -4.91%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.00%E -3.82%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.67%EV -11.21%E -3.22%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-22 18:43
1xBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.09%EV -4.08%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.98%EV -4.58%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-22 18:44
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -9.70%E -4.31%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -10.70%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-22 18:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -9.70%E -4.31%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -12.41%E -4.86%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-22 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.88%EV -9.70%E -4.31%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -12.41%E -4.86%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -8.15%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-22 14:49
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。